Buprestid

Acute Phase of Liquidity Crisis Has Passed; Bear Market Bottom Around the Corner?

Lets see if your right or close to right. I give you kudos for calling the previous markets lows not the bottom.

This Degree of Volatility Has Only Been Seen Twice Before

Why don't I come up with another statistic of what happened in the past and say it should happen again. Its not so easy. We have a different fundamental economic background driving statistics each and every time. This needs to be taken to account and explained why fundamentally it should behave the same as before.

If investing was so easy then we would just need some math people, equations, and computers.

The Value of Long-Term Investing: A $370K Chart

I would like to be careful with this type of investment strategy. I would classify it as a statistical approach to investing. In this case the author follows some historical data and extrapolates that into the future.

I would argue as follows. Here is a link to historical profits of the S&P500 pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Pa...
Future stock prices will follow historical trends only if profits rise at the same rate and interest free rate of return/inflation matches what we have seen in the past. If you believe that profits will grow as they have historically then go long term and keep buying stocks.

I would like the author to convince me that profits will keep rising and inflation will be controlled instead of showing some historical data. I don't think its a slam dunk that this will occur.