risk manager jeff

Coal Stocks: Where to From Here?

Thanks Mal. Yes, these companies will have great earnings. But my comments here, were more based in trying to understand the short term movements. Say, a few weeks. The market is an expectations game. It doesn't really matter what the earnings are in the short term. As long as the market operates under the "global growth is dead" scenario, these stocks won't perform.

True Religion Short Squeeze

This is a total spec for me. I'm more a macro based investor. But I think this is an interesting idea for a small position. Actually, I hope to make just enuff to buy a couple pairs of their overpriced pants. I agree, that in order for the stock to fall, the longs would have to sell. It won't get pushed anymore by shorts. Do I know how the business is doing? I don't. In this case, I'm going to "trust" what management is saying. I can see this as an easy short when you consider the low international exposure and high focus on US consumers. But I compared this to LULU, which seems even more expensive, even though, it's down alot from the hyped days of the fall.

7 Stocks for a High Yield Cash Flow Portfolio

To "Umm, yeah"; Can I call this a conservative portfolio? I suppose that's a relative question. It's conservative, when compared to the other names in the commodities space such as Coal and Agriculture. Just buy them down, not up. This is a conservative "growth portfolio" with a big payout. Can't have your cake, ice cream, pie and eat it all too.

I like the idea of adding in MO or PM into the bunch, but I'm trying to keep the dividend high. Close to 10%. Perhaps switching out BNS for one of them is a good idea.