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  • EXCO Resources, Inc., A Long-Term Play On Natural Gas  [View article]
    Greg Schubert is owner and editor of
    Feb 12, 2013. 07:09 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • EXCO Resources, Inc., A Long-Term Play On Natural Gas  [View article]
    I like your article. Natural gas is the future of North American energy. So much so that, 2013 may represent the the year of M&A in the natural gas sector ... and the secular bottom of natural gas pricing. Therefore, it is likely that natural gas production companies, overleveraged with debt, will be unable to survive the low natural gas pricing in the market. If XCO can survive its debt leverage, it's a big winner. However, Apache, APA, is far more likely to survive the debt crunch. By selling APA puts, I am able to leverage the purchase price of stock ownership in significantly lesser-leveraged-prices shares. In doing so, APA is a far safer trade vs. the "risk reward" trade on the future incease in natural gas companies. I wish you well in your XCO trade.

    Feb 12, 2013. 07:06 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Double Your Microsoft Dividend With Call Options  [View article]
    Given the current price and technicals of MSFT, selling the 30 puts is likely the better position.
    Sep 4, 2012. 10:08 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Technician Louise Yamada urges clients to keep stops tight as she watches equities with growing unease. "You could call it a vacuum rally," she says, characterized by short-covering, low volume, and deteriorating new highs vs. new lows. The lagging Transport Index (IYT) has her attention as well, but following this indicator kept some out of the big summer rally.  [View news story]
    Louise Yamada has earned "her strips" and her opinions are noteworthy ... its always good to have a sell strategy, but, also realize that noted market pundits are very good at recognizing tops long before a bear market decline starts.

    Technical analysis has taught me that human nature is the relative constant ... and today's human psychology and investor reactions aren't consistent with a market top ... and, therefore, today's psychology likely trumps deteriorating new highs and new lows and a non-confirmation of the DJ Trans average for the time being.

    My expectation is a September first-half consolidation, perhaps a dip to around 12,700 on the DJIA, that will set the market up for a strong finish to the year.

    2013 ... well, that may be a whole different setup.
    Sep 3, 2012. 03:41 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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