San_Fran_Sam's Comments San_Fran_Sam's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.comuser/221858/comments Could the Dow Fall to 1600? http://seekingalpha.com/article/123758-could-the-dow-fall-to-1600?source=feed#comment-412114 412114
the Nikkei is now back down to the level it was at in 1982!

and it took about 20 years.

so Dow below 1000 as it was in 1982 is not out of the realm of possibility.]]>
Tue, 03 Mar 2009 23:44:27 -0500
the Nikkei is now back down to the level it was at in 1982!

and it took about 20 years.

so Dow below 1000 as it was in 1982 is not out of the realm of possibility.]]>
Why Apple Has Risen from a Technical Analysis Perspective http://seekingalpha.com/article/120660-why-apple-has-risen-from-a-technical-analysis-perspective?source=feed#comment-389561 389561
1. You could have written this same article in late November when AAPL bottomed at about $79. RSI and MACD both diverging. Only to ride AAPL up to about $105 and back down again to $78.

2. What is your comment on AAPL now? Looks to me like a double top or at lease resistance at $105. also the RSI is looking overbought and MACD is weakening.

SFS]]>
Sun, 15 Feb 2009 14:43:53 -0500
1. You could have written this same article in late November when AAPL bottomed at about $79. RSI and MACD both diverging. Only to ride AAPL up to about $105 and back down again to $78.

2. What is your comment on AAPL now? Looks to me like a double top or at lease resistance at $105. also the RSI is looking overbought and MACD is weakening.

SFS]]>
Is SDS a Way Around Market Volatility? http://seekingalpha.com/article/120246-is-sds-a-way-around-market-volatility?source=feed#comment-385877 385877
You're right. i sent this thing off before reading the whole post thoroughly. He does mention the tracking error problem towards the end of the article.

My bad.]]>
Thu, 12 Feb 2009 13:06:39 -0500
You're right. i sent this thing off before reading the whole post thoroughly. He does mention the tracking error problem towards the end of the article.

My bad.]]>
Is SDS a Way Around Market Volatility? http://seekingalpha.com/article/120246-is-sds-a-way-around-market-volatility?source=feed#comment-385732 385732
They perform as adverstised, 2-for-1, only on an intraday basis.]]>
Thu, 12 Feb 2009 11:59:05 -0500
They perform as adverstised, 2-for-1, only on an intraday basis.]]>
Why Am I Buying Lennar? No Good Reason http://seekingalpha.com/article/119878-why-am-i-buying-lennar-no-good-reason?source=feed#comment-384913 384913
good luck with your trade.]]>
Wed, 11 Feb 2009 21:52:43 -0500
good luck with your trade.]]>
Treasuries Will Disappoint- Continued http://seekingalpha.com/article/112370-treasuries-will-disappoint-continued?source=feed#comment-339877 339877
I have a small position in TBT, about 25% of what i plan to invest, read speculate, in. When it becomes more clear that the bubble is bursting i will add to the position.

During the summer i went both short and long oil because i wasn't sure how when the bubble would burst. I lost a little on the long, but more than made up for it on the short.]]>
Sun, 28 Dec 2008 14:54:04 -0500
I have a small position in TBT, about 25% of what i plan to invest, read speculate, in. When it becomes more clear that the bubble is bursting i will add to the position.

During the summer i went both short and long oil because i wasn't sure how when the bubble would burst. I lost a little on the long, but more than made up for it on the short.]]>
Crash Confidence Looks Bullish http://seekingalpha.com/article/112328-crash-confidence-looks-bullish?source=feed#comment-339379 339379
I am not crazy about the negative wording of the question. If 22.7% of the respondents belive that there will not be a crash in the next six months, does that mean that 77.3% believe that there will be a crash?

What is the definition of a crash? Would a grinding out 1-day up/2-days down move for six months be a crash? If not, we could end up just as far down as if there were a similar move over a few days.]]>
Sat, 27 Dec 2008 13:54:41 -0500
I am not crazy about the negative wording of the question. If 22.7% of the respondents belive that there will not be a crash in the next six months, does that mean that 77.3% believe that there will be a crash?

What is the definition of a crash? Would a grinding out 1-day up/2-days down move for six months be a crash? If not, we could end up just as far down as if there were a similar move over a few days.]]>
11 Stocks Selling Below Cash http://seekingalpha.com/article/103279-11-stocks-selling-below-cash?source=feed#comment-295311 295311 Fri, 31 Oct 2008 14:13:24 -0400 Economy Plunging to 33 Year Low? http://seekingalpha.com/article/100575-economy-plunging-to-33-year-low?source=feed#comment-285918 285918
That in mind, the WLI has been negative for over a year now. But no declared recession.

My conclusion is that the reported economic statistics upon which recessions are based are distorted. That we have been in a recession for at least six months if not longer.]]>
Sun, 19 Oct 2008 20:07:23 -0400
That in mind, the WLI has been negative for over a year now. But no declared recession.

My conclusion is that the reported economic statistics upon which recessions are based are distorted. That we have been in a recession for at least six months if not longer.]]>
Earnings Preview: Apple http://seekingalpha.com/article/85748-earnings-preview-apple?source=feed#comment-209045 209045 Fri, 18 Jul 2008 17:30:27 -0400 How the U.S. Financial Crisis Resembles Japan’s 'Lost Decade' - And How to Play it http://seekingalpha.com/article/85743-how-the-u-s-financial-crisis-resembles-japan-8217-s-lost-decade-and-how-to-play-it?source=feed#comment-209044 209044 Fri, 18 Jul 2008 17:27:27 -0400 How Low Can This Market Go? The 40 Percent Solution http://seekingalpha.com/article/84626-how-low-can-this-market-go-the-40-percent-solution?source=feed#comment-203526 203526
But you left out one very obvious possibility. It doesn't have to come from any one stock or any one sector. Isn't possible that they could ALL drop by 20% more or less to take the averages down?]]>
Sat, 12 Jul 2008 01:15:35 -0400
But you left out one very obvious possibility. It doesn't have to come from any one stock or any one sector. Isn't possible that they could ALL drop by 20% more or less to take the averages down?]]>
Oil and the Futures Market http://seekingalpha.com/article/83695-oil-and-the-futures-market?source=feed#comment-198358 198358 Fri, 04 Jul 2008 00:52:23 -0400