Reuben Gregg Brewer spent about 15 years at world renowned Value Line, the Publisher of The Value Line Investment Survey. During this time he worked in various facets of the company's research efforts, including equities, mutual funds, convertibles, and options. For six years, he directed all of the company's research efforts as Value Line's Executive Director of Research. Today he writes about the things that interest him.
Contributing columnist for Real Money and TheStreet.com. BA in History from Bemidji State in Minnesota. I went on to learn Chinese at National Taiwan University in Taipei.
I worked in mortgage sales at Countrywide and Bank of America until 2010 when I decided to relocate to Taiwan.
I was born in India in October 1957 during the waning years of British colonialism. I returned home to native Scotland as a infant and grew up in the small country town of Kirriemuir, famous as the birth place of J. M. Barrie, the creator of Peter Pan, and of Bon Scott, lead singer with rock band AC DC.
In 1979 I graduated from The University of Aberdeen with a BSc degree in geology and went on to defend a PhD in 1984 that examined Crustal Evolution in Western Norway based on radiogenic isotope data. In 1983, my wife and I moved to Norway where we both worked at The University of Oslo. In this period I worked on developing methods that employed natural radiogenic isotope ratio variations in rocks and fluids to help characterise the layering and connectivity of oil and gas reservoirs and have since published a number of papers on this topic.
In 1993 we returned home to Aberdeen with a one year old infant and I would establish an isotope geochemistry analysis and consulting business that would eventually employ 12 people and operate 3 mass spectrometers. Business boomed during the early years with a spate of large new field developments that would fuel the second peak in UK oil production in 1999. But a glut of oil on the market would see the oil price fall below $10 / barrel in 1998 that would lead to one of the periodic busts in the industry which my company survived but would never fully recover from.
On September 11th 2001 I decided to throw in the towel and sold the analytical part of the business but continued doing consultancy work for the oil industry until 2005. In 2003 I fortuitously invested some money in a range of small oil stocks and had become intrigued to understand why their value and the price of oil seemed to be set on an ever upwards trajectory. I had for a long while been fascinated by the concept of peak oil and read a few books including Richard Heinberg’s The Party’s Over, Matt Simmons’ Twilight in The Dessert and Daniel Yergin’s The Prize. And then one day in 2006 I stumbled upon The Oil Drum blog without realising at the time that this enterprise would consume the greater part of my time for the following 7 years.
At that time The Oil Drum provided unique insight to the pandoras box of the energy world that society was struggling to understand. Escalating oil and energy prices meant spreading energy poverty through the poorer parts of OECD society and throughout the developing world. Politicians and policy makers were caught off balance and did not know how to respond. Not much has changed.
I have two sons, both recently graduated from university, a wife who works for the oil industry and two dogs who take me for a long walk every afternoon. I am under a certain amount of pressure to contribute to family income and so undertake occasional consulting jobs for the energy industries. But my real passion is to try and understand the various components of how The Earth energy system works and to educate politicians, policy makers and the public on Energy Matters so that better choices can be made. I hope the articles I write for Energy Matters may one day build into a book and that I may somehow make a living from data analysis, writing and public speaking.
In 2009 I was appointed as Honorary Research Fellow at The University of Aberdeen where I teach occasional courses.
Eric Parnell, CFA, is the Founder and Director of Gerring Capital Partners. Gerring Capital is a registered investment advisory firm seeking attractive returns opportunities emphasizing value, quality and risk control. Eric also publishes The Universal premium service on Seeking Alpha targeting winning strategies in bear and bull markets across the asset class universe. Gerring Capital implements these strategies for its investors and then Eric discusses them on The Universal. Eric is also a Visiting Instructor at Ursinus College in the Department of Business and Economics. Prior to founding Gerring in 2005, Eric was the Director of Investment Communications at SEI Investments and an Economist at Moody’s Analytics.
Friedrich is the name given to our algorithm for analyzing companies that trade on the global stock markets. In creating Friedrich we concentrated on analyzing each company’s Main Street operations through various established ratios, along with our own unique ratios that we developed over the last 30 years. What we came up with is a final "Main Street" price per share based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), which is a framework of accounting standards, rules and procedures defined by the professional accounting industry, which has been adopted by nearly all publicly traded U.S. companies. We feel that our Main Street price result is what each company would need to trade at in order to be attractive to a businessperson on Main Street looking to buy at a bargain.
Since the only constant in the universe is change, the results for each company fluctuate by varying degrees. No company is an island unto itself, but each operates in a world of constant change and at times in areas where Chaos is the norm. By analyzing a company’s Main Street operations over time, Friedrich is able to give the potential investor a decade long analysis (opinion) as well as offering a Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) analysis (opinion), as well. Thus our readers will not only get as close to a real time view of operations on Main Street as is possible, but then can measure the consistency of the company’s operations over time to determine if s/he should invest or not.
Through our Friedrich algorithm we can analyze ten years of Balance Sheet, Income Statement and Cash Flow Statement data for each company all at once and generate one final result in seconds. Friedrich was designed to be ultra-conservative and thus will cut zero slack to any company under analysis and will do so with zero emotion. Companies must be exceptional in order to get an attractive Main Street valuation and the ideal investments according to our backtesting are the ones that have been consistent over time.
By being so ultra conservative Friedrich is designed to identify bargains that Wall Street investors may have overlooked. Companies shares may trade on the stock market but the companies themselves operate on Main Street, so Friedrich is designed to generate a Main Street price per share first and only then does he go to Wall Street and see the price for which Benjamin Graham’s “Mr. Market” is offering the shares.
Harry S. Dent Jr. studied economics in college in the 1970s, receiving his MBA from Harvard Business School, where he was a Baker Scholar and was elected to the Century Club for leadership excellence. Harry grew to find the study of economics vague and inconclusive and became so disillusioned by the state of his chosen profession that he turned his back on it. Instead, he threw himself into the burgeoning new science of finance which married economic research and market research. Identifying and studying demographic trends, business cycles, consumers’ purchasing power and many other trends empowered Harry to forecast economic and market changes.
The core of his work the “Dent Method” (forecasting long-term economic trends based on the study of and changes in demographic trends) was developed by Harry in the late 1980s.
Since then, he’s spoken to executives, financial advisors and investors around the world. He’s appeared on “Good Morning America,” PBS, CNBC and CNN/Fox News. He’s been featured in Barron’s, Investor’s Business Daily, Entrepreneur, Fortune, Success, U.S. News and World Report, Business Week, The Wall Street Journal, American Demographics and Omni. He is a regular guest on Fox Business’s “America’s Nightly Scorecard.”
A best-selling author, Harry has written numerous successful books over the years, including The Demographic Cliff – How to Survive and Prosper During the Great Deflation of 2014–2019, which details why we’re facing a “great deflation” after five years of stimulus — and what to do about it now. Most recently, Harry published The Sale of a Lifetime: How the Great Bubble Burst of 2017 Can Make You Rich, looking at the upcoming economic crisis and revealing how it could be the single greatest chance to build wealth we’ll ever see, and how we can capitalize on such a unique and historical opportunity.
I am a reformed and recovering management consultant who, through multiple client engagements, applies deep exposure to the upstream and midstream oil and gas industry to create a picture of where these businesses will be in the next two years. With a background in both engineering and finance, I approach investing through a quantitative value approach for the medium and long term horizon.
The investment return profile looks to generate anywhere between 25 and 250 percent within a 12 to 36 month window and minimizes risk by focusing on businesses whose equity is liquid, and are large enough to allow a significant placement of investment assets (generally businesses with total enterprise values in excess of $250mm). The key elements of my investment style are:
1. Is there even the slightest chance the company is going bankrupt? If not, I just stop. I want stuff I can hang on to for long periods without significant risk.
2. Are the managers real artisans in their fields or have they fallen prey to the two most common corporate diseases: (a) their professional management activities are more important that the growth of the company or (b) their skills as financial engineers building masterpieces of leverage are more interesting to them than running a boring business. If not, I just stop. I want people running my investment that I can trust. Included in this category is skin in the game… they better own some measurable percentage of the business so that their own personal fortunes are tied up in it.
3. Is the business they are in one I could explain in under 30 minutes to my 10 year old son? For example, they suck natural gas out of the ground and sell it to whomever will give them the most for it. If not, I just stop. I want stuff I can understand without twisting my brain into a pretzel.
4. Do they build and/or sell stuff that during times of economic recession are truly discretionary items? If they are, I just stop. I want stuff that makes/sells things people need rain or shine.
Fundamentally, I believe self-directed investors can use their own experience and powers of understanding to make exceptional investments on their own, without turning to the professional investment advisory community... and obtain a much better return profile on their assets in the process. I like discovering value, whether because of cyclical down-on-hard-luck stories or secular growth stories and highlighting why I believe they are so.
Patience, low investment position turnover, true understanding of real value of a business, and the power of geometric compounding are the things for which I strive.
Gary Schurman has over 25 years of experience in finance, accounting and software development. He began his career at international accounting firm Deloitte & Touche, served as Vice President Mergers & Acquisitions at Bay View Capital Corporation, a $6 billion publicly-held bank holding company, Treasurer of California Thrift & Loan, a $750 million finance company that he helped take public in 1995 via an IPO, Chief Financial Officer of several Silicon Valley start-ups, Chief Technology Officer at Decisive Inc. where he authored the Company's on-line software products that it offers to Banks and Credit Unions, and most recently as a “Quant” for a Wall Street firm specializing in subprime CDOs. Gary is currently the director of quantitative modeling and original founder of WhaddaDunce.com.
Gary received his Masters Degree in Business Economics (MBE) from the University of California at Santa Barbara and his BS in Business and Accounting from Robert Morris University in Pittsburgh. Gary is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and a Certified Public Accountant (CPA).
Most people follow the path of least resistance making poor dietary and health choices. People also spend their discretionary income and credit on retail, shiny computer gadgets, smartphones, and cable TV instead of on retirement savings. One can profit from this behavior by buying stock in companies that support other people's bad decisions.
I focus on investing long-term in high-quality, dividend-paying companies that tap into poor lifestyle choices across the economic spectrum.
I'm long on companies like Coca-Cola (sugar water), Kraft, and Mondelez (pre-packaged junk food), Altria and Philip Morris, Int (smokers), Abbott and AbbVie (drugs and equipment to treat poor lifestyle choices), Intel (computer chips to support shiny gadgets & now mobile phones too), Disney and Comcast for entertainment, internet and cable, and of course who can forget booze (Diageo) and lattes (Starbucks).
And since most people don't have a lot of money saved, one can profit from stores that sell cheap clothing (TJX Companies), banks to lend them money (Wells Fargo), and energy to move them about and heat their homes (Williams Companies and Chevron).
My complete portfolio currently consists of the following stocks:
AbbVie Inc (ABBV)
Abbott Laboratories (ABT)
Chevron Corporation (CVX)
Diageo Plc (DEO)
Emerson Electric Co (EMR)
Gramercy Properties Trust (GPT)
The Home Depot (HD)
Intel Corporation (INTC)
The Coca-Cola Company (KO)
The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC)
McCormick & Company (MKC)
Mondelez International Inc (MDLZ)
Altria Group Inc (MO)
Norfolk Southern Company (NSC)
Proctor & Gamble (PG)
The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX)
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)
The Walt Disney Company (DIS)
Wells Fargo & Co (WFC)
Williams Companies (WMB)
Analyst and Fund Manager with almost 20 years investment experience. Coverage includes a variety of industries, with a focus on technology.
Particularly focused on value stocks, poorly understood or under-followed situations, and contrarian perspectives.
Primarily invest in special situations with value that is poorly understood or not fully appreciated, or where we believe there is a highly asymetric risk/reward profile. Also look for long/short ideas in mid/larger cap names where we believe we have a variant view, and the market is dramatically mispricing value.
Follow me on Twitter @valinsights
Brad Thomas is a research analyst and he currently writes weekly for Forbes and Seeking Alpha where he maintains research on many publicly-listed REITs. In addition, Thomas is the Senior Analyst at iREIT Forbes and Editor of the Forbes Real Estate Investor, a monthly subscription-based newsletter.
Thomas has also been featured in Forbes Magazine, Kiplinger’s, US News & World Report, Money, NPR, Institutional Investor, GlobeStreet, and Fox Business. He was the #1 contributing analyst on Seeking Alpha in 2014 (as ranked by TipRanks) and he is currently writing a book on the legendary investor Donald Trump.
Thomas has co-authored a book (The Intelligent REIT Investor) that is available on Amazon.
Thomas received a Bachelor of Science degree in Business/Economics from Presbyterian College where he played basketball. He resides in South Carolina with his wife and kids.
I am a buy and hold common stock investor. Warren Buffett is definitely my guru. He makes the most sense to me. I began investing in the stock market at age 14 in 1970 with money earned on my paper route. What I have done since 1970 is invest primarily in the Dividend Aristocrats whenever the stock market is relatively low. I have never sold a single share of stock except on the rare occasion when one of my stocks was bought out for cash and I was forced to sell.. I keep all of my stock certificates or direct registration statements in a safe deposit box at the bank. I do not automatically reinvest dividends. I only purchase stocks when I feel that the stock market is relatively low. Brown University, B. A., 1978. Below are the 35 stocks in my portfolio.
Interactive Buyside gives hedge fund analysts a platform to share their investment research & analysis on stocks, in order to help them grow their assets. We then share this proprietary research to our growing community of individual investors. For free.
We built Interactive Buyside with a dual mandate:
(1) To help hedge funds find alternative means to market their funds, gain media attention, and attract capital to grow.
(2) To give the millions and millions of retail investors fundamental and professionally-written stock research for the first time ever.
Our goal is to democratize the information flow of investment research and empower the retail investor with all the tools that big financial institutions have historically been privy to. We do this all at no cost for our analysts or investors.
I am a 43 year veteran of Wall Street. My first 26 years were spent on the buy-side as an institutional money manager. I have spent the last 13 years as a sell-side strategist. I am a life long contrarian who finds it easy to take positions quite apart from the crowd. I am most comfortable with my forecasts when my macro and technical analysis are in sync and when my views are at odds with the consensus. I've always been fascinated by the behavioral aspects of investing. Years of observing investor behavior has led me to the conclusion that investor psychology may be the most powerful emotional force in the universe, more powerful than love or hate. It causes otherwise rational beings to make some very irrational decisions. I think every investor should read Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds by Charles MacKay.
Lawrence Meyers is the CEO of PDL Capital, which brokers financing, strategic investments, and distressed asset purchases between private equity firms and businesses of all stripes.
He was the first U.S. journalist to cover the payday loan sector for The Motley Fool. He is a frequent contributor on matters of personal finance and stock market investing to SeekingAlpha.com, InvestorPlace.com, WyattResearch.com, Bloggernews.net, LearnBonds.com, and blogs at http://www.ichabodcranium.com.
His work has been praised for its insight, humor, and specifics of working financial psychology into his analysis of personal finance matters and stock market investing. He attributes his skill to his many years writing for dramatic television. He has written over 24 hours of television and produced over 60 hours.
He consults for institutional investors on all aspects of the domestic and foreign alternative financial services industry, including legislative and regulatory issues. In 2010, Meyers began consulting for crisis communications firms, providing articles and videos to support their various clients. He is also developing business plans for the alternative financing, production, and distribution of creative content.
As a crisis communications consultant, he has drawn upon his expertise in various other fields including: economics, chemistry, public policy, fragrances, hair products, regulatory corruption, political communications, student loans, public and for-profit education, filmed entertainment, junk science, and pop culture criticism.
He is also the author of Teacher of the Year: The Mystery and Legacy of Edwin Barlow, which 60 Minutes correspondent Steve Kroft has praised; Inside the TV Writer's Room: Practical Advice for Succeeding in Screenwriting; and Bond Forever: A Film Buff's Cinematic Analysis of the James Bond series.
Lawrence has more than 20 years of personal finance and investing experience, and has covered stocks across virtually every sector of the market. He is one of the nation’s experts on consumer credit, and frequently consults for hedge funds and private equity via his Council Member status at Gerson Lehman Group, and as a member of Coleman Research Group’s Executive Forum.
His Op-Eds and Letters to the Editor have appeared in over two dozen major newspapers.
As with any articles regarding investments, you should never rely on information you read without doing your own due diligence. My articles contain my honest, forthright and carefully considered personal opinion, and conclusions, containing information derived from my own research. This may include discussions with management. I do not repeat "talking points" but may quote management from an interview. I am never influenced by third parties in arriving at my conclusions. Do not solely rely on my articles or anyone else's when making an investment decision. Always contact your financial advisor before investing in any security.
You can contact Lawrence at PDLCapital66@gmail.com.
I spent 30 years working as an Engineer / Manager in the field of industrial equipment with a focus on industrial robotics, I worked many long 7 day weeks and always saved and invested the additional cash. At 54 I decided to retire for various reasons the least of which not being the insane manner in which our government had and continued to manage our nation's finances. At this point I am totally focused on modest growth and preservation of capital and keep a weary eye on Washngotn DC as they further degrade the wealth of this great nation.
Have managed money for clients as an independent advisor since 1991. Published a newsletter ECONOMIC LEADS from 1988 to 1993. Have an economics degree from Vanderbilt University. Focus on the macro picture forecasting the US economy and broad stock market. Also have a model to estimate long term equity returns for several countries.
Full Time Micro Cap Investor. Founder of MicroCapClub.com
Founded in 2011, MicroCapClub is an exclusive forum for experienced microcap investors focused on microcap companies (sub $300m market cap). MicroCapClub was created to be a platform for experienced microcap investors to share and discuss stock ideas. MicroCapClub’s mission is to foster the highest quality microcap investor Community, produce Educational content for investors, and promote better Leadership in the microcap arena.
It is very hard or impossible to time the broad market consistently — there are no famous investors that got rich by consistently knowing what the broad market would do next. This only makes sense, as there are just too many variables in the broad market. But there are many famous investors who got rich analyzing individual securities, and this is where you should put your focus. You can get an edge in individual securities. Joe Springer was the number 1 ranked stock analyst in the world by tipranks.com, and on most days is still ranked in the top 5%. Joe is a Certified Technical Trainer, and enjoys teaching about the stock market as well as managing portfolios. If you would like to follow Joe on Twitter, his handle is @JoeSpringer.
Lares Capital, a long/short fund that specializes in small caps, option strategies, and low-liquidity equities. The fund invests in both domestic and foreign securities.
You can contact us at firstname.lastname@example.org.
Ian Wyatt is an active investor, a well-regarded investment expert and an Internet entrepreneur. He is the Chief Investment Strategist at Wyatt Investment Research, and plays a leading role in each of the company’s investment newsletters and trading services.As a well-regarded market expert, Ian has written for Marketwatch, Zacks Investment Research, Seeking Alpha, Yahoo! Finance and The Burlington Free Press. He has been interviewed or quoted in articles in well-known publications including AOL Finance Blogging Stocks, Kiplinger’s Personal Finance Magazine, Barron Magazine, Barrons.com, Forbes.com, The Dick Davis Digest, The Dick Davis Income Digest, The Wall Street Transcript, TheStockAdvisors.com, Money Show Digest, The New Jersey Star Ledger, The Wisconsin State Journal and The Seattle Times.
In 1998, Ian combined two of his passions, stocks and the Internet, with the launch of a free investment web site with expert advice about investing in stocks.
Ian founded Business Financial Publishing and Wyatt Investment Research in 2001, publishing investment newsletters for individual investors. Since then, the company has evolved into an Internet content company publishing e-letters, special reports, newsletters, trading services and financial web sites.
Business Financial Publishing was named #185 on the 2008 Inc. Magazine Inc. 500 list of the fastest growing companies in the United States, achieving a 3-year growth rate of 1,303%. The company currently reaches over one million individual investors weekly through its free e-letters.
His first book, The Small-Cap Investor: Secrets to Winning Big with Small-Cap Stocks, was published by John Wiley & Sons in September 2009. Ian lives in the Green Mountains of Vermont with his wife Carrie.
Joseph has been an analyst, investor, and student of economic theory; money and banking; and statistical methods for evaluating and implementing risk/reward trading algorithms since 1972. Joseph is also an occasional contributor to financial publications and his essays are frequently cited by other financial websites and publications.
Since the end of the Great Recession, Joseph came to recognize that traditional methodologies for forecasting economic growth and investment asset pricing are no longer of value, and a broader understanding of the post Glass Steagall, financially engineered world that has driven markets and economies since the turn of the century is required today.
He has a good grasp of Shadow Banking, High Frequency Trading, and Dark Pools, and their impact on today’s markets. He has also spent considerable time understanding the new global paradigm of central bank involvement in experimental policy designed to better control economies.
Joseph doesn’t subscribe to a specific school of theory on economics. Rather, his thinking is based on a combination of the Classical School, the Austrian School, and the Keynesian School. He even sees the writings of Karl Marx as particularly instructive.
Joseph is particularly fond of the following quote from Albert Einstein and sees his own work as driven by that same passionate curiosity that Einstein refers to:
“I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious.”
Coming in a close second in terms of favorite quotes that express his views, Joseph embraces Lord Acton’s views expressed here:
“The danger is not that a particular class is unfit to govern.
Every class is unfit to govern."
Alan Brochstein, CFA, was the first investment professional to devote himself to sharing his observations about the cannabis industry from an investor's perspective publicly. He runs 420 Investor, a subscription-based due diligence platform for investors interested in the publicly-traded cannabis stocks and is also the founder of New Cannabis Ventures, a content aggregation site focused on investors and entrepreneurs in the cannabis industry.
Alan has worked in the securities industry since 1986, primarily with the responsibility for managing investments in institutional environments until he founded AB Analytical Services in 2007 in order to provide independent research and consulting to registered investment advisors. In addition to advising several different hedge funds and investment managers, including Friedberg Investment Management, where he participated as a member of its investment management committee, Alan was also a senior analyst for the independent research firm Management CV. In 2008, he began providing a first-of-its-kind subscription-based service for individual investors, Invest By Model, which offered two different portfolios that investors could replicate in their own accounts for $20 per month. Alan also offered The Analytical Trader at Marketfy, where he used fundamental and technical analysis in a disciplined process to offer specific trade ideas geared towards swing traders.
Alan launched www.420Investor.com in late 2013 as the premier source of information for "Green Rush" investors seeking to capitalize on the proliferation of legalized medical and recreational cannabis. In March 2014, Alan, who is a member of the National Cannabis Industry Association, began to focus solely on the cannabis sector. He launched www.NewCannabisVentures.com in late 2015.
You can follow Alan on Facebook (www.facebook.com/420investor) or on Twitter (https://twitter.com/Invest420). Alan also moderates a large LinkedIn group focused on the cannabis industry, Cannabis Investors & Entrepreneurs (https://www.linkedin.com/groups/6523904)