Roowns

Friday Outlook: Commodities, Global Markets

With the market being 50% down from peak, I think it's safe to say the 40 in volatility it's the new 20 as you were implying.
The volatility indicator should be somehow weighted with market level for a better view.

Let's face it. After the disaster of news that we were targeted in recent months, the few good economic indicators from last weeks made some difference in the market.
We all know this is not enough for a bottom and those who hurry to enter now are more risk takers.
From my point of view, this it was the way to go, I am not shocked. But I think it's a small chance that the streak of good news will continue.

Keep the good work David.

Don't Abandon Commodities Just Yet

Are you going to wait for 30-40 years till supply gets short having no idea about the demand in this period ? I don't plan to do it.
And what's this " Don't abandon commodities". You say you owned commodities in this free fall ? What a disaster....
Commodities have the same chance to rebound as stocks do and will probably occur same time with stocks.
If oil rebound will stabilize close to the bottom as stocks did.
I can't say the same thing about gold.

Friday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets

Read carefully, it was terrible breadth all day and saved in the last half hour of trading... Professional traders know the true. Some kind of artificial correction.

Thursday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets

gabe, when u see the rebound, 6 month, 1 year, 2 years ?
People here think on a much shorter scale. In 6 month you could lose tones of money.
The commodities sell off and the skyrocking of treasury says it all for now. I'm not sure what will happen next cuz there's nothing else to go down except stocks.