Thank you, Dr. Pettis, for your insightful analysis. Readers may also find the following excellent analysis of China's sovereign risk to be of interest: www.garpdigitallibrary...
Looming Financial Catastrophe: A Real Inconvenient Truth [View article]
Here is a link to an excellent research report which examines the linkage between U.S. and China's economies and provides an incisive economic outlook for both:
Looming Financial Catastrophe: A Real Inconvenient Truth [View article]
China is the largest holder of Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac bonds and demands a U.S. taxpayer bailout, yet refuses to repay their government bonds to Americans:
Economic Outlook Dims for Russia; Slowing Seen for Europe, North America [View article]
As the economies of the U.S., Europe and Japan all contract, China's dependency on export manufacturing places it in a position of extreme vulnerability: www.globalsecuritieswa...
China is estimated to have nearly $1 trillion in exposure to U.S. subprime mortgage, automobile and credit card debt securities (CDOs), and an unknown amount of exposure to the derivatives 'house of cards'. China's economic outlook appears negative: see this excellent research report -
The China Decoupling Debate Continues in Some Circles [View article]
With an average per capita annual income of $2,800, the Chinese economy is unable to grow organically (i.e., driven by internal demand). The majority of emerging middle class consumers derive their higher income from activities related to export manufacturing. The export manufacturing sector's serious troubles (attributable to the economic contraction underway in the U.S., Japan and Europe) will began to manifest significantly in 2-3 quarters, due to the typical lag. For an excellent overview of China's Economic Outlook, see the following research bulletin:
S&P Raises China's Rating, Derivative Losses Still a Concern [View article]
Wow. Talk about blatant fraud. S&P wasn't content to defraud investors around the world with phony ratings on subprime mortgage bonds, now they seek to do the same with Chinese bonds. See this excellent research report on China's economic outlook: www.globalsecuritieswa...
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and
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China: Replenishing Bank Capital [View article]
www.garpdigitallibrary...
Is China Pulling an Alan Greenspan? [View article]
www.garpdigitallibrary...
and
www.globalsecuritieswa...
What Is the U.S. - China Economic Outlook Under Obama? [View article]
www.garpdigitallibrary...
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Fitch Forecasts Major Global Recession for 2009 [View article]
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China: Killer Balance Sheets Striking Terror [View article]
www.garpdigitallibrary...
China's Negative Economic Outlook [View article]
www.garpdigitallibrary...
Looming Financial Catastrophe: A Real Inconvenient Truth [View article]
www.globalsecuritieswa...
Looming Financial Catastrophe: A Real Inconvenient Truth [View article]
my.telegraph.co.uk/asi...
Where is the outrage?
Economic Outlook Dims for Russia; Slowing Seen for Europe, North America [View article]
China's Impending Financial Crisis [View article]
www.globalsecuritieswa...
The China Decoupling Debate Continues in Some Circles [View article]
www.globalsecuritieswa...
S&P Raises China's Rating, Derivative Losses Still a Concern [View article]
See also this revealing blog post: my.telegraph.co.uk/asi...
The Coming Collapse of International Credit Ratings [View article]
www.globalsecuritieswa...