davenerven

Comparing This Past Week to the '87 Crash

So hedge funds had to cough up $400+ billion to pay for their Lehman's CDS positions. The market was very very nervous of more defaults before the settlement last Friday, but it looks like it's all been settled in a fairly orderly manner. Now one side is down $400+ billion and the other side is long $400+ billion. My guess is that the side that's now long $400+ billion is going to use their new cash to squeeze the heck out of the market shorts and make more money. What can be a better time to do this than now? So, perhaps, just perhaps, we can expect the rally of a lifetime soon as the shorts run for cover from a tsunami of buying. But, I might be completely wrong. Still, it is a scenario that makes sense. The world governments have done more than enough to unlock credit but I think credit was tight because of concerns over the Lehman CDS settlements. Now that is out of the way, anything can happen, which means that everything will probably happen all at once.

American Express Calls Investment Banks' Bluff

There is no need for metrics in your article, which, even though I am bullish in general, I have to agree with.

For me, the pertinent statement is from AXP: Chenault continued, “In light of the magnitude of the negative economic trends and our experience, we now believe the economic weakness in the US will likely worsen throughout the remainder of the year and negatively impact credit and business trends ... we now expect that our lending write-off rate in the third and fourth quarter will be higher than June levels.”

Add this to what Jamie Dimon has been telling us, again without deceit, and we basically saw 2 straight dudes calling the credit situation as it is (and it ain't looking too good), versus a crowd of shysters and bottom-feeding pumpers selling snake oil.

Saying this though, I really don't want to see those criminal naked shorts back again. Let the markets find their own true levels without any more hysterical bashing or pumping.

Banks Hit Bottom – Cramer’s Mad Money (7/21/08)

Isn't this the same Jim Cramer who told us about "toxic rivers of debt" and to sell JPM, USB, WFC and BAC just a few weeks ago? I suspect he may just be a "pump and dump". Anyway, I have a laugh looking over his past videos. He MUST be working in collusion with some hedge fund. I cannot believe anything this idiot says.

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