Roowns

Why Interest Rates Will Go Up

The risk is higher but the demand for money is much lower.
Since when the governments borrowing plays the primordial role into world economy ?
PRIVATE companies don't need money to expand since demand is lower, so money should be in high supply.
Governments are borrowing the extra money to try and increase the demand.
As demand continue to slowly decrease, borrowing costs should be lower, not higher.
As well, I think the risk is decreasing, as companies start to make cost cuts and increase profitability, adjusting to the demand.

In my opinion you are very wrong on your assumptions.

The Top 10 ETF Model Portfolio

Well. If you had like 10 mil. dollars and all you want is to keep your wealth and have low exposure to risk I guess you could easily use a mix of those.
But since it's not really anyone case in here, I'll have to pass. Thank you.

Now can you tell me how to reach 10 mil. dollars so I can use this article ?

This Rally May Have Legs - Bespoke

I disagree.
Recently Bespoke published that "Since the end of February, short sales on the New York Stock Exchange increased by 10.7%" on the rally.
This sign tells me people are not scared by the rally and use it to increase their bets on the market fall.
The market reaction to Fed plan was totally wrong since all those money are pumped into banks for what ? To make sure this sector that contribute with nothing to economy doesn't fail and what banks are doing with the money ? Paying CEOs or keep liquidity for the rainy days.
The few improvements that we've seen into the economic indicators surely are just a small step before we make a picture if it's the bottom or not.
And after market rallied so much it makes it even more risky to enter now.

Don’t Panic: Real-time Data Points to Stabilization

I followed you. You are bullish for sometime now (maybe months) but market just performed miserable this year as well. It's true that is stabilizing somehow, but the bottom is tested many times and at some point might break.
I think all investors passed the phase where they panic, so "don't panic" it's a bit too late :)
I still wait for big failures and some more contraction in spending before any bottom.

Is It Time to Buy? What History Shows

For those who waited till now I simply don't see why not doing it forward since nothing is clear.
It's true that we had a rally but after a free fall market. It's sure that news were not good, still market got up, but take in account that 2 month ago news were a disaster, with many institutions failing and plans of billions running.
Yes, now companies make lower predictions and fire people, but this has not such an impact as bailouts in financial sector.

10 Contrarian Reasons for a Bottom

I think it's already over :) But I don't expect much action this year. Maybe a fall in first day of next year...
The author theory has a good chance to happen and I agree with it, even 1.000 on S&P 500 is kind of high target...
We'll test the low again.

On Dec 08 11:12 AM mr clark wrote:

> the rally is almost over guys, 1 more day or so...

Four Commonsense Clues to a Genuine Market Bottom

The market will bottom when nobody will try to guess when the market will bottom. Now seriously, why ask such a question when the bottom is still far away ? At this point I would not even talk about a stabilization of the markets.
Till I don't hear that investors from Dubai bought a few billions homes in USA I will not remain confident of anything.

The Transition from Bear to Bull Market

Interesting case. But that's for very long investments. You should make a study on how much the market falls in a bear relative to the 200 mean and compare the recent drop with other bear markets.

Things Aren't as Bad as They Seem - Barron's

Low price of oil and the low cost of materials, low food price etc will start to count after the stabilization of the home prices. Maybe this could counter some loss of jobs in the economy, but no way near the rest of the mess.
Until the home prices are not stabilized and the accounting rules won't be changed for this not be repeated in the future i don't see people coming back to stocks.

The Two-Ton Wall Street Conflict of Interest Few Dare To Talk About

I loved the comparison with the ship. Nobody could say it better.
But I am sure people will easy forget about the unemployment numbers and concentrate on the Fannie and Grannie story that most likely will bring big surprises.
I look forward for the most volatile week of the year.

After a Good Week, Will We Get Follow-Through?

No news counts when the big boys get out from commodities.
Not even the strength of dollar, the Russia war or the big financial losses, all that should affect stocks.
From a technical perspective, I could say commodities have a few weeks to drop and this is likely to lead to rising stocks.
After this, God bless America cuz otherwise we are all doomed :)