Alex Sebastian

Is the U.S. Banking System Safe?

The recent spike in financial stock after earnings is similar to all the previous spikes, except of a greater magnitude. Everyone thinks "oh wow they really threw in the kitchen sink this quarter" in relation to the banks' writedowns, and then as things continue to grow worse, everyone realizes the banks are going to have to take bigger and bigger writedowns and the whole sector gets s***kicked for the rest of the quarter. Buy some September or October puts, that's my advice.

Rant Anniversary - Cramer's Mad Money (8/1/08)

I am not nearly convinced that the Fed cutting when Cramer wanted it would have done anything. Refinancing a mortgage involves a substantial upfront fee. How do these owners of NINJA loans afford that fee? They had no assets to pay for that financing. And think of where the USD would be. Cramer would have potentially stuck his finger in one of the holes in the dyke, but I wonder how the US economy would be reacting to $5 a gallon oil..?

I used to listen to Cramer, now for the most part I feel he is a rambling idiot. I definitely did not like his bottom call last week...

Bottoming Stocks - Cramer's Stop Trading! (7/31/08)

I wrote in my blog about why I think Cramer is wrong. Just because an investor disclosed a stake, it doesn't mean they "jumped in". They probably have been acquiring this stake for a while and are looking to build positive sentiment by releasing the information now. I am still bearish.