BOHICA's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.comuser/228239/comments http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/477295-jg-savoldi/30617-stretching-the-tape?source=feed#comment-764713 764713

Okay, haven't heard anything since mid-October. What's going on? The big question is: how soon is it before we admit this "soon enough" disaster is not a credible prediction?]]> Tue, 17 Nov 2009 22:01:09 -0500

Okay, haven't heard anything since mid-October. What's going on? The big question is: how soon is it before we admit this "soon enough" disaster is not a credible prediction?]]> http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/477295-jg-savoldi/30617-stretching-the-tape?source=feed#comment-718122 718122
Nobody's got a shovel out. It's just that until last Friday, even your missed calls were later conveyed by you with a lot of self-administered credit, as if even the bad calls were in accordance with some sort of prophecy.

As I said previously, few here expect this to end well. As you probably are aware, that's one reason it keeps going.

The Big One was supposed to happen beginning the week before last. Now you seem to be saying it will maybe happen in this month or maybe by...the end of the year. In an effort to keep this positive, perhaps I might ask what you suppose your model is missing?]]> Fri, 16 Oct 2009 18:25:28 -0400
Nobody's got a shovel out. It's just that until last Friday, even your missed calls were later conveyed by you with a lot of self-administered credit, as if even the bad calls were in accordance with some sort of prophecy.

As I said previously, few here expect this to end well. As you probably are aware, that's one reason it keeps going.

The Big One was supposed to happen beginning the week before last. Now you seem to be saying it will maybe happen in this month or maybe by...the end of the year. In an effort to keep this positive, perhaps I might ask what you suppose your model is missing?]]> http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/477295-jg-savoldi/30617-stretching-the-tape?source=feed#comment-710725 710725
Thank you for offering predictive BAM model thoughts real-time on Twitter. Just to be clear, few of us consider the current bull-run to be a trajectory with a happy ending. However, the simple fact is the moment of truth has come, and gone, relative to no less than 3 predictions boldly offered this week by BAM:

1) The BAM model, as noted in your Twitter comments, predicted a big fall in the equities market this past Monday (the market rose substantially instead).
2) The BAM model, also captured in Twitter comments, predicted weakness in the equities markets into this Friday (at week's end, we can look back and see moderate strength, instead).
3) As quoted previously, the BAM model predicted SPX 944 by Friday (an unequivocally incorrect prediction just like predictions 1 and 2).

One always wonders why prediction models such as BAM are offered for sampling and ultimate sale to the public if they're exceptionally reliable as tools of investment and speculation. This demonstration helps us more clearly understand that mystery. That there is no accountability for these failed prophesies is unfortunately also in keeping with the tradition of retail divination enterprises.]]> Fri, 09 Oct 2009 14:23:42 -0400
Thank you for offering predictive BAM model thoughts real-time on Twitter. Just to be clear, few of us consider the current bull-run to be a trajectory with a happy ending. However, the simple fact is the moment of truth has come, and gone, relative to no less than 3 predictions boldly offered this week by BAM:

1) The BAM model, as noted in your Twitter comments, predicted a big fall in the equities market this past Monday (the market rose substantially instead).
2) The BAM model, also captured in Twitter comments, predicted weakness in the equities markets into this Friday (at week's end, we can look back and see moderate strength, instead).
3) As quoted previously, the BAM model predicted SPX 944 by Friday (an unequivocally incorrect prediction just like predictions 1 and 2).

One always wonders why prediction models such as BAM are offered for sampling and ultimate sale to the public if they're exceptionally reliable as tools of investment and speculation. This demonstration helps us more clearly understand that mystery. That there is no accountability for these failed prophesies is unfortunately also in keeping with the tradition of retail divination enterprises.]]> http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/477295-jg-savoldi/30617-stretching-the-tape?source=feed#comment-710451 710451

Okay, this has not happened as prophesied. Now what? Awaiting further instructions.]]> Fri, 09 Oct 2009 11:48:50 -0400

Okay, this has not happened as prophesied. Now what? Awaiting further instructions.]]> http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/477295-jg-savoldi/30617-stretching-the-tape?source=feed#comment-710427 710427 Nothing was deleted from BAM site as you claim here. BAM site is not set up for comments.


Really? Let me get this straight: The BAM site is not set up for comments, but you have a place set up on your BAM site for comments. ]]> Fri, 09 Oct 2009 11:32:11 -0400 Nothing was deleted from BAM site as you claim here. BAM site is not set up for comments.


Really? Let me get this straight: The BAM site is not set up for comments, but you have a place set up on your BAM site for comments. ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/477295-jg-savoldi/30617-stretching-the-tape?source=feed#comment-709043 709043
Yes, but BAM does not appear to accurately predict everything. Take a look at what BAM was predicting 3 days ago: "$SPX.X-- No change in model. 944 later this week..."]]> Thu, 08 Oct 2009 14:02:31 -0400
Yes, but BAM does not appear to accurately predict everything. Take a look at what BAM was predicting 3 days ago: "$SPX.X-- No change in model. 944 later this week..."]]> http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/477295-jg-savoldi/30617-stretching-the-tape?source=feed#comment-708919 708919 Thu, 08 Oct 2009 13:05:25 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/143831-book-review-the-guru-investor-by-john-p-reese?source=feed#comment-554817 554817
How do you explain that? Well, that probably helps explain why Reese doesn't return your emails. ]]> Fri, 19 Jun 2009 22:17:21 -0400
How do you explain that? Well, that probably helps explain why Reese doesn't return your emails. ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/126125-long-term-view-of-the-dow?source=feed#comment-443195 443195 Sat, 28 Mar 2009 01:34:42 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/121456-is-the-gld-etf-really-worth-its-metal?source=feed#comment-411538 411538 Tue, 03 Mar 2009 14:10:17 -0500 http://seekingalpha.com/article/108457-puget-energy-s-merger-why-does-public-counsel-want-it-delayed?source=feed#comment-321331 321331


What does Macquarie Infrastructure Partners, the group that is buying out PSD, have to do with the Australian economy? This investment partnership is not part of Macquarie Group, the Australian entity.]]> Fri, 05 Dec 2008 01:40:07 -0500


What does Macquarie Infrastructure Partners, the group that is buying out PSD, have to do with the Australian economy? This investment partnership is not part of Macquarie Group, the Australian entity.]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/100170-another-great-depression-not?source=feed#comment-284272 284272 Fri, 17 Oct 2008 03:19:07 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/40408-investing-in-china-a-quant-perspective?source=feed#comment-259810 259810 Sat, 20 Sep 2008 03:22:41 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/85843-leveraged-etfs-have-wild-week?source=feed#comment-210316 210316 Mon, 21 Jul 2008 01:59:17 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/85704-best-and-worst-performing-etfs-this-week?source=feed#comment-210315 210315 Mon, 21 Jul 2008 01:54:26 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/85840-preferreds-and-munis?source=feed#comment-210313 210313 Mon, 21 Jul 2008 01:51:23 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/85694-etf-update-materials-semiconductors-homebuilders?source=feed#comment-208994 208994 Fri, 18 Jul 2008 16:34:59 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/85704-best-and-worst-performing-etfs-this-week?source=feed#comment-208988 208988 Fri, 18 Jul 2008 16:29:09 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/85704-best-and-worst-performing-etfs-this-week?source=feed#comment-208681 208681 Fri, 18 Jul 2008 11:26:53 -0400