Toward a New Model of Diversification [View article]
Roger, Check out Mebane Faber's published paper on his site worldbeta.blogspot.com... He suggests using a portfolio very similar to you're suggestion but based on a 10 month sma and monthly prices. Basically the same as the 200 day sma. His paper includes 5 asset classes with backtesting to 1972 and he updates the current returns on his site for some out-of-sampling data.
A Lazy ETF Portfolio Underweighting the U.S. [View article]
What about using something like DBV for your cash? I would use PSP & PFP for Private Equity or individual stocks. A small amount in PCY for EM Int'l Bonds. I really like El-Erian after reading his book and I'm curious to see how this portfolio holds up.
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Toward a New Model of Diversification [View article]
Check out Mebane Faber's published paper on his site worldbeta.blogspot.com... He suggests using a portfolio very similar to you're suggestion but based on a 10 month sma and monthly prices. Basically the same as the 200 day sma. His paper includes 5 asset classes with backtesting to 1972 and he updates the current returns on his site for some out-of-sampling data.
Yawning from the Market Sidelines, ETFs in Hand [View article]
There's a link above the title to download the entire article.
fg144331:
I'm also wondering the same thing. What is the best approach to switching from a B&H method to a timing method?
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