Seeking Alpha

Pat C » Comments |

Sort by:
Latest | Highest rated
  • Another Week of Explosive Emergency Unemployment Compensation Growth [View article]
    Thanks TraderMark, I read this yesterday and couldn't believe it I was commenting all over the place. We have a serious structural problem. We need folks like you with a wide reach to keep it out there.
    Dec 11 16:16 pm |Rating: +1 0 |Link to Comment
  • Seasonally-Adjusted Jobless Claims Below 500,000 for Third Straight Week [View article]
    I hope that soon, good analysis, such as yours, begins to seriously address the magnitude of this problem and it isn't relegated to a "Note" as below & above. We are looking at 10,000,000 individual stories of misery and pain. Again, TEN MILLION!

    As pointed out on another website, the number of individuals on extended unemployment will soon (like in the next week or month) exceed those on regular unemployment. We have a major structural economic problem here that needs serious attention by all of us. The only time that is remotely comparable is the great depression. All the other downturns were mere annoyances compared with this one.

    "Note: despite 5.1 million as the official jobless role, total unadjusted jobless claims exceeded 10 million because of the extension of unemployment benefits to those who have run out of benefits. This is testament to the weak hiring environment."
    Dec 10 18:38 pm |Rating: +4 0 |Link to Comment
  • Initial Jobless Claims Back Up  [View article]
    I feel like a broken record, but here it is again:

    5.157M Regular above
    4.586M Extended above

    That's 9,743,000 people collecting unemployment. This excludes individuals ineligible for unemployment.

    HELLO!!!!!!!!
    Are we all getting it?
    Major, Major Problem!!!
    Dec 10 17:28 pm |Rating: +4 -2 |Link to Comment
  • Is This Just the Beginning of a Depression? [View article]
    I have posted this elsewhere on SA but please visit zerohedge.com and look at their article on extended benefits. It is absolutely astounding. It sure looks like a depression in the job market. 9.7 million collecting unemployment, not to mention those that don't qualify. See quote below:

    "The number you won't hear mentioned anywhere in the Mainstream Media: 327,729. That is how many people shifted to Emergency Unemployment Compensation programs in the last week alone, hitting an all time record high of 4.2 million! So as everyone is focused on the benign picture of initial claims in the last week which was "only" 474,000, the number of people rolling off continuing benefits has exploded and is now a stunning 592,579 only in the last two week. Look for this number to keep going into the stratosphere as the 6 month continuing claims cliff keeps getting hit by more and more people who are unemployed and keep looking not only for believable change, but actual jobs to go with it. ... At this rate those collecting EUC will surpass those on continuing claims (5.5 million) within a month."
    Dec 10 15:12 pm |Rating: +7 -1 |Link to Comment
  • Despite Uptick, Unemployment Claims Still Support a Recovery [View article]
    PS Do the math: 5.5 + 4.2 = 9.7 MILLION collecting unemployment.
    Dec 10 13:19 pm |Rating: +2 -1 |Link to Comment
  • Despite Uptick, Unemployment Claims Still Support a Recovery [View article]
    Please visit zerohedge.com and look at their graph on extended benefits. It is absolutely astounding. Quote below:

    "The number you won't hear mentioned anywhere in the Mainstream Media: 327,729. That is how many people shifted to Emergency Unemployment Compensation programs in the last week alone, hitting an all time record high of 4.2 million! So as everyone is focused on the benign picture of initial claims in the last week which was "only" 474,000, the number of people rolling off continuing benefits has exploded and is now a stunning 592,579 only in the last two week. Look for this number to keep going into the stratosphere as the 6 month continuing claims cliff keeps getting hit by more and more people who are unemployed and keep looking not only for believable change, but actual jobs to go with it. ... At this rate those collecting EUC will surpass those on continuing claims (5.5 million) within a month."
    Dec 10 13:15 pm |Rating: +3 0 |Link to Comment
  • Jobs Picture Still Improving, Despite Temporary Setbacks [View article]
    Please go over to zerohedge.com and look at the graph on folks with extended unemployment. It is staggering.
    Dec 10 11:26 am |Rating: +2 -2 |Link to Comment
  • 7 Questions About Alistair Darling's Pre-Budget Report [View article]
    This is all about payback, pure and simple. For some reason, the Wall Street types just don't get it. This is not just some populist knee jerk reaction, it has been 18 months and we are still pissed off and will be for some time. They need a short term change in their business model.
    Dec 10 09:50 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Recessions and Job Turnover [View article]
    At a certain point, you get down to your core employee base. They are the ones that got you to where you are at. Eliminating them is cutting muscle not fat. You move them around if you have to before firing them.
    Dec 10 09:45 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • 'Government Is Out of Bullets' - Meredith Whitney [View article]
    MarkitWacha - the same tired old rhetoric. We really need creative thinking here - try down the middle that's where the answers are - we need you.
    Dec 09 10:09 am |Rating: +2 -1 |Link to Comment
  • Want the Real Measure of Unemployment? Don't Forget Long-Term Discouraged Workers [View article]
    Good article. We really don't have a good handle on discouraged workers. My bet would be that this is dramatically understated.
    Dec 09 09:45 am |Rating: +2 0 |Link to Comment
  • The Effect of Temporary Workers on the U.S. Economy [View article]
    Good article. As usual our social technologies and laws are way behind reality. This trend has been increasing over the last 2 decades. We have to break the tie between full time employment and healthcare and other social services. If these entitlements and insurance were paid by citizens rather than businesses it would be much fairer in the long term. Businesses would be required to pay full-time and part-time the same in order to get labor and labor would have flexibility to seek the highest return for their services.

    The challenge of course is how to implement it and be fair during the transition. Special interests all over the place will reject it.
    Dec 09 09:38 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • $246,000 per ObamaJob: Inefficiency at Its Worst [View article]
    Job creation needs to be targeted into US investments such as gas drilling, solar engergy etc. Just throwing money at general jobs credits is no different than general tax credits; most of it is going where it is not needed. We are still benefiting from the dams and other projects that were done by FDR. Sorry if this sounds socialist but the whole idea of trickle down economics or stimulus doesn't work during a severe downturn. We just have to be smart about it. If the private sector believes it is too risky then the public sector should do it and make damn sure we don't give it away after it is done.
    Dec 09 09:26 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • It's About Unemployment, Stupid [View article]
    Fat Panda: "The problem isnt that we are importing low wages, but that our productivity isn't rising fast enough to keep our goods competitive in a world market."
    I would ask you to prove this statement. There are only so many ways to make a widget. The cost of labor is the predominant issue by a long shot.
    Dec 09 09:17 am |Rating: +3 -3 |Link to Comment
  • Elizabeth Warren: The End of the Middle Class [View article]
    Yes and no Robert. Please check unemployment growth for professional service positions. All forms of labor have been commoditized. Need a better system.
    Dec 03 18:30 pm |Rating: +9 0 |Link to Comment
Comments by Ticker
Pat C's
Comments Stats
329 comments
Rating: 666 (943 - 277 )