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danf

danf
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  • All That Crap About Not Panicking? [View article]
    Sounds like a perpetual motion machine all based on a reasonable faith that nothing ever really changes...until it does change
    Jul 6, 2015. 03:04 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Wind And Solar Will Soon Become The 'Least-Cost Option' [View article]
    The only people I know who installed solar, paid a lot and ended up getting only 50% of the power out of it they were told to expect. The solar cells themselves seem to be getting cheaper, but all of the surrounding electronics still seem expensive. And then there is the question of finding anyone who really understands the overall system at any depth beyond a recipe checklist. I suspect thats why my friends only see 50% of the power they expected. The installers have very little real knowledge.
    Jun 30, 2015. 05:55 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Wind And Solar Will Soon Become The 'Least-Cost Option' [View article]
    "called for a tripling of public and private investments in new energy technologies in order to prevent catastrophic warming"

    If there is a climate catastrophe coming, it's already baked in so best get on with ADAPTING...rather than turning the world upside down pushing carbon level up or down by a few 10ths of 1 percent

    It may be a good idea to move to alternative energy sources if it does not make us all poorer. What matters to me is that it's cheap AND reliable.

    Policies based on idea that people in the emerging world will consent to stay poor or that people in the west will consent to become poor for the sake of the climate spring from utopian thinking that is also the wellspring of all sorts of historical justifications for mass murder.
    Jun 30, 2015. 05:50 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • SCOTUS upholds Obamacare subsidies, healthcare stocks rally [View news story]
    If it's not clear already, it should be clear now. It does not matter what comes before the court, they will uphold Obamacare at all costs. Reading the dissent is informative as they explicitly state the ObamaCare at all costs reality. The unintended consequence of this is the growing awareness of the end of the rule of law in america. Since law depends on the meaning of words and word meaning can simply be changed to meet whatever the current circumstance requires. It's one more nail in the coffin of the legitimacy of the supreme court. It's all partisan now and intellectually dead from top to bottom.
    Jun 25, 2015. 02:42 PM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Friday's Sell-Off: Assessing The Damage And Opportunities [View article]
    Stocks fall...perhaps this suggests there is not much liquidity in the market ?
    Mar 7, 2015. 10:24 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Exxon Mobil: There Will Be Blood [View article]
    I trust XOM to spend their money more wisely and productively than the thief with a gun who proposes to steal it.
    Feb 1, 2015. 11:19 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Maybe You Should Be In 100% Cash [View article]
    A rational approach may be to increase savings, and reduce expense. If interest rates and ROI are low. If risks are high and unpredictable due to market distortions, it may make a great deal of sense to simply spend less, save more and consistently vote for deflationary policies. The one thing NOBODY can defend against is hyper-inflation. Everyone, except governments and debtors should do all that they can to encourage deflation
    Jan 13, 2015. 10:42 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Can Microsoft's Windows 10 Oust Google Or Apple? [View article]
    Maybe true, but Apple application software is truly horrible and the OS is a wasting asset as all the best engineers with any real interest in computing and or UNIX have left
    Dec 31, 2014. 10:14 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Can Microsoft's Windows 10 Oust Google Or Apple? [View article]
    Agreed, My hope is that Microsoft will simplify their absurd licensing structure: home, pro, enterprise...who can or wants to figure that out. What I've hear is that core OS is solid. It is definetly faster than Mac OS. What I want to see making the UNIX compatibility layer universal in all additions. But I'll believe it (and maybe try it) when I see it.
    Dec 31, 2014. 10:11 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 2015 Will Be Apple's Year: Raising Price Target To $174 [View article]
    I guess the bet is all on iphone. The rest of the product line is suffering. They continue to dumb down Mac OS...remove features, go out of their way to break compatibility with the open source and linux world. They continue to believe that sacrificing a percentage of customers here and a percentage there who are not their "mainstream" customers is clever and somehow leads to growth. I've been an apple customer since 1984, but I rarely if ever visit the apple store anymore. I used to never call support, but now I find with each new purchase and/or OS upgrade Im on the phone with support 3 or 4 times. The last machine I bought was a Ubuntu box from System 76. About the same cost as a mac mini, but 2x the performance. Installation Postgres, Java and other apps much easier than the hoops apple imposes. The facts seem to be that apple is losing engineering talent very quickly. Across the board, apple applications are second rate. The OS is in maintenance mode as it seems that folks with really deep UNIX knowledge and passion have left. Like ever great ship, momentum will carry the profits and cashflow forward. But I limit my bets on apple
    Dec 31, 2014. 10:02 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Amazon: Healthy Correction Or Set To Plunge Lower? [View article]
    It seems like AMZN could double margins and double revenues and still not be reasonably priced from an actual earnings perspective. I use Amazon all the time. I an AWS customer. Its a great company, but its based on a grocery store business model. Nothing wrong with that, but if actual profits matter, it's going to take a long while to justify $300+ / share.
    Apr 17, 2014. 10:57 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Every Vote Counts [View article]
    Buyback is ok, but not with borrowed money.

    A better idea might be to explore moving Apple outside of the United States.

    My guess is that the land of the free and home of the brave has erected all sorts of barriers to it's citizens fleeing its clutches.
    Feb 2, 2014. 05:44 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Samsung Is Apple's Worst Nightmare [View article]
    Yes, it must be a concern for Apple. Apple is not so much a technology company as an assembler of tech components produced by others. The real technology is developed by the component vendors. So in the long run, Samsung will reserve it's best tech for itself. Apple can only continue to invest in non-samsung vendors and invest in basic research at these firms. One thing Apple does have going for it has been the ability to carefully choose what goes into the package
    Nov 7, 2013. 12:55 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How About A Wage Hike? [View article]
    Who knows what the right wages are ? How can we possibly tell ? Bank deposit rates are like 25 BPS. I can leave $100,000 in my bank and earn $250 in one year. Is that not a signal to me about what returns I can expect from investment ? Basically nothing.

    And yet you suggest that wages can/should go up in such an environment. Who will put capital at risk to support that ? Why should they ? What returns can they expect ?

    And it's not just wages. Every employee is a legal and regulatory liability. Increasingly it is the government and an arbitrary "legal" tyranny that tells me who I can and cannot hire and weather I can choose my associates or seek out like minded people. I reject all of those constraints on my liberties.

    Our liberties are not eroding, THEY ARE GONE, but nobody talks about liberty and personal freedom any longer. Everyone is a passive nebesh and when the talking head tell us to "shelter in place", everyone meekly obeys while the militarized police forces careen through our neighborhoods.

    But I find those ideas of liberty and personal freedom increasingly on my mind. I wonder how compatible those ideas are with the current monstrosity called government.

    I find that I get a much better return paying off debt and reducing expense to the maximum degree possible. I no longer have employees and never will again.
    Aug 25, 2013. 06:30 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Can Apple's Stock Be Saved? [View article]
    This is fundamentally the issue. With SJ's death, all the discipline left the company. Steve was a brilliant tyrant. He left behind a culture suffering PTSD. Steve told people, "dont ask what would steve do", but my guess is that is exactly what everyone is doing, because few people with independent ideas could survive in SJ's apple.

    With the task master gone, everyone is slacking. One of the first things Tim did was give everyone more vacation.

    SJ was a master at detecting excuses in the form of engineering-speak BS. Consequently , everyone had to get much better at it. Leaving the new management much less capable of seeing through it. The product groups are enjoying a vacation and wondering just how far they can bamboozle management
    Jun 29, 2013. 01:30 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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