Seeking Alpha

Nick Shadow

Nick Shadow
Send Message
View as an RSS Feed
View Nick Shadow's Comments BY TICKER:
Latest comments  |  Highest rated
  • HP posts mixed results, offers in-line FY15 guidance [View news story]
    Anyone who thinks HP did not do terribly should probably listen to Cory Johnson's review of the numbers. He is on Bloomberg West, perhaps they saved the video.

    Highlights; cash flow crashing, they are factoring receivables, etc., it goes on.

    I hate to see this once wonderful tech giant struggling so much.

    Nick
    May 21, 2015. 04:22 PM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Penalties come down for banks from forex probes [View news story]
    BS, the money collected from these fines by the Justice Department goes to victims of violent crimes, not the govt coffers,

    Please check your facts before posting

    Nick
    May 20, 2015. 08:17 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Lululemon Athletica's Future Is Looking Bright [View article]
    Thanks for the in-depth look at LuLu, appreciate your work. I agree with you, the upside is there.

    Guess you and I are the only ones who care :)

    Regards,

    Nick
    May 20, 2015. 03:16 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Penalties come down for banks from forex probes [View news story]
    I disagree with the position that this is just cost of doing business. These banks have large, and numerous institutional holders. Positions that are large enough to move the share price considerably. Some of these groups have rules about who they can invest with, and a basis for those investments. There will be ramifications.

    If you are trading the stock, not such a big issue, however, if you are a long term, retail investor with a few hundred or few thousand shares, you are cork floating in the sea.

    I will no longer take that risk, I don't think it is over, and it may get worse. I have been thinking it was over for a couple of years now, and every time another one comes out, someone remarks about how this is probably the end, that story really getting old.


    It is worth noting that this is still a $5 and change stock (10 for 1 rev split). Lastly I think the only reason it has run up lately (on light volume) is because C has been in there putting a floor under it. They can only buy so much,,,,,,what happens when they have to stop and if a couple of the multi-million shares positions start walking out?


    Just my thoughts,
    Nick
    May 20, 2015. 11:56 AM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • J.C. Penney - While The Recovery Continues, There Is Little Appeal For Investors [View article]
    Author, thanks for the research and the insight. I have a couple of questions.

    I would guess (and it is just that) the covenants and rate triggers JC had to agree to are pretty rough. What do you think the odds are that as they make progress they can improve the debt situation, with imbedded trigger goals and or out right refinance?

    Secondly, does a reit on the real estate make sense or even possible? Seems to me they are close to a going concern sans a load of debt.

    Thanks

    Nick
    May 15, 2015. 04:27 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Reports: Twitter CFO Noto takes control of marketing [View news story]
    Perhaps this guy could run GM in his spare time. This is rotational nightmare. I suspect the problem is at the very top.

    I suggest if CEO were to step down, it is worth $10 a share that day. He has completely lost the street, and with reason.

    Note please this is all speculation on my part, they have not called me to consult.

    Nick
    May 5, 2015. 04:08 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Buy Twitter Before Periscope, Video Really Take Off [View article]
    Twitter didn't take this big haircut over nothing. The wholesale money (the guys big enough to move the market) are losing whatever patience they had with TWTR's management team and business model, the valuation is off the charts and that is fine as long as things are going well, but really hurts when there is an oops, it doesn't have to be a number oops. Take a look at LULU's chart, you can probably guess where the see through pant thingy showed up.

    BWT, it probably isn't going back to the 50's until a lot of the pros figure out how this is all going to workout. Simply too much downside. It might go back tomorrow if TWTR announced a CEO they had some faith in.

    And the part about wanting the stock to go down. The old saying being used in the day, when you called a broker to make a trade (yes we did that) is "If you liked it at $20, you gotta loooooooove it at $10". It was not complementary, it still isn't. I can't think of a situation where I would want a stock to down, well there is one, if I am short.


    Nick
    May 4, 2015. 06:16 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Kinder Morgan: The Cat Is Officially Out Of The Bag [View article]
    eye,

    I live in Texas, a place with more BS per square foot than any place in the nation. BTW, if you are suggesting an education for someone, you might check your grammar.
    Apr 1, 2015. 02:06 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Will Lululemon Top The Whisper Number This Quarter? [View article]
    Euda,

    Why would you wish a company to do poorly? Own a competing stock?

    Anyway the hoping and wishing isn't working out all that well.

    Nick
    Mar 26, 2015. 11:47 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • If Twitter Just Had Its 'Facebook Moment,' What Is It Worth? [View article]
    I read twtr articles a lot, everyone seems to have an opinion, but I don't note many writers or commenters that indicate they either own or are short the stock. Although the author of this read states "Being short Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) as a hedge to my long portfolio," that he has a position.

    While I admire and appreciate all of the research and spreadsheet work of the author, I don't know that I can come away with anymore of a conclusion than I had prior to reading. It is a tough one for me.

    It did today however, get a "golden cross" on the daily. As good a tea leave as anything I have read.

    I also agree the comment by "Anyoption" above that the Twtr's big problem is the incessant comparison to FB. Which leads me to conclude that many, many people can't figure it out, as they are two very different animals.


    I am long Twtr

    Nick



    Mar 12, 2015. 11:10 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • J.C. Penney: Lowered Gross Margin Expectations Limits Upside To $11 In A Good Growth Scenario [View article]
    I have posted in a few places regarding the JCP, with disclosure that I was long. In fairness, (not that I am a big deal Market Mover), I am reporting I sold my 3k position yesterday.

    I don't think the company is going out of business, but my stop kicked in (that is why I had a stop on it)

    I will watch and perhaps find another entry point.

    Nick
    Mar 6, 2015. 11:57 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Sierra Wireless Should Continue Moving Higher [View article]
    RD,

    The patterns you see are the institutional (wholesale traders) making moves on the stock, with a lot computer trading.

    Retail Day traders do not have enough vol to move the stock meaningfully. It is not uncommon for stocks to get "range bound" (they can stay that way for a very long time).

    Something significant would be needed to move it out of that range. Also contributing is the company's somewhat uneven performance. Not uncommon for a small cap.

    Some folks will trade these ranges, and I am sure some are on this one. However repeat performance is of course not guaranteed. While tempting, it is best left to the pros.

    Are you a trader or investor?

    Nick
    Mar 5, 2015. 11:56 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • J.C. Penney: What To Do After Today's Massacre [View article]
    Sears and JCP customers correlate in several ways. I don't ever want to see a company fail, it is lousy for many reasons. But I can't change that.

    Sears business is melting like a snow ball in July, and many of those folks will migrate to JCP. It this going to be slow, I believe so.

    I listened to entire call last night and came away impressed with how it was handled, thinking this guys know what they are doing. I also think they are being very conservative with their guidance.

    Nick

    I am long JCP, for the fifth time now, it has been very rewarding.
    Feb 27, 2015. 11:47 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • J.C. Penney -14.5% on earnings sell-off [View news story]
    Now down 7.1% as I type,,,,,,,,,over reaction anyone?
    Feb 27, 2015. 11:00 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Where Will Twitter Be At The End Of 2015? [View article]
    Based on the comments here, perhaps they funded and didn't sell, hence no trade. Everyone knows it is going back to $37 where all of this started.

    FUND MGR: I am by no means a Cramer fan, but he was hot this stock long before you suggest. From your comments, I am thinking you are either short or soon to be?

    Nick
    Feb 17, 2015. 04:44 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
219 Comments
570 Likes