I'm the editor of UK Value Investor, an investment website and newsletter for defensive value investors. I have been an investor since the 1990s and since 2010 I have been developing and applying a "defensive value" approach to building a high yield, low risk share portfolio.
This strategy is unique in that it focuses on a series of quantitative financial measures that look back through 10 years of financial results to find companies that have the best combination of quality and growth at the best prices.
I also write the blog at UKValueInvestor.com, and occasionally publish other content such as guides and spreadsheets.
Having left school at 16, I trained as a mechanical engineer but later switched to a career in insurance software. That lasted for more than a decade until I started my newsletter business in 2011.
My book, “The Defensive Value Investor”, covers my investment strategy in detail.
PhD in Computational Physics. Developing new models for stock trading (focusing on long SVXY). Predicting future accurately enough for trading purposes is surprisingly difficult... :)
Contrarian investment philosophy. I am in particular interested in undervalued technology stocks with multiple x upside potential and limited downside risk.
I am currently long $MSFT, $LNVGY, $INTC, $CRAY, $VRNG, $OCAT, $F, $TLT, $ALU and $NOK. $NOK (and now $ALU) are still the largest position in my portfolio, although I sold 70% of my $NOK position since the Devices and Services deal with Microsoft was announced. $NOK/ALU, and $TLT are currently my largest individual stock/ETF positions.
I also swing trade inverse volatility (long $SVXY) depending on market trends. I do not touch $VIX or other direct volatility products under any circumstances.
Additional disclosure: My comments, Stocktalks, articles etc are not an endorsement to buy or sell securities. Investing in securities carries with it very high risks. The information contained within my articles and commentary is for informational purposes only and is subject to change at any time. Do your own due diligence and consult with a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.
Lutz is an acknowledged expert on the toy, consumer electronics, video game and craft space. His clients include one of the top three U.S. banks and about 30 leading hedge funds. Having lived on five Continents and speaking six languages, Lutz Muller managed as CEO five manufacturing companies, catering to U.S. and international mass retailers, between 1984 and 2002. He started his business intelligence consulting practice in 2003 and he derives his information from three primary sources. The first is his proprietary retailer panel which includes Wal-Mart, Target, ToysRUs, Gamestop, Best Buy, Walgreens, Costco, Dollar General, Michaels and Barnes + Noble. This panel provides him with sell-through data, shelf space changes, inventory levels and other pertinent metrics governing the major companies and products active in the four industry categories. The second are national buyers at the major mass retailers in the US [Wal-Mart, Target, ToysRUs, Amazon. Best Buy, Gamestop etc] and in Europe [ASDA, ToysRUs, Gamestop, Carrefour, Karstadt, Migros etc]. These provide color on trends and issues that have a bearing on the major manufacturers and products in the four industry categories. The last are mainly Chinese third-party manufacturers who provide insights into supply and inventory issues affecting the major companies or products in the four industry categories.
Lutz consults with banks and hedge funds and hence does not trade in any stocks associated with companies active in the four industry categories on which Lutz is focused.
Lutz also has a monthly column in the Toy Directory, North America's foremost toy and video game industry publication, and is a regular contributor to the Toy World Magazine Uk.. He also publishes a monthly Toy Newsletter both of which can be found on his website www.klosterstrading.com
MSc Project Management Graduate 2012, PRINCE2 Practitioner, APMP, Winner of APM Scottish Project Challenge 2012, Recipient of Technology Strategy Board start-up Grant 2013. Risk Management Product of the year 2013 with Datatecnics. Risk Management Innovation of the year 2015 with Datatecnics (beating Google!) Specialisms: Projects - especially how they relate to strategy; start-up phase; business case design; Supply Chains Direct message me here or on: LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/in/ABHussain New Twitter account: @AbuB_Hussain
I worked for many years in management in the health care industry in the UK, in Bermuda, and for the last 20 years in Florida. The day I turned 59 1/2 I just got out of bed and decided I didn't want to work any more and that I would just take my various pensions from different countries, such as they were, roll them all into one big IRA, and just see if I could live by my wits. My investment objective is, therefore, to make enough so that I never have to work again, although it would be easy for me to do so if I wanted.
I could probably get by very well with a 10% annual yield on my capital, but of course more is more and much more is much more.
When I started out investing in stocks, I really didn't know what I was doing, but I had the occasional bit of luck, like investing every penny I had in BP in the summer of 2010, just when it couldn't go any lower. And it didn't. Then again I staked every dime I had on out of the money options on a drug that had a PDUFA date in January 2011. It was approved. Phew! But I was a nervous wreck and figured there had to be a better way.
Then about a year ago I started to study the whole business of options strategies, got myself a few books, and found out that you could sell options as well as buy them. This was a bit of a revelation, to say the least, because I had noticed that whenever I thought a stock would go up, it went down,and when I thought it would go down, it usually went up, but by selling options you could let other people's optimism work for you.
Then I found out about volatility. I had always known that the whole game was rigged, but now I began to understand how and why
I'm hoping that with some blog posts or articles here I can inform others about some of the things that I have learned in my time as a full time investor and personal hedge fund manager (O.K., layabout) so that they can avoid some basic errors, and I hope to attract enough criticism to be able to learn from those who know much more than me.
I am a Portuguese independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked for both sell side (brokerage) and buy side (fund management) institutions.
I've been trading professionally for about 20 years and also launched www.thinkfn.com in 2004. Thinkfn (Think Finance) carries thousands of educational articles on finance and the markets.
I trade futures, stocks from the long and short side, forex and options. I trade both discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader, Quantshare and others).
I can be reached at paulo.santosATthinkfn.com or followed on Twitter at twitter.com/ThinkFinance999