Obama's Windfall Profits Proposal Is Dangerous [View article]
Oh, something else...if "Big Oil" hasn't invested in alternative energies, it's because there wasn't enough potential profit there. Possibly this situation is changing...but without enough demand from *consumers* why would they? That's the nature of capitalism...
Socialists and liberals hate competition. I think it's due to a fear of failure...the rest of us would rather man-up and face the reality in front of us. It's also very clear to me that they don't understand markets, but that's no surprise, given their allergy to competition.
I think the easiest money has been made here, but there is probably still a lot more to go. The pound probably is a safer bet, but I think both of these currencies are good candidates to short.
Auction Rate Securities: Who's To Blame? [View article]
I just don't understand how you can be comfortable buying something without having a decent grasp of the what you were buying and what the mechanics were going to be.
All you people making the case that this rally isn't real due to fundamental reasons are missing a few points.
1) One currency is always traded relative to another. So even if in absolute terms the eurozone fundamentals don't seem as bad as the US fundamentals (an arguable point), it's the direction of these fundamentals that matters. Eurozone has been turning a corner (for the worse). So while the US fundamentals are bad, they're likely not going to continue to deteriorate at such a rapid pace as was occurring when we saw the dollar decline. Eurozone fundamentals, on the other hand, will probably see an increase in the rate of deterioration.
2) You can say this analysis is just technical if you want, because the chart just shows one point in time, and therefore it's apparently lacking information. But, the run up to this breakout was very strong. Anyone who was involved with the USD the weeks leading up to it would (should) have noticed this.
3) You say it's purely technical, but what was the final catalyst? Trichet's speech. Not just the rate decisions (which were as expected), but the thoughts of the central bankers on their respective economies is what pushed USD over the tipping point into this breakout. I'm pretty sure Trichet didn't mention any price charts in his speech :)
Of course, if you want to continue to be USD bears, more power to you...I'll be taking the other side of that trade.
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Latest | Highest ratedObama's Windfall Profits Proposal Is Dangerous [View article]
Socialists and liberals hate competition. I think it's due to a fear of failure...the rest of us would rather man-up and face the reality in front of us. It's also very clear to me that they don't understand markets, but that's no surprise, given their allergy to competition.
Obama's Windfall Profits Proposal Is Dangerous [View article]
You seem to be confusing 'excessive profits' due to 'creative accounting' with 'excessive profits' due to favorable market conditions.
Reasons To Short the Euro [View article]
Auction Rate Securities: Who's To Blame? [View article]
A Closer Look at the Dollar Rally [View article]
1) One currency is always traded relative to another. So even if in absolute terms the eurozone fundamentals don't seem as bad as the US fundamentals (an arguable point), it's the direction of these fundamentals that matters. Eurozone has been turning a corner (for the worse). So while the US fundamentals are bad, they're likely not going to continue to deteriorate at such a rapid pace as was occurring when we saw the dollar decline. Eurozone fundamentals, on the other hand, will probably see an increase in the rate of deterioration.
2) You can say this analysis is just technical if you want, because the chart just shows one point in time, and therefore it's apparently lacking information. But, the run up to this breakout was very strong. Anyone who was involved with the USD the weeks leading up to it would (should) have noticed this.
3) You say it's purely technical, but what was the final catalyst? Trichet's speech. Not just the rate decisions (which were as expected), but the thoughts of the central bankers on their respective economies is what pushed USD over the tipping point into this breakout. I'm pretty sure Trichet didn't mention any price charts in his speech :)
Of course, if you want to continue to be USD bears, more power to you...I'll be taking the other side of that trade.