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  • The Stock Market Bubble Bursts [View instapost]
    Tend to agree overall, and China is just one more quiver in the arrow.
    Aug 24, 2015. 10:04 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Plan For Eliminating The Fed - And What Must Not Be Done [View instapost]
    PP. Thanks to alerting me to your instablog and appropriate subject matter.
    I appreciate your efforts made on this subject as I believe it is one of the most complicated ones that effects all citizens all the time.
    Precious metals alone are not enough of a solution to the overall problem in my view.
    I am not sure that a lasting solution or even a lasting workable major improvement exists in our system, but we must try or someday lose it all to corruption and incompetence.
    Crooked politicians can usurp and corrupt any system put in place, and this has been proven time and time again all along the way.
    I don't know of a single honest politician or intellectual that seems to address the entire problem and provide a workable solution that cannot be so easily usurped by crooked/greedy politicians and their supporters.
    That said , we must try to improve or replace the system as best we can and beef up penalties on the malefactors.
    Other possibilities to back our money might include x units of energy (BTU's), or x units of high quality protein, or x units of health care, all "guaranteed" etc., in addition to the precious metals, which would be OK in a larger family of options and alternatives.
    These are just thoughts and not hard recommendations, as it would require thousands of hours of advanced study to define a better system that is somewhat more protected from overt corruption and degradation.
    Will always be glad to read any more articles or thoughts that you provide on this subject, and thanks for the good efforts that you have already made.
    Aug 23, 2015. 06:18 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Can Kickers United- Why It's Getting Downright Hazardous Out There [View article]
    My long held view is that the FED should be reformed or banned and replaced with a better system.
    Mr. Stockman, do you have any thoughts on how this could/should be done?
    Aug 20, 2015. 08:13 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
    A lot of good work is indicated in this article. Thanks.
    Easy to understand why you and your indicators are net short.
    I think gold does best when a large number of people thruout the world thinks that someone is crazy/dumb enough and powerful enough to blow up the world, or manipulate an inflation spiral, as in the 70's.
    I share your view that things are very fragile and that the economic numbers are hiding or understating actual weak conditions.
    That which does not kill corruption makes it stronger.
    Aug 9, 2015. 05:01 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Testy Tuesday: Bouncing Back To Bull? [View article]
    Phil, I am a regular reader at your site, which also gives me ready access to your "favorite" fellow writers and analysts.
    I think your approach and style adds another dimension to the other articles written on this site, and should be welcomed just as you write them.
    The establishment does not like anyone presenting a non-establishment point of view, and they will do whatever it takes to resist it.
    This is not supposed to be an FNN or FBN look alike as far as I can judge things, and I would prefer that all your articles get thru for the benefit of interested readers that like to read them.
    Aug 7, 2015. 01:28 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How To Quickly Tell If A Stock Is Cheaper Than It Looks [View instapost]
    Good work, add ROIC, FCF analysis, est. owner's yield,
    and projected earnings and revenue growth to the list and then you really do have the "whole enchilada".
    But as you say, your method is "quick", and a very good one also, when in a hurry. Thanks.
    Aug 6, 2015. 08:21 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 3 Reasons Why Risk Is Exiting The Debate Stage [View article]
    Good and appropriate analysis.

    The market is so afraid that the FED is going to reclaim the training wheels.
    Everything is deteriorating one way or the other, except for the power brokers ability to seize money and buy politicians, that's as strong as ever.
    That which does not kill corruption, makes it stronger.
    Aug 6, 2015. 07:59 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 2015 Recession Probabilities And Bear Markets [View article]
    Tight money and recessions?
    How about loose (corrupt) money and no recession, as in 2007?
    Aug 4, 2015. 06:42 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Are Average Americans Better Off Now Than In 2008? [View article]
    It's all much more fragile than the numbers suggest.
    Yes, the better off wage earners are doing very well thank you, and the car and truck sales verify that.
    The poor that are begging their family members and everyone they know for assistance are legion, and the tragically low labor participation rate verifies that.
    This dichotomy will lead to a break down before it's all over, and the restructuring of society will continue, and it will be more painful and disruptive than most can imagine.
    As usual the poor will continue to suffer the most but this time they will seek retribution wherever they can find it.
    That which does not kill corruption makes it stronger.
    Aug 3, 2015. 05:03 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Several Reasons To Remain Open To Bullish Outcomes For Stocks [View article]
    In IRA and Roth, would have gotten out using your transportation stocks example, and then re-entered when strength re-emerged.
    Taxable accounts complicate the issue, and different factors apply, including cost basis, tax rate , age, risk tolerance, etc.
    I have jumped the gun early, and also ridden it out much longer than I should have so it is hard to know in advance.
    Another factor is how long one can wait to get their money back, assuming they can get it back.
    Corruption and greed caused the 2008 debacle, and it is at least as strong today, if not stronger.
    That is the stock market "dark matter" that we must continually contend with and be wary of and no technical system can fully account for it.
    Anything that does not kill corruption makes it stronger.
    Jul 28, 2015. 09:37 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Testy Tuesday: Bouncing Back To Bull? [View article]
    Phil, enjoy your wider views on things , and not just the dry stock market take as we can get that anywhere.
    Short covering rally and tech oversold rally were due, and we are surely getting it!
    Anyone can put their faith in that if they want to, I'm not.
    Jul 28, 2015. 02:48 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Market Outlook - Where Is The Floor? [View article]
    Absent some unexpectedly bad news, I agree that we will get some kind of a technical bounce now thru mid August. Does that mean I will have any confidence in it? - No.
    Why? It's just technical games (HFT, etc.) and stock buybacks with no substantial improvement in the overall health of the economy, so continue to pick your spots carefully, and avoid whimsical buys based of hunches and fluff.
    A repeat of last OCT. (or worse) could happen any time because not enough has changed in a positive framework, and the same, and maybe a few more, termites are still in the woodwork.
    Jul 27, 2015. 02:01 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • For Bulls, It's That Kind Of Day [View article]
    Nice addition of chart of GDP, inflation etc. forecasts.
    Stagnation continues and will not be easy to overcome given our tolerance for state sponsored and supported corruption and racketeering which we, the people, guarantee with our indifference and misplaced priorities.
    Jul 25, 2015. 03:38 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Record Period Of Indecisiveness [View article]
    So what do they know? - study the chart - a fickle, facile lot.
    Jul 23, 2015. 12:41 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Welcome Back My Friends [View article]
    Nice work Phil, but what they do in and for the Stock Market pales in comparison to what is done "outside" the stock market.
    Jul 23, 2015. 12:35 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment