Andrew Left's Citron Research (http://www.citronresearch.com/) (formally known as Stocklemon.com) seeks to expose companies whose management is in some way misleading investors. Left digs into SEC filings, financials, management histories and other data to uncover such situations, and he is usually short the stocks he writes about. Mr. Left has been publishing for 7 years and has created a track record that is unrivaled in short selling. Mr. Left has been cited in Barron's, Wall St Journal, CNBC and other major publications repeatedly for his work. Mr. Left was also an invited speaker at the reknown Master Investor Conference.
Visit: Citron Research (http://www.citronresearch.com/)
Sean Wilson, CFA – CIO, Managing Principal & Portfolio Manager
Mr. Wilson joined LR Global in 2005 as a Principal and Chief Investment Officer. Mr. Wilson oversees the investment strategy of the LR Global Frontier Fund, splitting time between New York and our Hanoi office. During his nearly ten years with the firm, he has built its current investment processes, research department, quantitative tools and portfolio risk model and has conducted many research studies specific to Frontier Markets investing.
Mr. Wilson began his career as a quantitative analyst and foreign exchange trader at Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co. (GMO). After a two-year period with Phoenix Investment Council as an international equity analyst, he joined Rockefeller & Co. as an international equity analyst and was subsequently named managing director, where his responsibilities included director of research and portfolio manager. Before joining LR Global, he was a senior portfolio manager at Columbia Management Group managing several billion dollars in assets.
These positions, and the over 1,000 companies visited during his career prior to LR Global, prepared him for the diversity of Frontier Markets and provided a deep understanding of both quantitative and fundamental analytical disciplines. During the 24 years he has worked in the investment industry, Mr. Wilson has managed a diverse set of portfolios including Japanese Small Capitalization, U.S. Large Capitalization, International and Shariah-compliant funds.
Mr. Wilson is deeply familiar with financial market bubbles and downturns. He managed a Japanese portfolio after the Japanese bubble in the early 1990s, an international portfolio during the currency crisis of the late 1990s, a U.S. portfolio during the information technology bubble of the early 2000s, and a Frontier Markets portfolio during the financial crisis of 2008. The breadth and depth of Mr. Wilson’s experience has been instrumental in creating the information flow, tools and processes used in the firm’s approach to such a unique and diverse asset class.
Mr. Wilson received his B.S. in Finance from Northeastern University in 1990 and is a Chartered Financial Analyst charterholder.
I obtained my CPA in 1990 and became a CFA charter holder in 2000. I consider myself an expert in Quantitative and Qualitative analysis and have extensive experience in Technical Analysis. I also have a deep interest in stock market history and hold degrees in Economics (BSBA) and Management Information Systems (MBA). I have been actively involved with investment analysis and investment management since 1985 but have been a student of investing since the 1960s. I owned my first individual stock position while still in high school. I am a student of Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett. I have achieved a uniquely diverse experience from multiple careers that has allowed me to develop a broad perspective enabling me to look at the big picture of macroeconomics all the way down to the retail unit or factory floor. In my youth I was in retail, then served in reconnaissance during my tours in Vietnam. I have been a blue collar, union worker in a factory and a manager in services, hospitality and transportation as well as a manager of professional staffs. I have more than 20 years of experience each in both public and private sectors. I have personal points of reference that many analysts will never have. I bring more to the table than just the theories and models I have studied or built. To understand more about my investing philosophy please visit my blog on my website.
Baijnath Ramraika, CFA is a cofounder and the CEO/CIO of Multi-Act EquiGlobe Limited. Baij learned and perfected his investment philosophy and process under the capable guidance of Mr. Prashant Trivedi, the founding Chairman of Multi-Act. Having spent the first few years of his investment career researching companies globally, he had something of an epiphany as he made a shift from resorting primarily to fundamental investment research to leaning towards quantitative investment processes. Old habits die hard. Not surprisingly, much of the quantitative processes developed and practiced by him are driven by lessons learnt as a fundamental analyst. Apart from working on his quantitative models, he continues to spend some of his time on fundamental analysis of companies as well. His investment philosophy primarily rests on buying high quality businesses at bargain to reasonable prices and shorting poor quality businesses at prices that discount blue skies and have poor price momentum. Baij writes on several investment and other topics of interest to him. Baij’s author page at SSRN lists some of his research papers including his research papers on high quality stocks. With George (Yiorgos) Allayannis, Baij co-authored an academic case study (Comerica Incorporated: The Valuation Dilemma) and a technical note (Bank Valuation Issues). Baij earned his MBA from Darden Graduate School of Business at University of Virginia in 2009 where he was the Sr. Portfolio Manager of the Cavalier fund at Darden Capital Management (DCM). In 2004, he completed all the three levels of CFA program of the CFA Institute and is a CFA charter holder. He earned his chartered accountant qualification in 2001 from the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India (ICAI) with a 41st rank in the final examinations on an all over India basis. He earned his undergraduate degree (B.Com) from Deen Dayal Upadhyay Groakhpur Univeristy (DDUGU). Baij and his wife live in the city of Pune with their two little angels.
Chad Gassaway is an active investor focused on technical and quantitative analysis. His investment strategy is based on managing investment risk while maximizing potential profits.
Chad graduated with a Bachelors degree from the University of Kentucky. Chad started his career in finance as a Financial Advisor at Edward Jones Investments. Chad then worked as a Financial Advisor for MetLife Securities prior to acting as the Vice President of Investments at JP Morgan-Chase in Lexington, Kentucky. Currently, he serves as a portfolio manager at Grace Trading.
Chad holds the designation of a Chartered Market Technician and is a member of the Market Technicians Association. His work has been featured in the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg Brief Technical Newsletter, Yahoo Finance, Seeking Alpha, and Investing.com.
About our authors:
William A. Delwiche, CMT, CFA
Willie Delwiche is Baird’s Associate Investment Strategist. Before joining Baird in 1999, Willie worked briefly as a researcher at the Committee for Economic Development, a Washington, D.C., pro-business think tank. Willie received a BA in economics and in government and politics from the University of Maryland and an MA in economics from the University of Wisconsin – Milwaukee. He is a member of the Market Technicians Association and the American Economics Association.
Mary Ellen Stanek, CFA
Director of Asset Management
Mary Ellen Stanek, CFA, has 35 years of investment management experience. She currently serves as Managing Director and Director of Asset Management for Robert W. Baird & Co. and Chief Investment Officer of Baird Advisors. Additionally she serves as President of the Baird Funds. Previously she had served as President and CEO of Firstar Investment Research & Management Company.
Mary Ellen is responsible for the development and portfolio management of all proprietary asset management services. She co-manages several fixed income mutual funds as well as a number of taxable and tax-exempt portfolios. Mary Ellen is a member of The CFA Institute, the CFA Society of Milwaukee, the Greater Milwaukee Committee (Chair), Milwaukee 7 (Co-Chair), Tempo (past President) and Professional Dimensions.
Founded in 1990, TrimTabs Investment Research is the leading independent institutional research firm focused on the supply and demand of shares of stock and the money available for investment. Our key premise – which we term Liquidity Theory – is that stock prices are a function of liquidity rather than value. Like the prices of any tradable good, the prices of stocks are driven primarily by supply and demand.
Unlike most quantitative stock-evaluation models, which focus on easily available price, volume, and earnings data, Liquidity Theory insights depend on detailed data on asset flows and how they shift over time. Since data on the supply and demand for stocks is scattered across so many sources, most strategies ignore stock market liquidity altogether.
By maintaining detailed quantitative models that track key areas of market liquidity and changes in the supply and demand for equities and equity-like vehicles, TrimTabs provides our clients with comprehensive real-time analysis of all aspects of equity-market liquidity.
On the supply side, we measure changes in the float of shares by aggregating corporate actions. On the demand side, we track the money moving into and out of the stock market by measuring the flows into and out of mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, and hedge funds. To obtain an early edge on future liquidity trends, our Real Time Macro research focuses on real-time measures of consumer income and employment. Follow TrimTabs and Charles Biderman on Twitter, @CharlesBiderman
Ray Dalio is the Chairman and co-Chief Investment Officer of Bridgewater Associates, which is a global macro investment firm and is the world’s largest hedge fund. He is known to have a very practical understanding of economics that is very different from conventional economic thinking and that he spelled out in "How the Economic Machine Works".
He started Bridgewater in 1975 out of a two bedroom apartment in New York City and has been a global macro investor for more than 45 years.
While at Bridgewater his industry-changing approaches to investing -- which include the invention of risk parity, currency overlay, portable alpha and global inflation indexed bond management -- prompted Alternative Investment CIO to write an article entitled “Is Ray Dalio the Steve Jobs of Investing?”, which compared his industry-changing inventions to those of the Apple founder. According to an industry study, Bridgewater's hedge fund has made more money for its investors than any other hedge fund ever -- an estimated $37 billion. Bridgewater Associates has received numerous awards, including over twenty “Manager of the Year” awards from every major financial publication, and Ray has received three “Lifetime Achievement” awards. Additionally, a long list of economic policy makers actively seek his advice, which prompted Time Magazine in 2012 to name him “One of the 100 Most Influential People in the World”.
Ray is an active philanthropist with a particular interest in oceanographic research and conservation. He is a participant in The Giving Pledge, a commitment to give more than half of his wealth to charity.
Ray believes that reality works like a machine and that principles for dealing with reality are required to be successful. For those who are interested in learning the principles that led to Ray's success, he set them out in Principles.org which focuses on management principles and EconomicPrinciples.org which describes the principles of the economic machine.
David Stockman is the ultimate Washington insider turned iconoclast. He began his career in Washington as a young man and quickly rose through the ranks of the Republican Party to become the Director of the Office of Management and Budget under President Ronald Reagan. After leaving the White House, Stockman had a 20-year career on Wall Street.
At the podium, Stockman’s expertise and experience cannot be matched, and he has a reputation for zesty financial straight talk. Defying right- and left-wing boxes, his latest book catalogues both the corrupters and defenders of sound money, fiscal rectitude, and free markets. Stockman discusses the forces that have left the public sector teetering on the edge of political dysfunction and fiscal collapse and have caused America’s financial system to morph into an unstable, bubble-prone gambling arena that undermines capitalist prosperity and showers speculators with vast windfall gains.
Stockman’s career in Washington began in 1970, when he served as a special assistant to U.S. Representative, John Anderson of Illinois. From 1972 to 1975, he was executive director of the U.S. House of Representatives Republican Conference. Stockman was elected as a Michigan Congressman in 1976 and held the position until his resignation in January 1981.
He then became Director of the Office of Management and Budget under President Ronald Reagan, serving from 1981 until August 1985. Stockman was the youngest cabinet member in the 20th century. Although only in his early 30s, Stockman became well known to the public during this time concerning the role of the federal government in American society.
After resigning from his position as Director of the OMB, Stockman wrote a best-selling book, The Triumph of Politics: Why the Reagan Revolution Failed (1986). The book was Stockman’s frontline report of the miscalculations, manipulations, and political intrigues that led to the failure of the Reagan Revolution. A major publishing event and New York Times bestseller in its day, The Triumph of Politics is still startlingly relevant to the conduct of Washington politics today.
After leaving government, Stockman joined Wall Street investment bank Salomon Bros. He later became one of the original partners at New York-based private equity firm, The Blackstone Group. Stockman left Blackstone in 1999 to start his own private equity fund based in Greenwich, Connecticut.
In his newest New York Times best-seller, The Great Deformation: The Corruption of Capitalism in America (2013), Stockman lays out how the U.S. has devolved from a free market economy into one fatally deformed by Washington’s endless fiscal largesse, K-street lobbies and Fed sponsored bailouts and printing press money.
Stockman was born in Ft. Hood, Texas. He received his B.A. from Michigan State University and pursued graduate studies at Harvard Divinity School.
He lives in Greenwich, Connecticut, with his wife Jennifer Blei Stockman. They have two daughters, Rachel and Victoria.
Owen Williams, CFA, DBA, is an equity fund manager in Geneva, Switzerland and a visiting professor at the Skema Business School, Paris, France. Dr. Williams has worked 16 years in the industry as both a bond/economics strategist with a top, independent research boutique and as a long-only macro equity fund manager. He has a Masters degree in international business from the Moore School of Business (Univ. of South Carolina) and a doctorate in finance from the Grenoble Ecole de Management.
Williams Market Analytics, LLC is a quantitative research boutique offering insightful, actionable analysis of financial markets. The firms also runs a systematic allocation strategy using Dr. Williams' quantitative models. The strategy portfolio can be accessed by both individual investors and RIAs in the U.S. and Europe. The strategy description and 5-year performance record can be found at:
Charles Rotblut, CFA is the editor of the AAII Journal, the flagship publication of The American Association of Individual Investors (AAII). Charles provides both insight about individual investor sentiment and market analysis. He is also the author of "Better Good than Lucky: How Savvy Investors Create Fortune with the Risk-Reward Ratio" (W&A Publishing/Trader's Press).
Eric Parnell, CFA, is the Founder and Director of Gerring Capital Partners. Gerring Capital is a registered investment advisory firm seeking attractive returns opportunities emphasizing value, quality and risk control. Eric also publishes The Universal premium service on Seeking Alpha targeting winning strategies in bear and bull markets across the asset class universe. Gerring Capital implements these strategies for its investors and then Eric discusses them on The Universal. Eric is also a Visiting Instructor at Ursinus College in the Department of Business and Economics. Prior to founding Gerring in 2005, Eric was the Director of Investment Communications at SEI Investments and an Economist at Moody’s Analytics.
Chief Investment Officer, Stanford Wealth Management. Retired senior exec of Charles Schwab. 36 years active and reserve military service -- 6 in special operations, 30 in the intelligence community. Geopolitical analyst.
Author -- investment book Bringing Home the Gold.
Editor -- The Investor’s Edge®. In the 16 years from inception through year-end 2015, the Investor’s Edge® Growth & Value Portfolio increased in value from $250,000 to $1,038,453. That same $250,000 invested in the S&P 500 rose to just $422,905. (Past results are no guarantee of future performance; maybe those 16 years were pure luck.)
Featured in Forbes, Barrons, The Wall Street Journal, Financial World, Wall Street Transcript, Global Investing, Welling on Wall Street, etc.
If you have a $500,000 portfolio ($250,000 for solely mutual funds & ETFs) you may contact me for a no-obligation "second opinion." firstname.lastname@example.org.
Over 25 years individual investment experience in stocks, bonds, options, and Forex trading. I have developed my own model to find out of favor stocks, stocks with high short interest, and developing technologies for high value investment opportunities.
Bachelor of Arts, Criminal Justice: Homeland Security
10 yr Navy Veteran
Stanford University Tech Trades Manager
David Moenning is Chief Investment Officer at Sowell Management Services, a registered investment advisor with more than $500 million under management. Sowell emphasizes an MPD (Modern Portfolio Diversification) approach to portfolio design which diversifies client holdings not only across asset classes but also by strategy, manager, and investment methodology. Dave began his investment career in 1980 and has been an independent money manager since 1987. Thus, Dave has been live on the firing line and investing for a living for nearly 30 years.
The Dorsey Wright Money Management team is composed of Michael Moody, Harold Parker, John Lewis, Andy Hyer, and JP Lee.
Mr. Moody and Mr. Parker, Senior Portfolio Managers, joined Dorsey Wright Money Management in 1994.
John Lewis, Portfolio Manager, joined the team in 2002. Andy Hyer, Marketing Coordinator, joined in 2004. JP Lee, the most recent addition, came aboard in early 2008 in a client services role.
Michael Ashton has been a recognized leader in developing the U.S. inflation derivatives market. He traded the first interbank U.S. CPI swaps in 2003 and, as a dealer, was a primary liquidity-provider in that market for two large banks. He represented about one-third of interbank swaps volume during his tenures at those firms. He invented and was the sole market-maker for the CME CPI Futures contract. He has written and spoken extensively about the use of inflation-indexed products for hedging real exposures, and has written more broadly in a commentary format about the rates markets and macroeconomy. Mr. Ashton is currently the managing principal at Enduring Investments LLC. His comments on this site and others are not posted in that role, and no opinions of his should be construed to be recommendations of or to reflect the views of his employer. He recently published "What's Wrong With Money? The Biggest Bubble of All."
Doug Short is first-wave boomer with a lifelong interest in markets and the economy. His professional career had been a satisfying split between academia (English Professor at North Carolina State University) and Information technology (IBM and GSK).
Doug retired in 2006 to devote himself full-time to his dshort.com financial website. The domain has now been acquired by Advisor Perspectives, and Doug has been appointed the Vice President of Research.
Doug is especially interested in the economy, long-term market trends and behavioral finance.
Sy Harding founded Asset Management Research Corporation in 1988 for the purpose of providing stock market and economic research to institutions and serious investors. Harding’s engineering background, coupled with his experience in operating high-tech businesses through numerous economic cycles, made it natural that the research involves technical analysis and charting, as well as analysis of the economic fundamentals that affect markets and individual stocks.
The firm publishes its research on its website at www.StreetSmartReport.com.
Harding is frequently ranked highly in the ‘Top Ten Market Timers in the U.S.’, and is quoted frequently in the financial media.
He wrote the timely 1999 book Riding the Bear – How to Prosper in the Coming Bear Market, which accurately predicted the 2000-2002 bear market. It also introduced Sy’s remarkable Seasonal Timing Strategy, which more than doubled the performance of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq in the nine years since, without a single down year even in the serious 2000-2002 bear market.
He has a new book out ‘How to Beat the Market the Easy Way’, which reveals several new seasonal timing strategies, from short-term to long-term, which have a history of out-performing the market, while exposing investors to less than 50% of market risk.
Tom Dorsey has a BS in Business Administration and a stock analyst for over 20 years.
Improved website! Our recommendations average over 10% each quarter and help accelerate the growth of your portfolio. The overall market is moving sideways, but the results of our selected recommendations have helped investors increase their portfolios every quarter.
We track the overall market, economic conditions, the banking industry and REITs, the oil industry and MLPs As we move forward we describe the effects on your portfolio and how to grow.
The majority of our research has focused on higher paying dividend stocks in REITs and MLPs. Our return is 10% or higher return per quarter that includes the dividends and stock price appreciation. We use concepts called 'analytical sorting" and "90-Day Investment Cycle" that focuses on the effects on the markets and the personal investment strategies. I invest in what I believe in. We ask each person to make their own decisions before investing. Enjoy my articles and visit my website to provide me feedback. The comments are always welcome. Please comment on the articles, and respect each person’s opinion.
Frank started market timing in 1982 when the Federal Reserve cut interest rates and sparked the 1980’s bull rally.
Realizing that this rally could have been forecasted, he began to search for indicators which had similar forecasting ability.
Within a year, his first newsletter was launched, “Growth Fund Strategies Report” which used a market timing strategy consisting of changes in interest rates, Fed changes, Market breadth and market price (using the S&P 500 Index).
The strategy was hugely successful and issued a major sell signal on September 10th, 1987, just five weeks before the market crash on October 19th.
In 1996 his first market timing website was launched. “Market Timer Report” used a refined strategy to market time the general U.S. stock market, and followed a variety of growth stock mutual funds. It was geared towards more conservative mutual fund investors and averaged only one to two switches a year.
By the end of the 1990s, the strategy was refined to one that followed market trends instead of using interest rates and breadth on which to base market timing decisions.
Because trend following never missed major trends trends, and those trends which failed resulted in minimal gains or losses, it became apparent that this was the better way to profit in what was quickly becoming a hugely overbought stock market.
The bear market of 2000 through 2002 generated substantial “bearish position” profits by following trends and Frank began using Fibonacci support and resistance levels to look forward and help identify trends.
In 2002 we changed the name of our timing service to FibTimer.com (live link) to better identify ourselves to prospective subscribers. We also began the process of adding new timing strategies, using our trend trading systems to develop both aggressive market timing strategies as well as conservative market timing strategies.
In time we added sector fund timing, gold fund timing, bond fund timing and small cap fund timing. In 2003 we expanded to ETF timing strategies as well as starting a portfolio of individual stocks. All using our trend following systems to time the markets.
Frank is currently the editor and chief market analyst of FibTimer.com, as well as president of Market Timing Strategies, Inc.
Dr. John Hussman is the president and principal shareholder of Hussman Econometrics Advisors, the investment advisory firm that manages the Hussman Funds ( http://www.hussmanfunds.com). He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Stanford University, and a Masters degree in education and social policy and a bachelors degree in economics from Northwestern University. Prior to managing the Hussman Funds, Dr. Hussman was a professor of economics and international finance at the University of Michigan. In the mid-1980's, Dr Hussman worked as an options mathematician for Peters & Company at the Chicago Board of Trade, and in 1988 began publishing the Hussman Econometrics newsletter. Virtually all of Dr. Hussman's liquid assets are invested in the Hussman Funds.
Note: Dr. Hussman is not an active contributor to Seeking Alpha; rather, SA editors excerpt regularly from Dr. Hussman's public commentary.
Legendary investor Jeremy Grantham serves as Chairman of the Board of Grantham, Mayo Van Otterloo (GMO) and oversees quantitative products and investment strategies. Before GMO’s founding in 1977, Mr. Grantham was co-founder of Batterymarch Financial Management. Prior to helping found Batterymarch, he was a portfolio manager at Keystone Custodian Funds, a management consultant with Cresap McCormick & Paget, and an economist with Royal Dutch Shell. Mr. Grantham earned his undergraduate degree from the University of Sheffield (U.K.) and an M.B.A. from Harvard Business School.
Note: Mr. Grantham is not an active contributor to Seeking Alpha; rather, SA editors excerpt regularly from Mr. Grantham's public commentary.
Visit GMO (http://www.gmo.com/)
I am a financial writer, publisher, and New York Times bestselling-author. Each week, nearly a million readers around the world receive my Thoughts From the Frontline free investment newsletter. My most recent book is Code Red: How to Protect Your Savings from the Coming Crisis. I appear regularly on CNBC and Bloomberg TV. I’m also Chairman of Mauldin Economics, a research group that provides monthly analysis and recommendations to thousands of readers around the world. I was previously CEO of the American Bureau of Economic Research. Today I am President of the investment advisory firm Millennium Wave Advisors, LLC. I am also president and registered principal of Millennium Wave Securities, LLC a FINRA and SIPC registered broker dealer. When I’m not traveling to speak at conferences and events, I live in Dallas, TX. I’m also the proud father of seven children.
Hardassetsinvestor.com (http://hardassetsinvestor.com/) is a Van Eck Associates-sponsored, research oriented Web site devoted to sharing ideas about hard assets investing. The site has been developed as an educational resource for both individual and institutional investors interested in learning more about commodity equities, commodity futures and gold (the three major components of the hard assets marketplace). The site focuses on hard assets investing, without endorsing or recommending any particular investment product or approach.
Visit: Hard Assets Investor (http://hardassetsinvestor.com/)