Market Student's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.comuser/230682/comments http://seekingalpha.com/article/99438-the-devastating-week-that-was?source=feed#comment-280206 280206
However, at the same time, it seems that the economic damage from this contraction of credit is serious. Talking with some companies this week, many have cut all capex and are assessing plans to cut SG&A and fixed costs. I have a feeling that consumer spending will play a large role as well, due to restrictions on consumer credit. When banks contracted credit in ’89, consumer spending fell 9% on an annual rate. My view is that we have some more downside before we hit rock-bottom valuation, especially with deflationary concerns.

I’m looking back to performance of several industrials to see how business conditions changed during the ’90 recession to have a base-case idea of what ’09 earnings could look like.
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However, at the same time, it seems that the economic damage from this contraction of credit is serious. Talking with some companies this week, many have cut all capex and are assessing plans to cut SG&A and fixed costs. I have a feeling that consumer spending will play a large role as well, due to restrictions on consumer credit. When banks contracted credit in ’89, consumer spending fell 9% on an annual rate. My view is that we have some more downside before we hit rock-bottom valuation, especially with deflationary concerns.

I’m looking back to performance of several industrials to see how business conditions changed during the ’90 recession to have a base-case idea of what ’09 earnings could look like.
]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/96905-phillip-morris-a-costless-call-option-on-growth-in-emerging-markets?source=feed#comment-263529 263529
Disclosure... I do own MO and PM.]]> Wed, 24 Sep 2008 10:57:12 -0400
Disclosure... I do own MO and PM.]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/96448-performance-for-harvard-yale-endowments-in-2008?source=feed#comment-260964 260964
A 50% YTD return is very impressive. Could you please publish your portfolio for us to view?]]> Sun, 21 Sep 2008 20:55:23 -0400
A 50% YTD return is very impressive. Could you please publish your portfolio for us to view?]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/89403-options-earnings-spreadsheet-8-6-8-8?source=feed#comment-224550 224550
I noted that there are many energy (oil and gas) companies listed in your table. If I have a rather positive view for deepwater drillers, for instance RIG, but not certain about the overall market direction, near- to mid-term...

What option strategy shall I use? Any help will be greatly appreciated.
]]> Wed, 06 Aug 2008 20:23:03 -0400
I noted that there are many energy (oil and gas) companies listed in your table. If I have a rather positive view for deepwater drillers, for instance RIG, but not certain about the overall market direction, near- to mid-term...

What option strategy shall I use? Any help will be greatly appreciated.
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