How Today’s 2.46% Dividend Yield Could Destroy Your Wealth [View article]
I do strongly agree with the author.
For those that say "well people have to invest their money somewhere" well you are right -- and history tells us that despite that, virtually all asset classes can go down at the same time! Remember way back, to say October?
Things are not "different" or "special" this time. Well, except that things are actually much worse than usual. Think: 1. we're still in a stock market bubble based on price to dividend, growth rates, historic (100 years) returns, and the following 2. the world is still in a real-estate bubble based on the fact historic real estate returns have been less that 1 percent over inflation. who but the well-off can afford to buy a home now? 3. consumers will finally learn to tighten their belts, and keep them that way 4. painful deflating of the credit bubble 5. painful increase in social security and medicare spending 6. painful increase in the U.S. debt will for a generation or more hinder the economy
Give it a few months or a year, and people will realize this (how many of us are still in denial?) and this will pull down stock and real estate markets once the "doom and gloom" sets in again.
No, in the long term companies eventually go bankrupt and their stocks are worth zero. This is less likely, though also possible, for governments. I can't think of a single company that I would expect would probably (greater than 50% chance) of still being as big at it is today 50 years from now. I think the difference between yields of stocks and bonds can be estimated as the GDP growth rate minus the rate difference you'd expect for stocks being riskier, which to me is about zero right now.
The Undefinable, Unstoppable Bull Market of 2009 [View article]
To me, it sounds like your original logic was more sound and people are "buying for the sake of buying." Long-term fundamentals probably put the S&P at 700 to 800, and then you can subtract some more from those numbers for the bad economy if you feel you need to be extra conservative. Real estate and stocks are still in a bubble if looking at the long-term trend. The immediate future of the developed world seems to be paying back a massive debt hangover, which will probably all but kill growth in these countries for quite a while as everyone decides to keep their belts tight.
Clean Energy ETFs are Volatile, but Hold Potential [View article]
I agree with quick; small cap growth stocks tend to seriously under-perform in general.
The main risk seems to be to what extent each of these technologies will actually be adopted. So these are true growth stocks, each with stratospheric risk and reward.
The Green Investor: Choosing An Alternative Energy ETF [View article]
A look at science has been telling us shows peak oil may have already happened. But, what economists and business people listen to scientists, with all their pesky "laws" and "scientific methods."
What are you talking about? There is no absolutely difference between our country and the rest of the world. We are not "special." You are not special. I am not special.
The world through the eyes of our English-language media is our own fantasy. If you want reality, learn a foreign language.
On Jun 25 02:19 AM Did U Think The Ponzi Scheme Would Last? wrote:
> Oh I feel so much better that we are better than a bunch of 3rd world > countries. Our ridiculous inflation rate seems right at home with > our new, pretty, bananna republic colored money. Why not just get > Parket Brothers to replace the federal reserve and the treasury? > Parker's monopoly money is just the right size for a smaller wallet.
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Latest | Highest ratedFive Pack of Ex-U.S. Treasury Bond Funds [View article]
How Today’s 2.46% Dividend Yield Could Destroy Your Wealth [View article]
For those that say "well people have to invest their money somewhere" well you are right -- and history tells us that despite that, virtually all asset classes can go down at the same time! Remember way back, to say October?
Things are not "different" or "special" this time. Well, except that things are actually much worse than usual. Think:
1. we're still in a stock market bubble based on price to dividend, growth rates, historic (100 years) returns, and the following
2. the world is still in a real-estate bubble based on the fact historic real estate returns have been less that 1 percent over inflation. who but the well-off can afford to buy a home now?
3. consumers will finally learn to tighten their belts, and keep them that way
4. painful deflating of the credit bubble
5. painful increase in social security and medicare spending
6. painful increase in the U.S. debt will for a generation or more hinder the economy
Give it a few months or a year, and people will realize this (how many of us are still in denial?) and this will pull down stock and real estate markets once the "doom and gloom" sets in again.
Corporate bonds look good to me right now.
S&P 500 Dividend Yield Drops 100 BPS [View article]
The Undefinable, Unstoppable Bull Market of 2009 [View article]
Clean Energy ETFs are Volatile, but Hold Potential [View article]
The main risk seems to be to what extent each of these technologies will actually be adopted. So these are true growth stocks, each with stratospheric risk and reward.
The Green Investor: Choosing An Alternative Energy ETF [View article]
Global Inflation Rates [View article]
The world through the eyes of our English-language media is our own fantasy. If you want reality, learn a foreign language.
On Jun 25 02:19 AM Did U Think The Ponzi Scheme Would Last? wrote:
> Oh I feel so much better that we are better than a bunch of 3rd world
> countries. Our ridiculous inflation rate seems right at home with
> our new, pretty, bananna republic colored money. Why not just get
> Parket Brothers to replace the federal reserve and the treasury?
> Parker's monopoly money is just the right size for a smaller wallet.