I founded and manage Servo Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) firm that helps people achieve financial independence, a secure retirement, and positions them to leave a meaningful financial legacy.
Over 30 years of investing in individual stocks. Extensive business experience with small to mid-size companies, including as CEO. Many hundreds of blog posts on financial and economic matters since 2008. Focus on value with catalysts for upside price action. Background as a physician and pharmaceutical inventor and entrepreneur, however focus now is global and involves almost all economic categories.
Background: Former securities analyst and brokerage firm owner and
Currently doing investment strategy consulting for institutional investors
Undergraduate degree from Northwestern, Economics
Taught Advanced Financial Markets Class at a University in Chicago
In to Yoga.
*************Original User account: 17741882***********************
General : Aspiring Equity Analyst with 7 years of professional and personal investment experience. Primary focus is Value and Growth both domestic and abroad (Europe and Latin America)
Professional Experience: Hedge Fund Assurance and Valuation Services ( AUM 100M - 10B). Exposure to almost every investment strategy and product on the market. Strategies ranged from typical Long/Short Equity & Structured Products such as MBS and CDOs, all the way to reinsurance funds trading catastrophe linked bonds.
Licenses: CPA (NJ) Certified Public Accountant
CFA Candidate - Level 1 June 2017
Very proud Rutgers Graduate- New Brunswick Campus - GO Scarlet Knights ! -
Major: Bachelor's of Accounting
SevenSeas Investment Research was created to provide investors with honest, deeply considered, detailed, passionately conducted, straight forward, value focused, fundamental investment research on a variety of asset classes and market topics.
I use a combination of traditional value focused fundamental research and a proprietary method of stock selection that can be adjusted to meet a dynamic mixture of different risk tolerances, and various other investor criteria to construct concentrated and unique portfolios to any given individual's investment needs.
My deep knowledge of Alternative Investments and Accounting (both GAAP & IFRS), as well as my exposure to dozens of successful hedge fund portfolios and complex investment securities, provided me with a unique perspective few obtain of a side of the market unseen by the retail investor. I wish to share my passion and knowledge for the markets that has grown to an obsession over the last 7 years with the SA community, to bring value to investors ranging from beginners, all the way to seasoned professionals, and network with the thousands of talented individuals from around the world who come to the platform seeking the same objectives.
My overall mission is to provide readers with valuable research to assist them in making wise investment decisions. All articles are my own personal views, and do not constitute investment advice. **Please be sure to contact your own investment professional when considering purchasing an investment.
SevenSeas will remain dedicated to providing a complete, and consistent level of work and appreciation for the readers. The highest standards of ethics and professionalism will be displayed at all times. I welcome all feedback and can be reached via direct messaging. Best of luck to all, and I hope you enjoy the work.
PRIMARY OBJECTIVE: ... Income Replacement!
Escape velocity is the speed that an object needs to be traveling to break free of the planet's gravitational pull and leave it without further propulsion.
This portfolio is looking for the point where the income being generated can allow the holder of this portfolio to escape the gravitational pull of the market and economic forces of worrying about share prices.
The objective is to generate enough income from assets that the only selling of shares will become an option, not a necessity to survive. Therefore, with enough income being generated, it minimizes the fear of meaningful market corrections as dividends are based on the number of shares owned, not the share price.
I hold a PhD in the field of epidemiology a masters degree in public health. My undergraduate training is in policy, economics and the sciences. I have utilized my training in employment with government, academia, private industry and to further analyze the fundamentals and technicals of all manner of companies in different sectors. Specifically, I like to trade growth companies, REITS, biotechnology/ pharmaceuticals, precious metals, blue chips and small-cap companies.
Each market day I get up at 530 am and begin working/analyzing data before my day job. I focus much on current events, earnings, and developments. I also work after market hours to cover after hours developments or interesting action during the day. I aim to conduct 2 analysis per business day, which helps me stay focused on my own finances.
I have been investing for about 10 years. I also enjoy trading short expiration options, and investing in stocks with 3-20 year horizons. I enjoy writing with Seeking Alpha to share my opinion and analyses. I am a large believer in the crowd source model championed by Seeking Alpha and believe every ounce of analysis and opinion should be considered when you invest your personal finances.
I'm an Army veteran and former energy dividend writer for The Motley Fool. My goal is to help all people learn how to harness the awesome power of dividend growth investing to achieve their financial dreams, and enrich their lives. With 20 years of investing experience, I've learned what works and more importantly, what doesn't, when it comes to building long-term wealth and income streams. I'm currently on an epic quest to build a broadly diversified, high-quality, high-yield dividend growth portfolio that:
1. Pays 4-5% yield
2. Offers 9%-10% annual dividend growth
3. Pays dividends AT LEAST on a weekly, but preferably, daily basis
1. Navios Maritime Midstream Partners (NAP)
2. Golar LNG Partners (GMLP)
3. Dynagas LNG Partners (DLNG)
4. Suburban Propane Partners (SPH)
5. Ship Finance International (SFL)
6. KNOT Offshore Partners (KNOP)
7. Sunoco LP (SUN)
8. Summit Midstream Partners (SMLP)
9. Gaslog Partners (GLOP)
10. Triangle Capital (TCAP)
11. Seaspan (SSW)
12. CorEnergy Infrastructure Trust (CORR)
13. Energy Transfer Partners (ETP)
14. Fidus Investment Corp. (FDUS)
15. New Mountain Finance Corp. (NMFC)
16. Ares Capital (ARCC)
17. Annaly Capital Management (NLY)
18. Terra Nitrogen (TNH)
19. Monroe Capital (MRCC)
20. Hercules Capital (HGTC)
21. TPG Specialty Lending (TSLX)
22. Enviva Partners (EVA)
23. ONEOK Partners (OKS)
24. Hoegh LNG Partners (HMLP)
25. Jernigan Capital (JCAP)
26. Starwood Property Trust (STWD)
27. New Senior Investment Group (SNR)
28. Ladder Capital Corp. (LADR)
29. Compass Diversified Holdings (CODI)
30. Goldman Sachs BDC Inc (GSBD)
31. Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp. (ACRE)
32. AmeriGas Partners (APU)
33. Ciner Resources (CINR)
34. Care Capital Properties (CCP)
35. Genesis Energy Partners (GEL)
36. Landmark Infrastructure Partners (LMRK)
37. Blackstone Minerals (BSM)
38. Omega Healthcare Investors (OHI)
39. Tallgrass Energy Partners (TEP)
40. Xenia Hotels & Resorts (XHR)
41. Holly Energy Partners (HEP)
42. City Office REIT (CIO)
43. Gaming and Leisure Properties (GLPI)
44. Pattern Energy Group (PEGI)
45. Sunoco Logistics Partners (SXL)
46. Sabra Healthcare REIT (SBRA)
47. Community Healthcare Trust (CHCT)
48. Main street Capital (MAIN)
49. LaSalle Hotel Properties (LHO)
50. Energy Transfer Equity (ETE)
51. Chatham Lodging Trust (CLDT)
52. Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A)
53. Chesapeake Lodging Trust (CHSP)
54. Macquarie Infrastructure Corp. (MIC)
55. MPLX (MPLX)
56. Medical Properties Trust (MPW)
57. Apple Hospitality REIT (APLE)
58. 8Point3 Energy Partners (CAFD)
59. Brookfield Renewable Partners (BEP)
60. Stag Industrial (STAG)
61. NRG Yield (NYLD)
62. InfraREIT (HIFR)
63. VEREIT (VER)
64. Armada Hoffler Properties (AHH)
65. Spirit Realty Capital (SRC)
66. HollyFrontier Corp. (HFC)
67. Vodafone (VOD)
68. Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI)
69. Ford (F)
70. NextEra Energy Partners (NEP)
71. GM (GM)
72. PacWest Bancorp (PACW)
73. AT&T (T)
74. Easterly Government Properties (DEA)
75. Brookfield Property Partners (BPY)
76. ONEOK Inc (OKE)
77. W.P Carey (WPC)
78. MGM Growth Properties (MGP)
79. Preferred Apartment Communities (APTS)
80. Hersha Hospitality Trust (HT)
81. RLJ Hospitality Trust (RLJ)
82. Enterprise Products Partners (EPD)
83. Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB)
84. Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (BIP)
85. Magellan Midstream Partners (MMP)
86. Iron Mountain (IRM)
87. National Health Investors (NHI)
88. EPR Properties (EPR)
89. Spectra Energy Corp. (SE)
90. Lazard Ltd. (LAZ)
91. Chevron (CVX)
92. Helmerich & Payne (HP)
93. Tallgrass Energy GP (TEGP)
94. Valero Energy Corp (VLO)
95. Maiden Holdings (MHLD)
96. EQT Midstream Partners (EQM)
97. Oceaneering International (OII)
98. Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)
99. Invesco (IVZ)
100. ExxonMobil (XOM)
101. L Brands (LB)
102. Suncor Energy (SU)
103. Wells Fargo (WFC)
104. Gilead Sciences (GILD)
105. Bank of America (BAC)
Chris DeMuth Jr. is the founder of Rangeley Capital LLC. Rangeley is an investment firm that focuses on event driven, value-oriented investment opportunities. Rangeley Capital and his value investing forum, Sifting the World (StW), search the world for misplaced bets. Rangeley exploits them for its investors and then Mr. DeMuth writes about them on StW.
Retired investor, focused on DGI (including REITS), invested in SWANs and moats w strong balance sheets/cash flows that are steady growers. With these investments, holding period is long-term making it easier to own a great company issuing dividends regardless of manic-depressive Mr. Market correction/bear market gyrations. Currently reinvesting divvies in deferred accounts. Compounding, 8th wonder, but div reinvestment with div growth = exponential returns = 9th wonder!
An investor with circa 30 years of professional, managerial and financial experience, gathered through both private-individual activities as well as asset management type of roles.
I'm involved in running a leveraged fixed-income, absolute return, hedge fund that aims at providing its investors with double-digit returns, per annum. The fund runs a fast, frequent and furious trading strategy and it focuses on the very short term. Definitely not a Buy & Hold!
I'm also advising and consulting to private individuals, mostly HNWI that I had been serving through many years of working within the private banking, wealth management and asset management arenas. This activity focuses on the long run and it's mostly based on a Buy & Hold strategy.
Risk management is at the very core of our essence and while we normally take LONG-naked positions, we constantly hedge our positions, in order to protect the downside, that usually occurs at times when you least expect that to take place...
I cover all asset-classes though mostly focusing on cash cows and high dividend paying "machines" that may generate high (total) returns: Interest-sensitive, income-generating, instruments, e.g. Bonds, REITs, BDCs, Preferred Shares, MLPs, etc. combined with a variety of high-risk, growth and value stocks.
I believe and invest for the long run but I'm very minded of the short run too. While it's possible to make a massive-quick "kill", here and there, good things usually come in small packages; so do returns. Therefore, I (hope but) don't expect my investments to double in value over a short period of time. I do, however, aim at an annual double-digit returns on average, preferably on an absolute basis, i.e. regardless of markets' returns and directions.
Timing is Everything! While investors can't time the market, I believe that this applies only to the long term. In the short-term (a couple of months) one can and should pick the right moment and the right entry point, based on his subjective-personal preferences, risk aversion and goals. Long-term, strategy/macro, investment decisions can't be timed while short-term, implementation/micro, investment decision, can!
When it comes to investments and trading I believe that the most important virtues are healthy common sense, general wisdom, sufficient research, vast experience, strive for excellence, ongoing willingness to learn, minimum ego, maximum patience, ability to withstand (enormous) pressure/s, strict discipline and a lot of luck!...
Rubicon Associates is headed by a Chartered Financial Analyst charter holder with over 20 years of experience in the investment management industry focused on the analysis, investment and management of fixed income and preferred stock portfolios. Over the years, he has analyzed and invested in both public and private companies around the world as well as advised institutional clients on fixed income strategies and manager selection. The principal has been responsible for managing nearly seven billion dollars in credit investments across the capital structure and overseeing the research and trading of credit market activities. Rubicon Associates has written for Seeking Alpha, Learn Bonds, a newsletter and TheStreet.com in addition to advising institutional and private investors.
I am a retired professor, a retired investment adviser, and currently a private investor and full-time tennis pro. I bought my first stock in a custodial account in 1958. I am a student of history, particularly military and economic/market history. The intellectual passions of my retirement years are markets, mathematics, and quantum theory. I like to travel. I served in Vietnam.
I am a buy and hold common stock investor. Warren Buffett is definitely my guru. He makes the most sense to me. I began investing in the stock market at age 14 in 1970 with money earned on my paper route. What I have done since 1970 is invest primarily in the Dividend Aristocrats whenever the stock market is relatively low. I have never sold a single share of stock except on the rare occasion when one of my stocks was bought out for cash and I was forced to sell.. I keep all of my stock certificates or direct registration statements in a safe deposit box at the bank. I do not automatically reinvest dividends. I only purchase stocks when I feel that the stock market is relatively low. Brown University, B. A., 1978. Below are the 35 stocks in my portfolio.
Author of Quantitative Investing, the Global Household Index service and the free weekly Market Timing Signals. Investor looking for profitability in combinations of value and quality factors, closed-end funds selection, tactical asset allocation and volatility trading. To get information on my various model portfolios in stocks, ETFs and CEFs, click the link "send message".
PhD, Software Engineer, Civil Engineer, 20+ years working in various sectors and countries.
*For Elazar's Research on SA hit "Follow." and click "Real-time alerts on this author" for real time.
*Trading needs a gameplan and discipline. Elazar has served clients in the $100mm-$10B asset range.
See the market through a new simple perspective. Make decisions based on how the market functions.
*Your Trading Team is an Elazar service on Seeking Alpha to help you build and stick to a cookie cutter framework. Working together helps avoid common mistakes, cut losers and hold on to winners.
We follow SPY, Oil, GLD, SLV, UNG, XIV, XLV, XLF, XLI, EFA, CYB, WEAT, SOXX, IAU, FXY, TLT, BAL and many other securities with strong historical model results.
*Weekly SPY Model Historic Performance 56% in three years through July. All of the securities we closely follow have a strong model track record to support our fundamental work.
*Click for information about: Your Trading Team on Seeking Alpha.
Past performance can not predict future performance. Capital invested is capital at risk and especially when leverage is used large, some if not all of the principal can be lost. Please consult your financial advisor if such a service is right for you. The performance data shown includes back-tested past performance, which is not a guarantee of future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data cited. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations unlike actual performance record. Real time performance is in the process of being compiled in Your Trading Team on Seeking Alpha.
I am a former Investment and Commercial Banker with over 30 years experience in the field. I have been advising both individuals and institutional clients on high-yield investment strategies since 1991. As author of “High Dividend Opportunities”, a premium subscription service at Seeking Alpha, my objective is to bring investors the most profitable and newest high dividend ideas, with special focus on the Energy sector. The service includes an actively managed model Portfolio targeting an overall dividend yield of 6-9% in addition to long-term capital gains. My research aims to maximize returns by identifying undervalued securities in the High Yield space.
In addition to being a Certified Public Accountant CPA from the State of Arizona, I hold a BS Degree from Indiana University, Bloomington, and a Masters degree from Thunderbird School of Global Management (Arizona). I am also a Certified Mortgage Advisor CEMAP, a UK certification. My Research and Articles have been featured on Seeking Alpha, Investing.com, ETFdailynews, and on FXEmpire.
For more information on how to subscribe to “High Dividend Opportunities” and gain exclusive access to the portfolio, live alerts and market commentaries, check the post: Introduction to “High Dividend Opportunities” on my Instablog or just email me at email@example.com .
Time management is essential to monitoring a 47 position portfolio. My 1st comment concludes with "Rich-unck:xx hrs"; I uncheck from the article to avoid repetitive comments, nonsense, and (most) arguments. I extend another XX hrs when I respond to a question or comment...I also respond to all PMs.
BACKGROUND My journey as a self-directed investor (SDI) began in 1973, and resulted in financial independence at age 52, which also allowed me to retire from corporate life the following year (Feb 1995).
I have no special knowledge not attainable by others who also dedicate themselves to the study of the economy, market, and stocks...I could cease all portfolio management today, and place it with a professional manager; however, I enjoy the psychic and financial rewards. Alternatively, I could become a passive investor via mutual funds and/or index ETFs (those works too! ). With few exceptions, As a rule, Rich only discusses his IRA here--it is only a portion of his and Joyce’s investment assets.
INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY If you ‘lived for today’ over the past 5 or 6 decades, you better invest in lottery tickets. The most probable path to a financially secure retirement is the product of an investment program (either active or passive) started when relatively young; living on less than all your after-tax income (saving means delayed gratification); and either self-directed or via professional management, adopting a sensible strategy suitable to age and comfort zone. There is wisdom in flexibility, diversification, and not being life-long wed to any strategy. It is appropriate to take greater risk for greater rewards (sensible growth stocks) when younger, as those are our lowest earnings years combined with our highest expense years--in the years between early investment and retirement, investments in solid growth companies can double 8 times or more.
There is time to adjust allocations to a more conservative strategy when closer to retirement. Never assume you have an information edge over the professionals. Time-in-the-market is your principle advantage. When/if you become interested in dividend stocks, never forget both price return and dividends compound, and price more so.
Financial independence is achieved when one has sufficient confidence his/her lifestyle will not change significantly, regardless of the potential depth or breadth of decline suffered by their portfolio--including a prolonged series of bear markets such as 1929-37. True, the recent 18-month bear market ending mid-2009, was deep--but also too brief to consider its lack of widespread dividend cuts to be as proof a portfolio of dividend-payers won't suffer income losses in a more prolonged decline (i.e., no portfolio is "dividend bulletproof").
The balance of this profile is lengthy, and likely not helpful to passive investors who simply go along for the ride, their portfolios bobbing up and down like flotsam in the ocean; their course always subject to the whims of winds, waves, and trends...THIS IS YOUR ONLY WARNING!
PORTFOLIO GOALS Now in my 70s, it’s no longer appropriate to engage in the growth strategies applied in wealth accumulation. As a more conservative investor, 100% of his portfolio consists of dividend-payers. 95% of positions have investment grade credit ratings (the lone exception is a REIT).This combination, along with having companies in 10 of the 11 S&P GICS sectors (none in Materials at this time) provide a measure of diversification. This IRA portfolio holds no bonds, though bonds and other investments are held elsewhere.
Maximizing total return and wealth preservation are mutually exclusive. A key observation: Having the capacity for risk is not the same as having the tolerance for it!
Rich’s objective is now a ‘smoother-ride’ that levels out the market’s peaks and valleys (limit losses, trim notable excess valuation). That smoother ride in an all-equity portfolio cannot be achieved without active management and continuous monitoring of positions--therefore TIME is an essential input to his portfolio management. Active management does not’ means frequent changes, as it is not unusual for a quarter or more to pass between a trimming or sale (nonetheless, when a company fundamentals change, or a mistake is made, corrective action is taken.)
STRATEGY SINCE 2008 Rich targets both legs of TOTAL RETURN (distributions + price change). His Growth & Income strategy often focuses on VALUE investing tactics applied to dividend-payers. Value investors seek out unpopular, companies most investors are avoiding (i.e., fundamentals have declined but credit rating is strong, BoD has implemented a rational recovery plan, and the dividend not in danger). Value investors seek to be paid to wait for other investors to recognize the stock’s value and assign it a greater share price. In any event, value stock or growth stock, Rich always seeks a ‘margin of safety’--no shares are bought at prices >FV, and his margin of safety is derived from dividends paid, price appreciation, and rising FV over time.
In all cases, value or growth, Rich selects well-established dividend-paying companies having a high-probability of growing earnings (growth of earnings is ESSENTIAL to growth of price and dividends). He tends to be flexible, forward looking, reactive to changing fundamentals, and willing to admit a mistake so action follows.
SDI is not easy, success is not assured, and in recent decades, advice from academics, and investment coaches, almost universally recommend index funds. Those NOT having the prerequisite time and interest are unlikely to develop the requisite skills for stock investing--thus the probability strongly suggests most newbies would be better served by indexing (Ben Graham wrote favorably of indexing). However, when done successfully, self-directed stock investing can offer rich psychic and financial rewards.
CORE PORTFOLIO Presently, +/-30 equities. Core holdings dominate at about 65% of total portfolio positions. Favored are traditional, large- and mid-cap, low-beta, best/near-best in class, institutional-owned, moaty, dividend-paying, value and growth stocks, having investment-grade debt ratings, and representing the consumer staples, healthcare, utilities, and telecom sectors.
OPPORTUNISTIC PORTFOLIO The remaining 15+ positions consist of equally well-known dividend-payers found among widely-owned cyclicals, such as financial, industrials, consumer discretionary, technology, real estate, and energy sectors are sensitive to the economy. In an expanding economy, cyclicals typically grow their earnings (and dividends) faster than do the typically slower-growing core companies. But because the reverse is also true, in a contracting economy, these positions are intended to be heavily trimmed to preserve gains as the economy peaks and shows evidence of decline. Some are susceptible to quite significant price declines when Mr. Market assumes their will suffer reduced earnings, and sometimes dividend-freezes/cuts, in anticipation of those events.
Rich is sometimes fully-invested, but unlike some, observes no such rule. Building a large cash cushion at the front-end of a correction/bear market (-20%) provides the dry powder required to both cushion the market's decline, and also creates the cash required to purchase excellent companies at below FV prices (without having to sell a position he wants to keep!).
TRIMMING POSITIONS When positions in either portfolio become significantly overvalued, they are trimmed by 5-10%, and the proceeds applied to fairly valued companies before the (almost always) temporary gift of over-valuation reverts to the price mean. If the position continues to advance, and absent other information, the position will be trimmed again. Added benefits to selective trimming include (1) serves as a more sensible method of rebalancing (as opposed to automatic--professionals do not use such a meat cleaver); (2) reduces the position's remaining Capital at Risk (which may suggest room for additional shares within an otherwise full position), and (3) provides the necessary dry powder to buy other shares at FV or below.
OTHER INTERESTS As we age, the importance of family grows. Rich has long volunteered in his community; over the years has served with distinction as member/chair of a number of advisory committees. Assisting others on SA is also a source of satisfaction and fulfillment.
Finally, having been blessed by years of excellent investment performance, Joyce and Rich have long been avid world travelers, and have visited over 60 countries over a span of 30 years (his SA avatar reflects the Taj Mahal in his sun glasses). They reside in Michigan--for 9 months of beauty, bliss, and family, and thoroughly enjoy wintering in equally beautiful Naples FL--for 3 months of sunny warmth and relaxation.
Life is good--it's been an unbelievably awesome ride!
Four private female investors and one Dachshund.
We've consigned our careers as fund managers to the trashcan, as we no longer have confidence that we can grow our clients' money anywhere near approaching the sparkling results that we achieved for them in the past.
Now Heidi and Desiree's interests are in the fields of global water distribution, agriculture, and timberland, while Clarissa and Helga manage strategies of certain hard assets, predominantly the PGM metals group.
All four of us enjoy the heady barrage of marriage proposals and death threats we've been receiving since we started commenting on Seeking Alpha. That's why we continually try to both titilate and irritate readers with our sweet and innocent commentary. We also started posting Instablogs with absolutely essential information that investors just can't live without. Check them out (at your peril...)
Oh. And while our names (Heidi, Helga, Clarissa and Desiree) may not be our real names, Schnitzel the Dachshund's name really is "Schnitzel the Dachshund."
Semi-retired marketing and sales executive with a second career in the travel business. Actively invest an upper six digit portfolio in half a dozen mutual funds as well as a couple of stock brokerages accounts, most of it IRA. Primary goal is income with some appreciation potential.
We are an investment consulting firm that provides investment advice and research on small cap stocks to hedge funds and high net worth individuals.
A lasting reputation and trust with our subscribers are important to us. You can view our strong track record and past research at whitediamondresearch.com.
At Valuentum, we think the best opportunities arise from a complete understanding of all investing disciplines in order to identify the most attractive stocks at any given time. Valuentum therefore analyzes each stock across a wide spectrum of philosophies, from deep value through momentum investing. We think companies that are attractive from a number of investment perspectives--whether it be growth, value, momentum, etc.--have the greatest probability of capital appreciation and relative outperformance. The more investors that are interested in the stock for reasons based on their respective investment mandates, the more likely it will move higher.
Brian Nelson is the President of Equity Research at Valuentum Securities, an investment research firm serving individual and institutional investors, as well as financial advisors. Before founding Valuentum, Mr. Nelson worked as a director at Morningstar, where he was responsible for training and methodology development within the firm's equity and credit research department. Prior to that position, he served as a senior industrials securities analyst, covering aerospace, airlines, construction and environmental services companies. Before joining Morningstar in February 2006, Mr. Nelson worked for a small capitalization fund covering a variety of sectors for an aggressive growth investment management firm in Chicago. He holds a Bachelor's degree in finance and a minor in mathematics, magna cum laude, from Benedictine University. Mr. Nelson has an MBA from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation.
Get to Know Brian:
Brian led the charge in developing Morningstar's issuer credit ratings, developing and rolling-out one of the firm's proprietary credit metrics, the Cash Flow Cushion. http://select.morningstar.com/welcome/credit/pdfs/Morningstar_CashFlowCushion.pdf
Brian is frequently quoted in the media and has been a frequent guest on Nightly Business Report, Bloomberg TV, and the Money Show.
Mr. Nelson is very experienced in valuing equities, developing Morningstar's discounted cash-flow model used to derive the fair value estimates for the company's entire equity coverage universe.
Brian worked on a small cap fund and a micro cap fund that were ranked within the top 10th percentile and top 1st percentile within the Small Cap Lipper Growth Universe, respectively, in 2005.
Mr. Nelson is also a contributor to Seeking Alpha and an opinion leader in the Industrial Goods space.
You can reach Brian at firstname.lastname@example.org.
Please read our Disclaimer that applies to all articles published on Seeking Alpha: http://www.valuentum.com/categories/20110613
Follow us on Twitter: @Valuentum
To follow me click the "Follow" button! (Easy right?)
Kumquat Research is a college student and fund manager who has been investing for 4 years. He writes mostly about the technology sector and about event-driven and momentum opportunities across various industries and sectors. He is currently studying for degrees in both finance and computer science at the University of Maryland. Some of his interests include technology, programming, drumming, video games (developing and playing) and astronomy. Articles written and comments posted by Kumquat Research are NOT financial or investment advice, and only express his opinion. Do your own due diligence!
Private investor. Bought first stock in 1965. Held on for 20 years, following dad's advice, The Bulldog Philosophy: "Bite on to something that's got some meat to it and hold on until they chain you down, shoot you in the head, and tear it away from you with your teeth still attached to the carcass." Ahem.
Been through it all: the Crash after LBJ called for Guns and Butter & raised taxes & spending; Nixon campaigning to the right and governing to the left (stocks crash); the fear-mongering claims of the late `60s and `70s that the earth was heading into another Ice Age and the whole planet would soon be frozen, and if that didn't get us, exponential population growth would; the Nifty Fifty Crash (the first media/big NY House promoted stock con & ensuing blowout);
the first time the media and the government told us the world was running out of oil and prices spiked and stocks tanked; the Carter Years: 20% interest rates, 70% tax rates, & stagflation; the October `87 Crash; the `80s real estate crash after "tax reform" and the ensuing S&L Blowout along with 2200 lending institutions busting out over the next 7 years;
the fear-mongering claims beginning in the late `80s and continuing today that the planet is heating up to the point of boiling over (seas overflowing; islands disappearing; parts of the US East Coast under water; massive starvation from heated grounds causing soil erosion; coral reefs dying; fish and animals dying; Florida gone!);
Papa Bush's sharp turn to the left: a huge tax increase, the multi-billion-dollar handicap bill that busted thousands of small businesses, and the sex discrimination law, all costing businesses billions and producing the ensuing bad economy and stock turn down (big boon for lawyers, per usual);
the Clinton Administration attacks on every business sector: cigs, pharms, techs, banks, etc.; the Asian Contagion; the Y2-K Con (over $650 billion spent for absolutely nothing according to CNN; never mentioned again by the media or the government; they simply moved on to other scary predictions: Saddam Hussein, e.g.); the March 10, 2000 Dotbomb Explosion and tech blood bath aftermath;
15 years of Greenspan's manic interest rate moves; 9-11; the government forcing lending institutions to create the subprime loan (beginning in the `90s under Clinton) and the ensuing Cash-Credit-Crunch Crash of `08; 5 years of constant threats and attacks against Wall St., investors, Banks, savers, entrepreneurs, all forms of natural earth fuels, and most business sectors by Obama. Still standing.
Not a broker. Never been one. Not a tout. Never been one.
Do not own or run a hedge fund. Never have. Do not own or run a mutual fund. Never have. Do not receive any type of compensation for bullish or bearish statements. Never have. Never will.
Traded futures for four years in the 1980s, mostly index futures, but some commodities. Quit. Too antzy to sit in front of a screen all day. To heck with the money; would rather be broke than bored.
Hate charts. Refuse to read one. Don't send or tell me about them. If you do I'll delete you and them from my life. Must therefore dig through financial records and study ratios and try to figure out whether a company is actually doing what it claims. Some really boring stuff, trust me.
Have no idea at any time which way markets are going. Don't ask me. When someone tries to tout me on market direction, I stick my thumbs in my ears. If you write an article predicting market direction, I'll put you on my inexperienced boob list or my sham-artist list, and will not read you anymore until you mature or turn honest, whichever the case.
Occupation: Never had one. A drunkard by nature. Played golf when a child. Poker when I still had the brain of one.
My First Finite Absolute in Stock Investing: Never, ever buy a stock because an emissary from one of the Big New York Houses or Big National Banks touts it. When they upgrade or tout one, stay far away from not only that company—but that entire sector. If you happen to be invested in that company, take a second look at your investment. For it may be time to flee. The reverse is true when they downgrade one: you might want to take a look at buying it. No exceptions!!
First rule I pass on to young investors: Be humble about your investing and trading abilities, for if you do not, markets will eventually make you so.
Second Rule: Learn from your successful elders. For if they are still standing in the investment world when they are past 55 (and are not mere salesmen or touts or novices) and are still investing, they had to be doing something right—because it is a cruel environment that few survive.
Third Rule: Understand that, as soon as you step onto the investing field, you are dealing with heartless predators who work 24-hours a day to find ways to get your money out of your pockets and into theirs. The only way you can stop them from doing that is to start an account at a conservative brokerage firm that doesn't send you fliers every week telling you how its brilliant employees can make money for you or manage your money for you. Invest your money in companies that have good products, well-established management, good balance sheets, and have proven they can make it through hard times—which are bound to come every few years or so. Put your shares in an account that does not charge you for holding them, and leave them there as long as possible. You're about as safe from predators as you can possibly be, if you follow this rule.
Fourth Rule: Get the idea of making money by trading stocks out of your head. You're not going to be able to do it. If you think you're that good of a trader, trade futures—where you have a tremendous amount of leverage. If you are as good a trader as you think, you can make more money trading futures than you can find a place to put it. Of course, about 98% of futures traders lose money, so don't get your hopes too high on replacing Mexico Slim on the Forbes 400.
Fifth Rule: Invest; don't trade. Invest; don't save.
I help friends and family with their investments—gratis. I'm sorry to say, however, they all have to have jobs.
It is very hard or impossible to time the broad market consistently — there are no famous investors that got rich by consistently knowing what the broad market would do next. This only makes sense, as there are just too many variables in the broad market. But there are many famous investors who got rich analyzing individual securities, and this is where you should put your focus. You can get an edge in individual securities. Joe Springer was the number 1 ranked stock analyst in the world by tipranks.com, and on most days is still ranked in the top 5%. Joe is a Certified Technical Trainer, and enjoys teaching about the stock market as well as managing portfolios. If you would like to follow Joe on Twitter, his handle is @JoeSpringer.
Mr. Roche is the founder of Orcam Financial Group, LLC, a low fee financial services firm based in San Diego, CA as well as the founder of the popular financial website Pragmatic Capitalism (some articles from Pragmatic Capitalism get syndicated on Seeking Alpha so please see the full site if you don't want to miss articles by Mr. Roche).
Orcam Financial Group, LLC (www.orcamgroup.com) is a low fee financial services firm offering asset management, personal advisory, consulting and educational services. Pragmatic Capitalism (http://pragcap.com) was founded by Cullen Roche in the midst of the financial crisis of 2008. Mr. Roche foresaw many of the events that led up to the crisis and felt that the government was slow to react and when it did finally react, responded with the wrong medicine.
Mr. Roche's primary areas of expertise include global macro portfolio construction, quantitative risk management, monetary economics and behavioral finance. Prior to establishing his own business, Mr. Roche worked at Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management where he worked on a team overseeing $500MM+ in assets under management. Upon leaving Merrill Lynch, Mr. Roche managed a private investment partnership for 7 years generating substantial positive alpha (high risk adjusted returns) without a single negative year of returns. He has since transitioned back to retail asset management to better serve the much needed low fee retail space with sophisticated but simple asset management and financial planning services.
Mr. Roche is also a prolific writer. In addition to the daily musings on his website, he is the author of the popular book “Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Know About Money and Finance” as well as “Understanding the Modern Monetary System”, one of the top 10 all-time most downloaded research papers on the SSRN academic research network. He was named one of the “Top Wall Street Economists, Experts and Opinion Leaders” of 2011 by Wall Street Economists and was named one of the “101 Best Finance People” by Business Insider where he was described as “one of the most influential economic thinkers today.” In 2015 Mr. Roche was named one of the “40 Under 40” most influential people in finance by InvestmentNews. He is regularly cited in the Wall Street Journal, on CNBC and in the Financial Times.
Mr. Roche is a Georgetown University alumnus, growing up in the DC area and now living in Southern California with his wife Erica, troublesome collie Cal and 4 irritable laying hens. In addition to being a financial dork Cullen is an avid outdoorsman, mediocre gardener, proficient complex carbohydrate consumer (i.e., loves brownies and cake) and finisher of one of the most difficult IRONMAN races at Cabo in 2015.
*Special Offer: 3-month subscription. $49. Access all Blue Harbinger members-only content now. Expires Monday October 24, 2016.
Our mission is to help you identify exceptional investment opportunities while avoiding the high costs and conflicts of interest that are prevalent throughout the industry. We offer additional free reports and a premium research service at BlueHarbinger.com. If you are ever in the Naperville, IL, USA area, our founder (Mark D. Hines) is happy to meet you at a local coffeehouse to talk about investments. Please feel free to get in touch.