Lil Davy

Hedge Fund Redemptions May Crash Q1 Markets

March 30 will see about 20% of HF assets flow out. Most funds are either de-levered or have already sidepocketed their bagholders, so it' snot clear whether much more selling will be triggered.

Mutual funds might get crushed much more

on the other hand, a lot of big institutional investors are "underweight" equities (that's what happens when your investment loses 50%...) so could allocate.

If you still have free hands, PE/VC funds are making big capital calls and there aren't many (any?) realizations right now, thus the big IIs may need to raise cash to meet these calls.

More return => you are betting on risk premia
Risk premia are in proportion to the underlying liquidity; not much else is really involved
In good times, making stupid high leverage bets on low liquidity things pays off handsomely, and if your competitor is doing it and you aren't you get fired...

Can the SEC Really 'Quell Rumors'?

Pelican: what evidence do you have for your claim of:
a deliberate and malicious spreading of false info.

Percentage of Active Fund Managers That Can Beat the Market Shrinking Rapidly

To index5: how high can a dead cat bounce while heading for the bottom of the Grand Canyon?
Prediction is hard, but risk is certainly high. Have no regrets - you will live to fight another day.
I'm tempted to buy emerging market value names and sell off commodities plays... but I'm a speculator...

Senator Schumer's Careless Remarks Result in IndyMac's Early Demise

Oh, give me a break. IndyMac has been collapsing for months. "Creating a panic" "Causing a run". Schumer didn't create anything that wasn't already there. IndyMac management has been working hard to deflect attention from their incompetent and possibly illegal actions. You might think Schumer is a jerk; he's certainly a pol, but he didn't cause IndyMac's demise. Red Herring.