Owen B

What if It Is a 'V' Recovery?

This blog post (see link below) chronicles links to more complete ECRI public statements from Jan. 2008 - Mar. 2008 regarding recession:

kirklindstrom.blogspot...

After careful review, it seems ECRI was not surprised by the recession as some have tried to suggest.


On Sep 07 09:16 AM fotokemist wrote:

> Thanks to all for an enlightening post and discussion. I am new to
> this game and continue to be amazed at the quality of information
> and discussion available on the web.
>
> If memory serves, Steve posted something in February or March from
> ECRI predicting improving business conditions by summer (pardon my
> laziness for not digging this up.) My point is that somewhere there
> is an ECRI report from six months ago for each month.
>
> Could one of you folks much more experienced than me do an assessment
> of how they have been doing recently?
>
> I am among the group that is concerned that the level of government
> interference compared to earlier events may have had an adverse effect
> on their models. Given my poor understanding of cause and effect
> in the current environment, any knowledge of their models, etc.,
> I would find some current "calibration data" very helpful.
>
> Steve, thanks again for all your effort.