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  • Destiny Media's Problem Child [View article]
    Thanks, K. I've decided to cut my losses. Fortunately it was a tiny position for me, play money, but I wish I'd listened to you a year ago.
    Apr 15, 2015. 06:52 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • U.S. Debt At 104% Of GDP Hits Another Record. Stocks, Gold Should Do Well On Slow Rate Hikes [View article]
    Agree with you on all counts, Petrarch! I just think you're in the wrong party -- it's we moderate Democrats who believe as you do. But yes, this has nothing to do with investment, I apologize for the diversion, I just admire your good financial sense so much that I couldn't resist.
    Apr 15, 2015. 06:28 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Destiny Media's Problem Child [View article]
    I'm sure you're right, but... why'd it jump last week?
    Apr 15, 2015. 09:46 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • U.S. Debt At 104% Of GDP Hits Another Record. Stocks, Gold Should Do Well On Slow Rate Hikes [View article]
    You sure you're a Republican, Petrarch? You sound a lot like Obama and the Democrats in Congress: urging a little more debt to spend on infrastructure.
    Apr 15, 2015. 07:45 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Civeo Corp. Is Attractive As A Speculative Value Play [View article]
    Wow. The banker who came up with the idea for a storage derivative should get some kind of award. I propose a Volcker Award: "For the Demonstration of the Societal Uselessness of Most Financial Innovation"
    Mar 13, 2015. 05:55 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Key Tail Risk That The FOMC Missed (And You Should Pay Attention To) [View article]
    Everyone's been expecting the Fed to raise rates for years now. Surely these companies could have found a way to hedge against this tightening. Perhaps many did?
    Feb 19, 2015. 11:00 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Squeezing The Cards On Carbo Ceramics [View instapost]
    Great piece, as usual, Tom. Thanks.
    Feb 8, 2015. 01:44 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Jeff Miller Positions For 2015: Still Plenty Of Life In The 'Aging Bull' [View article]
    "Countries that have a lot at stake will negotiate to reach a solution. The leaders are not stupid."

    This reminds me of that book by Norman Angell, The Great Illusion, published in 1910, which argued that since modern war was so costly, even for the winners, war was futile and therefore would never happen again.
    Jan 10, 2015. 11:50 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Weighing The Week Ahead: Time For A Santa Claus Rally? [View article]
    Thanks as always, Jeff. I'm very much looking forward to your analysis on oil and oil stocks, whenever you're ready to share it with the wider world.
    Dec 7, 2014. 05:11 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • U.S. Shale Oil Is The New Swing-Producer: Output Forecast To 2020 Will Make Saudi Arabia Very Happy [View article]
    Great article, Andrew, and great to see you back on SA.
    Dec 1, 2014. 07:00 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dividend Growth: Seeking Alpha Style Vs. The Professional [View article]
    Thanks, Spangler. So it's pre-December 2002 underperformance maybe doesn't count for its current strategy.

    Anyone know any actively managed dividend-focused funds out there with a longer-term record?
    Nov 25, 2014. 11:48 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dividend Growth: Seeking Alpha Style Vs. The Professional [View article]
    P.S. Looking at VDIGX's chart on M*, since inception in 1992 it has underperformed the S&P pretty significantly:

    (On the chart that appears, click "maximum" on the upper right to get from 10 year returns to since inception returns.)

    That doesn't mean it's a bad fund or that it won't outperform in the next 22 years, but it makes me think that perhaps outperfoming the index isn't so easy, if one of the best managers around (Wellington), with a low-cost and sensible strategy, has failed to do it.
    Nov 25, 2014. 08:29 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dividend Growth: Seeking Alpha Style Vs. The Professional [View article]
    Dividend stocks have had a tail wind from the last few decades of declining inflatoin and declining interesting rates. If (a big if, in the current sluggish global economy) interest rates start a secular trend upwards, might not dividend stocks suffer more than growth oriented stocks whose payouts are in the future? What if Yellen overdoes it on waiting to raise rates and inflation gets a bit high?

    My question isn't rhetorical, I genuinely don't know the answer. I just hestitate to accept backwards looking studies that only study the last 10 or 20 years, which may or may be not be a good model for the next twenty.

    But thanks very much for this stimulating article!
    Nov 25, 2014. 08:24 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Weighing The Week Ahead: Is The Stock Market Correction Over? [View article]
    Shame on you, sir. No one's ever perfect on short-term market calls, but Jeff's short-term "Felix" forecasts have been right more often than not, and his medium-term theme, that we are in a bull market, has been spot on. If you've been listening to him the past few years, you've made a lot of money.

    He clearly explains his logic, provides the data that he uses to arrive at his conclusions, and offers links for further research. He also clearly states that his short-term Felix calls are subject to change during the week, as they should be since data changes.

    Finally, he offers all this work to us on SA without charging us. He is presumably looking for clients, but to look for clients by openly presenting your work, results, and thought processes is a honorable way to go about it.
    Nov 3, 2014. 04:44 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • New Homes Sales: September Report Confirms That The Data Is Unreliable [View article]
    I've been following bbro for a year, maybe two, and I have found him very helpful and usually spot on. His "shots" at those predicting gloom and doom have helped keep me nearly fully invested for this recent bull market, while his frequent citations of the data he follows to assess the risks of recession are also helpful to me.

    As far as I can tell, he's a private investor, not selling any services, so he has no need to share his portfolio with us -- though I admit I'd be interested to see it, because I suspect it would be worth imitating. In any casee e has been sharing some wisdom, IMHO, and I've benefitted from it.

    Btw, I don't know bbro, or anything about him, except from his comments. I don't even know if he's a "he."
    Oct 26, 2014. 03:43 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment