Agree with naysayers here.. There is a reason these Bull Spreads are so cheap to get into, low chance these stocks move up that high that fast in the dog days of summer. I have tried your strategy so many times only to see the stock trade sideways or down. As a matter of fact, I am holding your Bull Call Spread idea for USO from MAY 12 (seekingalpha.com/artic...) and losing money on it.
Just saying.. this is a high risk strategy. My covered calls in WFC, BAC, and F are bringing me better sleep at night.
"Monte Carlo simulation that projected a distribution of losses by examining potential dispersion around central probabilities of default."
Sounds like B.S. Why can't you just count how many borrowers who are in current default. Then extrapolate that out into the future by demographic, style of home, price of home, salary, etc..
IMHO - Inflation is the only solution can get us out of this. To get real GDP growth up to a level to prop real estate back to 2005, is going to take immigration beyond imagination, since we aren't reproducing anymore (atleast not in my socio-economic group). Net effect - the worlds resources and savings accounts are decimated in one quick rev of the printing press. O well.. I am in the prime of Gen-X earning power and lost most of my 401K. People will just have to deal. Put the printer on Nitrous and some parts overnighted from Japan and lets move on with production of coffee, software, and hamburgers :-)
How Will Payday Lenders Be Affected by New Bill in Congress? [View article]
I agree with John In Madison. Payday lender is just one more leach attaching itself to a producer of income. To repeatedly visit these shops for your check-cashing, is tantamount to a huge pay cut.
That said, I have used one, but oddly, only once. So it must have been a one time situation where I needed help. Once.
Citigroup Makes a Good Move: Preparing to Buy Out Uncle Sam [View article]
If so, this should not affect share dilution for the common stockholders, right?
10 Bullish Option Spread Strategies [View article]
There is a reason these Bull Spreads are so cheap to get into, low chance these stocks move up that high that fast in the dog days of summer.
I have tried your strategy so many times only to see the stock trade sideways or down. As a matter of fact, I am holding your Bull Call Spread idea for USO from MAY 12 (seekingalpha.com/artic...)
and losing money on it.
Just saying.. this is a high risk strategy. My covered calls in WFC, BAC, and F are bringing me better sleep at night.
The Stress Test Cliff Notes [View article]
Sounds like B.S. Why can't you just count how many borrowers who are in current default. Then extrapolate that out into the future by demographic, style of home, price of home, salary, etc..
IMHO - Inflation is the only solution can get us out of this. To get real GDP growth up to a level to prop real estate back to 2005, is going to take immigration beyond imagination, since we aren't reproducing anymore (atleast not in my socio-economic group).
Net effect - the worlds resources and savings accounts are decimated in one quick rev of the printing press. O well.. I am in the prime of Gen-X earning power and lost most of my 401K. People will just have to deal. Put the printer on Nitrous and some parts overnighted from Japan and lets move on with production of coffee, software, and hamburgers :-)
How Will Payday Lenders Be Affected by New Bill in Congress? [View article]
That said, I have used one, but oddly, only once. So it must have been a one time situation where I needed help. Once.