balsamo001

The Dangers of Timing the Market

re sorry

All those buy and holds theories are pure non sense...As far as i concerned when in the morning i see dark clouds on the horizon i will put a rain coat on...Well i saw black clouds back in 2006, and sold in April 2007...
If if would have stayed in the same 2006 positions, i would be down 38% since then... i am actually up 15% YTD...

And what if you would have buy and hold in AIG, BS, WAMU, and all the casualties of this bear market...Buy and hold is like hiding your head in the sand... IMHO, Buy anbd holders shouldn't be investing at all

The Dangers of Timing the Market

What i meant is that there are simplistic ways to time the market. When the PE are high and if your in, be prepared to sell...if the PE are low, and you're not in the market, then be prepared to buy...there are cycle long term...if you get in the market at the wrong time, it could take years to recover...So no, the one who bought the SP500 in 1966 lost money all his live and eventually his son or grandson broke even in 1984 (or 1991 if included inflation)...

All those buy a

The Dangers of Timing the Market

Sorry...One of the most misleading you can find....It supposes that any individuals lives 100 years...what about the lost generations ? The ones that started investing in 1929, 1965, 2000 or more recently 2007 ? Only their children or grand children would have get any return.

Those kind of bullshits are the main reason why retail investors never sell or buy when they should. It should be banned.

The Dangers of Timing the Market

One of the most misleading study you ca

The Dummy's Guide to the U.S. Financial Crisis

Please, i seek everywhere the answer at this stupid question :

If the US are so close to an financial Armagedon, why does Paulson fears so much about the banks "so in need" executives disregarding the bail out in case there would be too much demands from congress ?

Why does he ask being above the law whatever he does with the money recieved ?

How is it that the major banks are still paying dividends to sharehorlders if their situation is so scary ?

How is it that it all comes weeks before the elections ?

Please answer thoses questions, as i am not from the US...

However considering the last 8 years of this administration, would it be that stupid to consider that the executive (presidency) only want the money to get rid of congress ? After the home security bill, it seems that the only power left to congress is the budget...

Well maybe it's a bit over the top...but if we were really at the brink of Armagedon, the SP500 and the DOW shouldn't be the most resilent market place of the first world (Europe is down 25-30%, China, India 60-50%, etc), Big Banks shouldn't be paying dividends, unemployement should be well over 6.1%, GDP should be negative, etc...

So why is Paulson so affraid that his plan COULD be rejected by the banks ?

Well it's getting late

Financial Terrorism? - Cramer's Stop Trading! (9/18/08)

Well, then the "terrorists" that brought the nasdaq to 5000 should be prosecuted as well...This crap "Yahoo 1200$" cost a lot to the whole world... So maybe the SEC should ban long-buying as well...

Oh better idea to ensure stability...Lets close the stock exchanges...Let the fed buy and sell the markets...

America is really getting sick.

So Paulson finally get the shorts to cover like hell...But they'll a huge price to pay for that... I would short the fed if i could...due to its ballance sheets...Oh, no the treasury will bail it out...Who is going to bail out the Treasury...(in case there's still a treasure left)

Hedge Funds Are Getting Their Butts Kicked Too

As stated by Mebane Faber from Worldbeta... Off "9114 funds Morningstar ranks as "all-diversified stock funds". Of these funds, the average performance is around -12% YTD...and only 50 of them a positive YTD...

Hedge Funds Are Getting Their Butts Kicked Too

Well all the fuss about Hedge funds is quite amusing. If all the monrninstar funds whith negative return would liquidate, there would be no one left to hype the markets on CNBC

Most of the "good" Hedge fund are doing well considering the overall market conditions...the one i am in is just fine with +23% YTD...though the summer was tough...

OH