I believe the bottom is not in yet for the petroleum energy complex. Many people thought $40.50 was the major low, but it is not according to my technical analysis. However, we can still rally up to $55.98 and crude oil will still be in it's major downtrend.
I agree that this energy rally is a retracement rally of the main trend which is still down. I use technical analysis without using any technical indicators and this is what it's telling me. I'm still expecting lower prices by end of year 2008.
blah-blah: I respectfully disagree with you. There could be speculation on the short side for the early 90's and it caused commodity prices to fall significantly, so there it had a positive effect on the economy. Was it a problem then?
Also, speculation does not cost everyone. For me to buy a contract, someone else has to sell me a contract at the same price. If I lose, the other side of my trade wins. So there is a winner and loser (excluding commissions and fees).
You just don't want to have the other side where commodity prices rise significantly.
I have the same right as you do to speculate in any market I wish.
Looks Like It's Time to Buy Oil [View article]
Continue to sell strong rallies.
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On Oil and Its Manipulation [View article]
Also, speculation does not cost everyone. For me to buy a contract, someone else has to sell me a contract at the same price. If I lose, the other side of my trade wins. So there is a winner and loser (excluding commissions and fees).
You just don't want to have the other side where commodity prices rise significantly.
I have the same right as you do to speculate in any market I wish.
On Oil and Its Manipulation [View article]