mydogniles's Comments mydogniles's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.comuser/251212/comments Sirius Lessons in Stock Manipulation http://seekingalpha.com/article/123770-sirius-lessons-in-stock-manipulation?source=feed#comment-410917 410917 seekingalpha.com/mb/to...]]> Tue, 03 Mar 2009 09:31:11 -0500 seekingalpha.com/mb/to...]]> uSirius iPhone Application Is Denied http://seekingalpha.com/article/123391-usirius-iphone-application-is-denied?source=feed#comment-409709 409709
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Mon, 02 Mar 2009 13:43:48 -0500
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Sirius XM: Media's Fear-Mongering Has Gone on Long Enough http://seekingalpha.com/article/122221-sirius-xm-media-s-fear-mongering-has-gone-on-long-enough?source=feed#comment-401272 401272
you're right...I missed your post. but my point remains the same...everything you said is right...and backed up by facts as usual...in which I know you take pride...but siri has done little to combat the negative spin. to expect the media to go positive is ridiculous...its simply not the way they do business...never have...never will. so don't spend a precious second wishing or expecting othewise. mel has left the media, and more importantly, his shareholders totally in the dark. as many have said he's operating like this company is private already. even Malone for that matter has not commented on the deal..at least as far as I know. until these guys step up and set the record straight...bank on media going negative. only hope is this company puts together some strong quarters, forms some important strategic alliances, develop new lines of revenue...PERFORMS. In that regard, I still believe Mel is on track and actually managing pretty damn well in this environment. but he never tells us so how would we really know....]]>
Tue, 24 Feb 2009 09:37:12 -0500
you're right...I missed your post. but my point remains the same...everything you said is right...and backed up by facts as usual...in which I know you take pride...but siri has done little to combat the negative spin. to expect the media to go positive is ridiculous...its simply not the way they do business...never have...never will. so don't spend a precious second wishing or expecting othewise. mel has left the media, and more importantly, his shareholders totally in the dark. as many have said he's operating like this company is private already. even Malone for that matter has not commented on the deal..at least as far as I know. until these guys step up and set the record straight...bank on media going negative. only hope is this company puts together some strong quarters, forms some important strategic alliances, develop new lines of revenue...PERFORMS. In that regard, I still believe Mel is on track and actually managing pretty damn well in this environment. but he never tells us so how would we really know....]]>
Sirius XM: Media's Fear-Mongering Has Gone on Long Enough http://seekingalpha.com/article/122221-sirius-xm-media-s-fear-mongering-has-gone-on-long-enough?source=feed#comment-401105 401105 Tue, 24 Feb 2009 08:09:55 -0500 The Sirius Price of Liberty http://seekingalpha.com/article/121488-the-sirius-price-of-liberty?source=feed#comment-395671 395671
only way out of this mess is performance...that's it. question is...is mel really trying to lift the company or keep it down to take it private. again...we'll never know and it doesn't matter. the way i see it you hang in there for the long run....buy/sell in pops and drops to improve position...or dump it all after Q4 pop. like most of you guys, i'm not selling anytime soon. i do think this company has value and incredible potential..and some one...some day...is going to bring it to a better place.

last comment: I'll bet my 300,000 shares right now that we settle back to .10 - .11 base by end of this week. if I have some balls I'll jump back in for q4...

man the frustration is just incredible. i dont even know if my comments have any value or make any sense...just burning off some steam...thanks for listening.]]>
Thu, 19 Feb 2009 16:44:05 -0500
only way out of this mess is performance...that's it. question is...is mel really trying to lift the company or keep it down to take it private. again...we'll never know and it doesn't matter. the way i see it you hang in there for the long run....buy/sell in pops and drops to improve position...or dump it all after Q4 pop. like most of you guys, i'm not selling anytime soon. i do think this company has value and incredible potential..and some one...some day...is going to bring it to a better place.

last comment: I'll bet my 300,000 shares right now that we settle back to .10 - .11 base by end of this week. if I have some balls I'll jump back in for q4...

man the frustration is just incredible. i dont even know if my comments have any value or make any sense...just burning off some steam...thanks for listening.]]>
Intrinsic Value Investing: Recognizing Potentially Mispriced Stocks http://seekingalpha.com/article/120739-intrinsic-value-investing-recognizing-potentially-mispriced-stocks?source=feed#comment-391909 391909
gotta get rid of the bottom feeders before this thing moves today. there are a ton of people out there that bought in the .11 range and looking to score the quick slam. mm will take them out this morning and then we'll see some modest movement ahead. might take a few days for the market to digest the deal and change the negative sentiment that has plagued siri for so long. this isn't going to happen in one shot. strong q4 numbers will ignite the movement we were hoping for today. only a week away...]]>
Tue, 17 Feb 2009 10:04:29 -0500
gotta get rid of the bottom feeders before this thing moves today. there are a ton of people out there that bought in the .11 range and looking to score the quick slam. mm will take them out this morning and then we'll see some modest movement ahead. might take a few days for the market to digest the deal and change the negative sentiment that has plagued siri for so long. this isn't going to happen in one shot. strong q4 numbers will ignite the movement we were hoping for today. only a week away...]]>
Tuesday Trading May Bring New Life to Sirius http://seekingalpha.com/article/120682-tuesday-trading-may-bring-new-life-to-sirius?source=feed#comment-391261 391261
cos...great point about legitimacy. my brother is into stocks big time and he, like several others I've spoken with...simply dismisses siri like it doesn't even exist. this partnership definitely brings siri into the mainstream communications market. once the street gets on board we'll all benefit.

thanks again.]]>
Mon, 16 Feb 2009 19:48:47 -0500
cos...great point about legitimacy. my brother is into stocks big time and he, like several others I've spoken with...simply dismisses siri like it doesn't even exist. this partnership definitely brings siri into the mainstream communications market. once the street gets on board we'll all benefit.

thanks again.]]>
Tuesday Trading May Bring New Life to Sirius http://seekingalpha.com/article/120682-tuesday-trading-may-bring-new-life-to-sirius?source=feed#comment-391162 391162
thoughts?]]>
Mon, 16 Feb 2009 18:36:37 -0500
thoughts?]]>
Tuesday Trading May Bring New Life to Sirius http://seekingalpha.com/article/120682-tuesday-trading-may-bring-new-life-to-sirius?source=feed#comment-390864 390864
again, thanks to all you guys that deal in the facts and keep us grounded in reality. soon, i think we're all going to be glad we hung in there]]>
Mon, 16 Feb 2009 14:52:28 -0500
again, thanks to all you guys that deal in the facts and keep us grounded in reality. soon, i think we're all going to be glad we hung in there]]>
Tuesday Trading May Bring New Life to Sirius http://seekingalpha.com/article/120682-tuesday-trading-may-bring-new-life-to-sirius?source=feed#comment-390824 390824
also, lets have some fun and assume that the malone bridge loan is the way this thing rolls out, but may debt is still unresolved. that's what the post article said. they would take the next couple months to address that as part of the plan. so feb debt handled and very strong commitment from malone to help resolve may and dec....ok....what does the stock do tomorrow based on that announcement?]]>
Mon, 16 Feb 2009 14:28:14 -0500
also, lets have some fun and assume that the malone bridge loan is the way this thing rolls out, but may debt is still unresolved. that's what the post article said. they would take the next couple months to address that as part of the plan. so feb debt handled and very strong commitment from malone to help resolve may and dec....ok....what does the stock do tomorrow based on that announcement?]]>
Tuesday Trading May Bring New Life to Sirius http://seekingalpha.com/article/120682-tuesday-trading-may-bring-new-life-to-sirius?source=feed#comment-390820 390820 Mon, 16 Feb 2009 14:23:43 -0500 Tuesday Trading May Bring New Life to Sirius http://seekingalpha.com/article/120682-tuesday-trading-may-bring-new-life-to-sirius?source=feed#comment-390819 390819 Mon, 16 Feb 2009 14:22:40 -0500 Sirius XM: Working on Debt, But Not Out of the Woods http://seekingalpha.com/article/120571-sirius-xm-working-on-debt-but-not-out-of-the-woods?source=feed#comment-388565 388565 Sat, 14 Feb 2009 13:36:43 -0500 Will John Malone Rescue Sirius XM? http://seekingalpha.com/article/120441-will-john-malone-rescue-sirius-xm?source=feed#comment-387001 387001
but i have to admit...the latest developments are giving me hope that siri will live to fight another day without us shareholders getting totally wiped out. at this point I'm not looking for this miraculous pop in pps. from what i can tell both ergen and malone are both offering siri a path to remain intact as is, but materially nothing more.

ill take it....

gotta hand it to mel...even without knowing the outcome...this guy is one hell of a fighter...i'll take him on my team any day....

]]>
Fri, 13 Feb 2009 09:53:15 -0500
but i have to admit...the latest developments are giving me hope that siri will live to fight another day without us shareholders getting totally wiped out. at this point I'm not looking for this miraculous pop in pps. from what i can tell both ergen and malone are both offering siri a path to remain intact as is, but materially nothing more.

ill take it....

gotta hand it to mel...even without knowing the outcome...this guy is one hell of a fighter...i'll take him on my team any day....

]]>
Sirius: Is Chapter 11 Good for Shareholders? http://seekingalpha.com/article/120340-sirius-is-chapter-11-good-for-shareholders?source=feed#comment-386623 386623
couldnt have said it better. I have believed all along that Mel is looking down the road, beyond Feb, and realizing that with no shot to survive bk is his only option to keep the company alive. i read the articles, the blogs and the boards and there is a ton of "hope" out there. but the facts are that this business model is taking to long to reach profitability. the fcc delay and lack or credit are two obstacles that just can't be overcome. only hope at this point is malone imo. ergen will take the longs out as will bk. i believe mel's pulling out all the stops to avoid bk, but his options are very limited.]]>
Thu, 12 Feb 2009 23:00:22 -0500
couldnt have said it better. I have believed all along that Mel is looking down the road, beyond Feb, and realizing that with no shot to survive bk is his only option to keep the company alive. i read the articles, the blogs and the boards and there is a ton of "hope" out there. but the facts are that this business model is taking to long to reach profitability. the fcc delay and lack or credit are two obstacles that just can't be overcome. only hope at this point is malone imo. ergen will take the longs out as will bk. i believe mel's pulling out all the stops to avoid bk, but his options are very limited.]]>
Echostar's Sirius Power Play http://seekingalpha.com/article/120000-echostar-s-sirius-power-play?source=feed#comment-384796 384796 Wed, 11 Feb 2009 19:52:07 -0500 Echostar's Sirius Power Play http://seekingalpha.com/article/120000-echostar-s-sirius-power-play?source=feed#comment-384794 384794 Wed, 11 Feb 2009 19:50:54 -0500 Does Ergen Have Enough Leverage to Play Out His Sirius Hand? http://seekingalpha.com/article/119685-does-ergen-have-enough-leverage-to-play-out-his-sirius-hand?source=feed#comment-383119 383119 Tue, 10 Feb 2009 19:46:12 -0500 Does Ergen Have Enough Leverage to Play Out His Sirius Hand? http://seekingalpha.com/article/119685-does-ergen-have-enough-leverage-to-play-out-his-sirius-hand?source=feed#comment-383101 383101 Tue, 10 Feb 2009 19:24:35 -0500 Does Ergen Have Enough Leverage to Play Out His Sirius Hand? http://seekingalpha.com/article/119685-does-ergen-have-enough-leverage-to-play-out-his-sirius-hand?source=feed#comment-383074 383074 Tue, 10 Feb 2009 19:03:19 -0500 Does Ergen Have Enough Leverage to Play Out His Sirius Hand? http://seekingalpha.com/article/119685-does-ergen-have-enough-leverage-to-play-out-his-sirius-hand?source=feed#comment-382950 382950 Tue, 10 Feb 2009 17:43:40 -0500 Echostar Buys Sirius Debt: Takeover Thoughts or Just a Good Investment? http://seekingalpha.com/article/119201-echostar-buys-sirius-debt-takeover-thoughts-or-just-a-good-investment?source=feed#comment-382214 382214
that said...you made a few bucks relmor...and we all got a look at the movement we can expect when good news is announced. and it will be... I bought another 100k yesterday at .11 and now have my cost ave down to .34. I feel like I'm in the ball park. Bottom line, I read all the stuff and come to my own conclusions. I'm convinced SIRI is not going BK anytime soon so felt very safe buying in again at this level. not sure how it will all end up but almost certain pps will be higher than it is today when all this stuff shakes out over the next couple weeks.]]>
Tue, 10 Feb 2009 09:48:13 -0500
that said...you made a few bucks relmor...and we all got a look at the movement we can expect when good news is announced. and it will be... I bought another 100k yesterday at .11 and now have my cost ave down to .34. I feel like I'm in the ball park. Bottom line, I read all the stuff and come to my own conclusions. I'm convinced SIRI is not going BK anytime soon so felt very safe buying in again at this level. not sure how it will all end up but almost certain pps will be higher than it is today when all this stuff shakes out over the next couple weeks.]]>
Echostar Buys Sirius Debt: Takeover Thoughts or Just a Good Investment? http://seekingalpha.com/article/119201-echostar-buys-sirius-debt-takeover-thoughts-or-just-a-good-investment?source=feed#comment-380862 380862
good point...and I agree BK still very unlikely here...but what does a merger, takeover, partnership...whatever it is...mean to future of siri and pps? assuming all the doom and gloom is even halfway true it sounds as if Mel's back is up against the wall. so what's the best case scenario of Mel turning to Ergen?]]>
Mon, 09 Feb 2009 09:46:50 -0500
good point...and I agree BK still very unlikely here...but what does a merger, takeover, partnership...whatever it is...mean to future of siri and pps? assuming all the doom and gloom is even halfway true it sounds as if Mel's back is up against the wall. so what's the best case scenario of Mel turning to Ergen?]]>
Echostar Buys Sirius Debt: Takeover Thoughts or Just a Good Investment? http://seekingalpha.com/article/119201-echostar-buys-sirius-debt-takeover-thoughts-or-just-a-good-investment?source=feed#comment-380825 380825 Mon, 09 Feb 2009 09:33:20 -0500 Echostar Buys Sirius Debt: Takeover Thoughts or Just a Good Investment? http://seekingalpha.com/article/119201-echostar-buys-sirius-debt-takeover-thoughts-or-just-a-good-investment?source=feed#comment-380789 380789
"In discussions with investors last week, Karmazin said that unless he could raise $175 million, he would be faced with one of two options: having Sirius file for bankruptcy or cutting a deal with Ergen, the paper said. An EchoStar spokesman could not be immediately reached for comment by Reuters. Sirius too could not be immediately reached for comment by Reuters. (Reporting by Bhaswati Mukhopadhyay in Bangalore; Editing by Erica Billingham)"

what discussion with investors? i don't recall hearing any news regarding recent statements from Mel to investors. Anyone?

where is COH? I assumed that Mel could tackle some of the Feb debt with COH and rest thru equity swap. Also, what about recent cash coming in from subs looking to lock in lower pricing options? what about FCF for Q4. If Mel is really struggling to handle this first wave of 09 debt then the street might be right...it's just a matter of time before BK. May just a few short months away.

does Mel have a deal somewhere else? sure is doing a great job of keeping quiet if so. the comment in the article sure doesnt give one confidence that he has something up his sleeve...

very worried at this point....

]]>
Mon, 09 Feb 2009 09:17:55 -0500
"In discussions with investors last week, Karmazin said that unless he could raise $175 million, he would be faced with one of two options: having Sirius file for bankruptcy or cutting a deal with Ergen, the paper said. An EchoStar spokesman could not be immediately reached for comment by Reuters. Sirius too could not be immediately reached for comment by Reuters. (Reporting by Bhaswati Mukhopadhyay in Bangalore; Editing by Erica Billingham)"

what discussion with investors? i don't recall hearing any news regarding recent statements from Mel to investors. Anyone?

where is COH? I assumed that Mel could tackle some of the Feb debt with COH and rest thru equity swap. Also, what about recent cash coming in from subs looking to lock in lower pricing options? what about FCF for Q4. If Mel is really struggling to handle this first wave of 09 debt then the street might be right...it's just a matter of time before BK. May just a few short months away.

does Mel have a deal somewhere else? sure is doing a great job of keeping quiet if so. the comment in the article sure doesnt give one confidence that he has something up his sleeve...

very worried at this point....

]]>
New iPhone App Could Boost Sirius XM's Cash http://seekingalpha.com/article/117638-new-iphone-app-could-boost-sirius-xm-s-cash?source=feed#comment-371468 371468 Fri, 30 Jan 2009 15:57:25 -0500 New iPhone App Could Boost Sirius XM's Cash http://seekingalpha.com/article/117638-new-iphone-app-could-boost-sirius-xm-s-cash?source=feed#comment-371440 371440 Fri, 30 Jan 2009 15:28:12 -0500 Sirius XM Gets Some Breathing Room from Delisting Freeze http://seekingalpha.com/article/116959-sirius-xm-gets-some-breathing-room-from-delisting-freeze?source=feed#comment-370374 370374 Thu, 29 Jan 2009 16:39:02 -0500 Sirius XM Gets Some Breathing Room from Delisting Freeze http://seekingalpha.com/article/116959-sirius-xm-gets-some-breathing-room-from-delisting-freeze?source=feed#comment-369754 369754
again, thanks for your comments. i tend to agree. I'm optimistic about q4 and hope to see continued improvement across the board. just a little worried about the overall impact on churn that this severe recession is having. but that too could be offset with higher penetration rate of vehicles coming off the line equipped with sat rad. all in all i see this thing moving in the right direction. everyone has so many ideas about what this company should be doing, and the lack of effective marketing...i don't get all those complaints. company as a merged entity is only a couple quarters old and climbing a severe mountain of debt and other operational challenges. I think Mel is doing just what he needs to do by sticking to the basics, watching costs and all the other steps required just to keep this company solvent. Mel is no dummie...once he gets some breathing room I'm sure you'll see the company get a lot more creative with strategic partnerships and great identity building marketing that will take us to the next level. but that is "then"...today we are in the "now" which requires caution, operational conservatism, optimziing synergies of the merger, etc. I feel, just like many of us...that we are really close to turning a corner. not sure if 3/1 brings us all the answers, but hopefully enough to eliminate threat of BK restore confidence in the street, ]]>
Thu, 29 Jan 2009 09:36:02 -0500
again, thanks for your comments. i tend to agree. I'm optimistic about q4 and hope to see continued improvement across the board. just a little worried about the overall impact on churn that this severe recession is having. but that too could be offset with higher penetration rate of vehicles coming off the line equipped with sat rad. all in all i see this thing moving in the right direction. everyone has so many ideas about what this company should be doing, and the lack of effective marketing...i don't get all those complaints. company as a merged entity is only a couple quarters old and climbing a severe mountain of debt and other operational challenges. I think Mel is doing just what he needs to do by sticking to the basics, watching costs and all the other steps required just to keep this company solvent. Mel is no dummie...once he gets some breathing room I'm sure you'll see the company get a lot more creative with strategic partnerships and great identity building marketing that will take us to the next level. but that is "then"...today we are in the "now" which requires caution, operational conservatism, optimziing synergies of the merger, etc. I feel, just like many of us...that we are really close to turning a corner. not sure if 3/1 brings us all the answers, but hopefully enough to eliminate threat of BK restore confidence in the street, ]]>
Sirius XM Gets Some Breathing Room from Delisting Freeze http://seekingalpha.com/article/116959-sirius-xm-gets-some-breathing-room-from-delisting-freeze?source=feed#comment-369053 369053
thanks for your comments. i agree, synergies could offset weak subs or higher churn. closer to fcf the better, thats for sure. just seems like there is such little wiggle room. deep down i believe in mel, the company and i love the product. overall i think he's done a great job navigating thru what we'd all call the perfect storm for sat radio. car sales and discretionary spending getting whacked big time...credit markets totally frozen. but we're still here posting our thoughts and waiting for the tide to turn. i believe it will...]]>
Wed, 28 Jan 2009 15:54:42 -0500
thanks for your comments. i agree, synergies could offset weak subs or higher churn. closer to fcf the better, thats for sure. just seems like there is such little wiggle room. deep down i believe in mel, the company and i love the product. overall i think he's done a great job navigating thru what we'd all call the perfect storm for sat radio. car sales and discretionary spending getting whacked big time...credit markets totally frozen. but we're still here posting our thoughts and waiting for the tide to turn. i believe it will...]]>