Seeking Alpha

Russian Bull » Comments » PGJ

  • Russia's Too Risky - Barron's [View article]
    This has to be one of the most thoughtless articles I have read on Seeking Alpha in a long time. Someone give me back those 90 seconds. No, okay, well, let me try and save the future readers: I think Russia is oversold and the Ruble is undervalued and this article blows chunks.

    Russia has its problems--no doubt--but in terms of risk I think the perceived risk is much higher than true risk in reality.

    Funny, the media makes a lot of noise over Yukos and BP, but the fact of the matter is that Russia has declared the oil and gas industry a "state secure sector". The Western National oil companies are no longer needed by Russia and their contracts are being re-negotiated. That's life in the big city. Ask the shareholders of IndyMac about governmental takeover risk.
    Aug 18 06:05 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • China, Russia Exceptions to Global Economic Slowdown [View article]
    Johnthebear...when was the last time you were in Moscow Russia? Yes, while I agree that the oil props up the economy in Russia for now, that is quickly changing. The Russians are re-tooling their auto industry, their oil SERVICES industry, and their agricultural industry. Last month I was in Russia twice and the country is moving forward even more quickly than I would have imagined even 24 months ago.

    That said, there are problems; corruption and red tape are still very bad; getting a visa into the country is challenging; and the Ruble (while undervalued) still has the stigma of the 90s attached to it.

    As for surviving the global financial crisis...the Russian Finance industry is very simplistic and I think this will serve them well in the future as our banks pass through the housing MBS blow up, into the credit card CBS blow up; and finally into the wave of derivatives failures.
    Jul 15 15:29 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
More on PGJ by Russian Bull
Comments by Ticker
Russian Bull's
Comments Stats
25 comments
Rating: 6 (10 - 4 )