Occasional Invester and student of the investment world. For many years, I only invested in various managed Mutual Funds. Recently, I have expanded my investments to ETF's, Some managed, some index funds, and even more recently have invested directly in stocks. I have invested most recently in the stocks within the pm sector. Historically have bought high, sold low.
Doug Eberhardt is a 30 year investment professional offering his analysis on 46 ETFs 5 days a week providing buy and sell recommendations. He is the author of the soon to be released book "Illusions of Wealth" that offers a fresh look on how investors can profit. He has written the book "Buy Gold and Silver Safely" and is a broker/dealer selling gold and silver coins and bars at 1% over wholesale cost to investors who are looking for "real wealth" diversification and protection from currency depreciation.
Robert P. Balan has more than 4 decades of experience in the financial markets. Education in mining engineering, computer science, finance, and training in economics led to a commodity analysis career during the commodity boom of the early 1970s. Robert made a switch to global macro focus in the early 1980 when the commodity bull market waned, with specialization in foreign exchange. Robert wrote a very high profile daily FX analysis while Geneva-based in the mid-1980s (the first FX commentary with a real global readership, "most accessed" in the Reuters and Telerate networks from 1988 to 1994). He worked for Swiss Bank Corp and Union Bank of Switzerland (precursors of today’s new UBS) as head of technical research and as proprietary trader in various major finance centers (London, New York, and subsequently head of proprietary trading in Toronto, respectively) from late 1980s to mid-1990s. A stint at Bank of America as head of global technical research (in London and New York) followed in late 1990s to early 2000s. Robert did technical analysis for Saxo Bank (Denmark) in the mid-200s based in New York. He returned to Switzerland in 2004 as head of technical research and strategy, and FX and commodity market analyst for Swiss Life Asset Management in Zurich. He joined Diapason Commodities Management in 2008 as senior market strategist, and subsequently as Chief Market Strategist, utilizing fundamental macroeconomic drivers, and structural/technical data in modeling asset price and sector movements. Robert wrote a book on the Elliott Wave Principle in 1988, which was hailed by the London Society of Technical Analysts as “the best book ever written on the subject”. Robert is a member of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE), USA.
Founder and Lead Analyst at Lone Wolf Publications Ltd (www.lonewolftrader.com).
I also manage a private investment portfolio full time, and also provide mutual fund analysis and buy recommendations to individual investors managing their own investments.
I trade for myself via ETFs and futures markets, with interests in commodities generally and a special interest in precious metals.
I am a 43 year veteran of Wall Street. My first 26 years were spent on the buy-side as an institutional money manager. I have spent the last 13 years as a sell-side strategist. I am a life long contrarian who finds it easy to take positions quite apart from the crowd. I am most comfortable with my forecasts when my macro and technical analysis are in sync and when my views are at odds with the consensus. I've always been fascinated by the behavioral aspects of investing. Years of observing investor behavior has led me to the conclusion that investor psychology may be the most powerful emotional force in the universe, more powerful than love or hate. It causes otherwise rational beings to make some very irrational decisions. I think every investor should read Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds by Charles MacKay.
I hold MSc. in Electrical Engineering, speak four languages (English, French, Greek, German) and have lived in the U.S. for many years. I am also a freelance writer with one of the highest Followers per Article (F/A) rates in Seeking Alpha. My F/A rate in Seeking Alpha is above 30.
After creating "Nathan's Bulletin" (a subscription-based investment guide for investors who can't afford a financial advisor), I launched a subscription-based Premium Service in Seeking Alpha entitled "A Fundamental Investor's Stock Club" which includes an unparalleled, actively-managed and high-return Portfolio of unknown and/or underfollowed stocks. Regularly updated and detailed lists in my Premium Posts PROVE these high returns. For reference, when I was managing money in the early 2000s, the annual ROI of my Portfolio consistently exceeded 50%. My Premium Research is based on a comprehensive review of company-specific factors, macro conditions, competitors and the industry trends.
When it comes now to my publicly-available picks and my free Seeking Alpha articles, I have a success rate of over 80%, an average return per recommendation of over 30% and a 5-star rating according to TipRanks.com, which is the highest category quality ranking used to evaluate financial experts. TipRanks.com is a comprehensive investing tool that allows private investors and day traders to see the measured performance of anyone who publicly provides financial advice. TipRanks.com collects data, evaluates and ranks 5,000 financial bloggers and 9,000 financial experts.
After almost 30 years of investing experience in the international markets (U.S., Canada, Australia, Europe), I have formulated a deep understanding of valuation analysis and my investment philosophy is firmly grounded in Ben Graham-style value-oriented opportunities that often have an assymetric risk/reward profile. On that front, I have created a unique proprietary database with thousands of publicly-traded companies per sector, which helps me spot the bargains and the bubbles before many investors find them.
Everyone deserves to invest their money in the safest, most flexible way possible, without paying huge fees or sacrificing meaningful returns. Hedgewise strives to become the first wealth manager to take the best ideas from hedge funds and institutions and make them available to anyone, while keeping fees low and capital requirements to a minimum. There have been tremendous innovations in finance over the past decade which have only benefited a select few, and we believe it is time for that to change.
Richard Zeits is an Oil & Gas industry analyst and consultant. His background includes fourteen years as Energy industry-focused investment banker, portfolio manager and senior investment analyst with bulge bracket firms in New York. Zeits Energy Analytics use elaborate proprietary analytics and data bases to provide in-depth industry research, market intelligence, and forecasting.
Andy Hecht is the chief market strategist for Carden Capital and Carden Futures. Andy is a sought-after commodity and futures trader, an options expert and analyst. He spent nearly 35 years on Wall Street, including two decades on the trading desk of Phillip Brothers, which became Salomon Brothers and ultimately part of Citigroup.
Over the past two decades, he has researched, structured and executed some of the largest trades ever made, involving huge quantities of precious metals and bulk commodities.
Andy understands the market in a way many traders can’t imagine. He’s booked vessels, armored cars and trains to transport and store a wide range of commodities. And he’s worked directly with The United Nations and the legendary trading group Phibro.
Today, Andy remains in close contact with sources around the world and his network of traders.
“I have a vast Rolodex of information in my head… so many bull and bear markets. When something happens, I don’t have to think. I just react. History does tend to repeat itself over and over.”
His friends and mentors include highly regarded energy and precious metals traders, supply line specialists and international shipping companies that give him vast insight into the market.
Andy’s writing and analysis can be found on a number of market based websites including CQG. Andy lectures at colleges and Universities. He also contributes to Traders Magazine. He consults for companies involved in producing and consuming commodities. Andy's biweekly radio show, The Commodities Hour with Andy Hecht, can be heard on Tuesdays and Thursdays from 5-6 PM EST on www.tfnn.com. Andy’s first book How to Make Money with Commodities, published by McGraw Hill was released in 2013 and has received excellent reviews. He is currently working on his second book, Luster. Andy held a Series 3 and Series 30 license from the National Futures Association and is associated as a collaborator and strategist with hedge funds. Andy is the commodity-expert for the website about.com and blogs on his own site technomentals.com.
I'm a CFA Charterholder and hold an MBA in Finance.
I spend a large amount of my free time analyzing and investing in energy companies of varying size. I'm currently covering oil and gas producers in the Permian Basin and the Eagle Ford. I try to provide quarterly coverage for several companies. I also look at oil and gas producers globally, in search of strong value plays. Anytime I find one, I write about it.
I will do my absolute best to provide quality research for you to consider in your investment decisions. However, I suggest you consult with your financial advisor prior to taking any action after reading an article, comment, private chat, or any other communication that I wrote. I urge you do your own research and draw your own conclusions prior to taking any action. My articles or comments are your starting point for your research. After you enter a trade, you are on your own to enter, exit, or take no action on the trade. I am not liable for actions you take after reading something that I wrote.
Ron Patterson is a retired Computer Engineer. He spent five years in Saudi Arabia working for Saudi ARAMCO. He has followed the peak oil story since 2000. Ron started blogging on peak oil in 2013. His web site, PeakOilBarrel.com is one of the most followed blogs on the subject.
Ron's interest are geology, biology, paleontology, and ecology. His hobbies are blogging and kayak sailing.
I am a 40-something entrepreneur and executive, managing my own portfolio. I have been an Internet entrepreneur, founding and running VC-backed companies. For a little less than ten years I managed several global lines of business as Managing Director for a large management consultancy, where my teams supported primarily senior executives at global 2000 firms. My passion is creating and learning, and I am intensely interested in understanding all aspects of how businesses work, grow, succeed and fail.
Business owner for over 30 years now working less and investing more. Our company has grown from $1M in sales to $25M in that time. I have recently sold my shares as part of an exit strategy. My philosophy for success in life and business is based on creativity. As Albert Einstein once said, "Insanity: doing the same thing every day and expecting a different result."
2015: Most experience in equity, bond, and forex. Profoundly influenced by 2002 and 2008, where some top-rated holdings (eg. Enron, Lehman, Fannie Mae) disappeared, and others (eg. CSCO, INTC) never returned to prior highs.
The broader equity market is in an accelerating boom and bust pattern, where success is less dependent on financial sheet analysis and 'hold forever,' as it is timing and diversification. Current market is a Fed-driven liquidity bubble which is translating into historic equity bid. Major market correction pending within next 5 years, likely from Black Swan event.
Exited full equity investment in market-tracking ETFs in latter 2014. Currently in cash, laddered corporate debt, with small experimental positions in leveraged ETRAC-types and some beaten down high-dividend oil and commodities for trading. Trading criteria: 1) good balance sheet; 2) down >25% off 52-wk highs; 3) 5%+ dividend; 4) price volatility; and 5) a company I'm willing hold long-term and cost-average into as market collapses.
I find some SA contributors so focused on balance sheet discussions, they seem to lose sense of where we are in the larger market cycle. Buying full positions in great companies as long-term holdings at this point seems very risky.
My 2009 - 2014 profits (SPY 90% of holdings) were due more to government policy than my investing acumen - poor folks get food stamps, we investors get the big money hand-outs by the Fed.
The market may keep going up, but elementary risk/reward market analysis put my defense on the field. Making 4-8% in corporate debt and nothing in cash is fine for me. When opportunities present, I'll take them.
Have found SA contributors and posters very helpful and profitable.
Equity valuation experience and 20 years of investing with own capital.
I am a specialist in Finance, Mechanical and Petroleum Engineering. Previously I worked full time in finance, but now I split my time as a specialist in Programming and Geothermal Power Station Design.
My strength are numbers, forecasts and seeing the big picture.
I have a core long term value and growth portfolio and use 25% for trading. Long term and growth is only based on the fundamental values of the firm, but that have expectations and opportunities on the upside. Trading is for fun and to satisfy short term gains and shorting.
Previously my portfolio was mainly dividend value stocks, which increased so much in value that selling targets where reached.
Investor/swing trader focusing on U.S. onshore independent oil E&P stocks. I don’t sell or promote anything, just a man of leisure.
I invest for fun; no successful person needs to play in the markets. Mostly I spend my time outdoors – building, gardening, or just enjoying the West Virginia mountains and wildflowers.
Bob De’Long is a pen name. I’m a former hands-on manager in the petroleum and coal industries and a former university professor (professional engineer, MBA, and PhD).
I have an active (perhaps overly active) sense of humor, and I especially enjoy looking at the metaphors others use to express themselves or to cover what they don’t know or cannot express.
Independent oil E&P stocks that I follow, own and/or trade (when the price) is right are:
Whiting Petroleum (WLL)
Newfield Exploration (NFX)
Continental Resources (CLR)
EOG Resources (EOG)
SM Energy (SM)
Rosetta Recourses (ROSE)
and GPOR, PDCE, BCEI, BBG
Natural Gas E&P stocks that I follow (but may never buy again because the industry is dying) are:
EQT Corporation (EQT)
Range Recourses (RRC)
Southwestern Energy (SWN)
Ultra Petroleum (UPL)
Deltic Timber (DEL) is the only non-petroleum stock that I follow, own, and/or trade.
I'm a partner in an Oil and Gas Commercial Consulting firm and have over 18 year experience in investment and oil and gas analysis. I'm a Chartered Alternative Investment Analysis and a Statistician.
I run the alternative investment arm of the firm, which invests the capital of the firms partners for retirement.
Finance Commodity Asia 2013
I started investing about 15 years ago. Well, it wasn't really investing but more like speculating in order to make a few quick bucks. I soon realized that losing money was a whole lot easier than making it. I knew that my superficial understanding of stocks and the market was a fatal shortcoming. I took the Canadian Securities course, passing with honours. I began reading numerous books, articles, technical papers in order to be a better trader. And, indeed, I became a better trader. For a while. I began to use margin. I placed bigger bets on options and leveraged ETF's like HNU (TSX). Eventually my trades started turning on me, the margin calls forced me to sell and I lost a significant amount of money. This was the price of my education. I think I've made just about every classic mistake one can make. Speculate on a news event (remember KRY?). Double down on a stock that is obviously circling the drain. Hold a stock whose only direction is down thinking I couldn't have been that wrong. It will soar again. Watch a stock move up 50% telling myself that there's more to come, only to watch it reverse and finally sell at break-even. Or buy a quality stock and then decide to get off at the next stop. I once bought AAPL at around $90 then sold at $97 or so. Nothing like leaving $60,000 on the table!
Anyway, you get the idea. Errors in judgement that are stock market cliches.
I'm a lot smarter now, more conservative. Here's my investment plan:
-Find high quality companies trading at a discount
-Remember Mr. Buffet: if you're not prepared to hold a stock for 10 years don't even think about holding it for 10 minutes
-Use fundamentals to find the mis-priced stock then technical factors to determine entry points
-A bias toward dividend payers
-The two areas that currently look very promising to me are Uranium and Natural Gas. Oil and gas service firms also have appeal.
Matthew Sauer, Esq. is the President and Chief Investment Officer of the Mutual Fund Investor Guide. Each month he publishes the Investor Guide to Fidelity Funds, Investor Guide to Vanguard Funds and ETF Investor Guide. On a weekly basis he publishes the Global Momentum Guide, focusing on sector specific mutual funds and ETFs.
Before launching the Mutual Fund Investor Guide, Matt served as the President and Chief Investment Officer for the Fidelity Independent Adviser family of newsletters. Under his tenure, over 30,000 subscribers followed his investment commentary.
From 2004 to 2013, Matt served as the Chief Operating Officer and Managing Partner of Dion Money Management, an independent wealth adviser that managed over $900 million in assets.
Mr. Sauer earned his Juris Doctor from Albany Law School of Union University, Albany, NY and is a licensed attorney in the State of New York. He received his Master of Business Administration, from the State University of New York at Albany and graduated from Bucknell University, earning his Bachelor of Arts in Political Science and Economics. Having passed the Uniform Investment Adviser Law Examination, Mr. Sauer is an Investment Adviser Representative licensed in the Commonwealth of Massachusetts.