Pessimistic Optimist's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.comuser/257532/comments http://seekingalpha.com/article/160415-verizon-raises-dividends-but-is-it-enough?source=feed#comment-670177 670177
The dividend spike is welcomed along with the thought of a small but meaningful lift back to 32. Make a little and then make a little extra.I am a longer term holder with an eye out. If the company gives you above 6%, hell yeah I'll take it. But I will stay vigilant on its progress. If things change, get out, hopefully with a dividend payout. ]]> Thu, 10 Sep 2009 10:19:19 -0400
The dividend spike is welcomed along with the thought of a small but meaningful lift back to 32. Make a little and then make a little extra.I am a longer term holder with an eye out. If the company gives you above 6%, hell yeah I'll take it. But I will stay vigilant on its progress. If things change, get out, hopefully with a dividend payout. ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/160090-fisher-price-deflation?source=feed#comment-663430 663430
Add that to incomprehensible fear of investors hording what cash they have managed to rathole in this downtrend which reduces spending of the consumer and what good can be made of the current state of this market? If you really want to drive the nail home look at the current rate of unemployment in some cities, counties and states.

Exceeding 9.5% in some locals does not make for a recovery. I believe that we will not fully recover until the unemployment rates fall to below 3% which are some of the countrys lowest averages on record.

The injection of fresh capital by the gov't , which some say saved us from economic armageddon, has insured that sooner than later the middle class will be picking up a tab we have not yet considered what DNA strand will be footing the bill on. Basically stated, our great grand children just inherited our debt.

And now the bad news............]]> Sat, 05 Sep 2009 18:16:37 -0400
Add that to incomprehensible fear of investors hording what cash they have managed to rathole in this downtrend which reduces spending of the consumer and what good can be made of the current state of this market? If you really want to drive the nail home look at the current rate of unemployment in some cities, counties and states.

Exceeding 9.5% in some locals does not make for a recovery. I believe that we will not fully recover until the unemployment rates fall to below 3% which are some of the countrys lowest averages on record.

The injection of fresh capital by the gov't , which some say saved us from economic armageddon, has insured that sooner than later the middle class will be picking up a tab we have not yet considered what DNA strand will be footing the bill on. Basically stated, our great grand children just inherited our debt.

And now the bad news............]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/158887-dell-signs-of-insider-trading?source=feed#comment-651327 651327 Hell I feel so good about gaining back a little of what i lost that if I do not get in at next drops bottom, I know I will be ok just by what has just happened. As also was stated I will accept missing trhe first 10%, climb on for the next 40% and sit out the top 5%. No pressure to make bigger mistakes and be greedy.
good luck folks! ]]> Fri, 28 Aug 2009 14:51:09 -0400 Hell I feel so good about gaining back a little of what i lost that if I do not get in at next drops bottom, I know I will be ok just by what has just happened. As also was stated I will accept missing trhe first 10%, climb on for the next 40% and sit out the top 5%. No pressure to make bigger mistakes and be greedy.
good luck folks! ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/155972-july-retail-sales-the-economic-storm-is-not-over?source=feed#comment-632388 632388



then be out]]> Sun, 16 Aug 2009 19:36:22 -0400



then be out]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/146172-cramer-s-mad-money-strategies-for-staying-in-the-game-6-29-09?source=feed#comment-569275 569275
The opposite would be a stop which is saying you owned it at 18.40 and do not want to relinquish all your profit if your concerned it will drop for some bit of news or a gut feeling. Your stop order will or should sell your stock at your chosen stop price. The closer to the 18.40 you stop the tighter the stop is. There are two ways to play that end either a % or a price numerically. ]]> Tue, 30 Jun 2009 20:45:01 -0400
The opposite would be a stop which is saying you owned it at 18.40 and do not want to relinquish all your profit if your concerned it will drop for some bit of news or a gut feeling. Your stop order will or should sell your stock at your chosen stop price. The closer to the 18.40 you stop the tighter the stop is. There are two ways to play that end either a % or a price numerically. ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/135325-22-dividend-stocks-with-good-fundamentals?source=feed#comment-493159 493159 a few I am holding in my discretionary portfolio names and yields of VZ at 6.1%, BP at 7.49% COP at 4.38%, Nat at 14.45% ( after being cut in half) , CAT at 4.26% KMP at 8.93%,, ETE at 7.94%. , MKC at 3.19%, HNZ at 4.71%
CPB at 3.79%. I know I am heavy energy but these are carriers and have no anchor to anything but moving product. I have one real speculator here in RGM at 102.98%. yes you saw it right .. crazy yielder but at a buck plus 70 that is how much I have to loose.
go dividends!]]> Wed, 06 May 2009 23:09:14 -0400 a few I am holding in my discretionary portfolio names and yields of VZ at 6.1%, BP at 7.49% COP at 4.38%, Nat at 14.45% ( after being cut in half) , CAT at 4.26% KMP at 8.93%,, ETE at 7.94%. , MKC at 3.19%, HNZ at 4.71%
CPB at 3.79%. I know I am heavy energy but these are carriers and have no anchor to anything but moving product. I have one real speculator here in RGM at 102.98%. yes you saw it right .. crazy yielder but at a buck plus 70 that is how much I have to loose.
go dividends!]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/135168-cramer-s-mad-money-mutual-fund-monday-5-4-09?source=feed#comment-489640 489640 Mon, 04 May 2009 23:22:56 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/134158-cramer-s-stop-trading-china-saves-the-world-4-29-09?source=feed#comment-486946 486946 give a wash machine to each family in China's rural communities when water and plumbing in some of these locations will be scarce at best?

beyond that as mentioned electricity is a luzury most of these farm communities most likely don't have either. They going to also supply generators and then water tenders so they can do their laundry? Might as well throw in some detergent.. uh, biodegradable.

]]> Sat, 02 May 2009 20:47:51 -0400 give a wash machine to each family in China's rural communities when water and plumbing in some of these locations will be scarce at best?

beyond that as mentioned electricity is a luzury most of these farm communities most likely don't have either. They going to also supply generators and then water tenders so they can do their laundry? Might as well throw in some detergent.. uh, biodegradable.

]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/131596-is-dendreon-a-360-stock-or-is-that-too-low?source=feed#comment-481594 481594
Four plus months is just that, and when your circling the drain.. it is a life time. I'll take it..literally. ]]> Tue, 28 Apr 2009 16:46:06 -0400
Four plus months is just that, and when your circling the drain.. it is a life time. I'll take it..literally. ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/132522-cramer-s-stop-trading-how-can-you-not-want-to-be-in-freeport-4-23-09?source=feed#comment-475253 475253 Fri, 24 Apr 2009 01:36:33 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/132213-at-t-vs-verizon-which-is-better-positioned-for-the-future?source=feed#comment-475185 475185
Bundle it up and sell me two new phones.. next year I will upgrade to 4G unless it come standard with certain packages. . ]]> Thu, 23 Apr 2009 23:21:24 -0400
Bundle it up and sell me two new phones.. next year I will upgrade to 4G unless it come standard with certain packages. . ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/130639-sucker-s-rally-approaching-an-end?source=feed#comment-468905 468905
To try and guess ( that is what I get from this article.. guessing) is throwing caution to the wind...if in, or out...and if you guess wrong.. what happens? You either win or lose depending on how you called your action. Those whom missed this move.. well the 20-60-20% rule applies and is about as true as your going to see. The markets will return.. it is anybody's guess when..oops I said it again. You could be the winners on another rip or you would prove to be the looser -a goat if you will- if over precautious.

All I am saying is nobody knows what will happen.. nobody. I was in pretty heavy for me after early March when it turned for the 25% plus rip. I have tight stops especially in financials and will watch commodities like steel and fertilizers somewhat to the comments of another poster here. I caught RIMM at 41.00 smackers.. I was fortunate to play it right. I was in before earnings by over a week and called it, only silently to myself. I had convictions on the BB looks like that one worked. Competition breeds efficiency.

I do not know anything that anybody else doesn't know. It is a chance that I took and I got it right, finally. I like the market in general. There are promising trades out there.. I do not think we are talking holds yet unless your up on great long play dividends but that is my opinion. Speaking of which, I really like the cruise lines right now with loosened restrictions in Cuba. I am not saying these will rip but I am preparing for something to happen. And I feel, not fear , that this something will be positive. That is the key.. be positive where you can whether in or out.

good luck folks]]> Sun, 19 Apr 2009 18:03:05 -0400
To try and guess ( that is what I get from this article.. guessing) is throwing caution to the wind...if in, or out...and if you guess wrong.. what happens? You either win or lose depending on how you called your action. Those whom missed this move.. well the 20-60-20% rule applies and is about as true as your going to see. The markets will return.. it is anybody's guess when..oops I said it again. You could be the winners on another rip or you would prove to be the looser -a goat if you will- if over precautious.

All I am saying is nobody knows what will happen.. nobody. I was in pretty heavy for me after early March when it turned for the 25% plus rip. I have tight stops especially in financials and will watch commodities like steel and fertilizers somewhat to the comments of another poster here. I caught RIMM at 41.00 smackers.. I was fortunate to play it right. I was in before earnings by over a week and called it, only silently to myself. I had convictions on the BB looks like that one worked. Competition breeds efficiency.

I do not know anything that anybody else doesn't know. It is a chance that I took and I got it right, finally. I like the market in general. There are promising trades out there.. I do not think we are talking holds yet unless your up on great long play dividends but that is my opinion. Speaking of which, I really like the cruise lines right now with loosened restrictions in Cuba. I am not saying these will rip but I am preparing for something to happen. And I feel, not fear , that this something will be positive. That is the key.. be positive where you can whether in or out.

good luck folks]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/131120-notes-on-the-impending-market-reversal?source=feed#comment-464658 464658 Thu, 16 Apr 2009 01:42:17 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/130795-cramer-jon-stewart-interview-was-a-complete-and-utter-ambush?source=feed#comment-463627 463627 Tue, 14 Apr 2009 23:04:33 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/130330-what-cramer-did-not-tell-you-about-research-in-motion-stock?source=feed#comment-460133 460133 Sat, 11 Apr 2009 22:11:24 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/128815-cramer-s-stop-trading-so-long-stress-test-4-9-09?source=feed#comment-460126 460126 Sat, 11 Apr 2009 21:55:56 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/127581-the-high-dividend-stock-investor-s-collapsing-dollar-survival-guide-part-6b?source=feed#comment-440384 440384 ]]> Wed, 25 Mar 2009 20:12:51 -0400 ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/127182-7-ways-to-profit-from-asphalt-and-highway-construction?source=feed#comment-437630 437630 Disclaimer: I am long COP, BP, CAT and FLR. ]]> Tue, 24 Mar 2009 00:45:34 -0400 Disclaimer: I am long COP, BP, CAT and FLR. ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/120764-doe-report-lithium-ion-batteries-are-not-ready-for-prime-time?source=feed#comment-390656 390656 With the temperance of such technology you basically have a small climate conducive to this type of alternative use. Between the cold which depleats a battery's energy as temps drop exponentially and on the opposite side ,heat, which is also detrimental to battery life as the temp increases beyond the efficiency range. Great speech.. now what do we do??]]> Mon, 16 Feb 2009 12:59:31 -0500 With the temperance of such technology you basically have a small climate conducive to this type of alternative use. Between the cold which depleats a battery's energy as temps drop exponentially and on the opposite side ,heat, which is also detrimental to battery life as the temp increases beyond the efficiency range. Great speech.. now what do we do??]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/117782-lead-acid-lead-carbon-batteries-the-only-option-for-average-consumer?source=feed#comment-373416 373416

On Feb 01 12:42 PM thedivot wrote:

> John, you are a most prolific writer but your articles are much appreciated!
>
>
> I was wondering about the lifespan of these batteries in cars - how
> long would they be expected to last in your above scenerios? The
> price of a battery that goes in as OE and is built into the price
> of the car is much different than the price of replacing the battery
> in the after-market.]]> Mon, 02 Feb 2009 11:44:35 -0500

On Feb 01 12:42 PM thedivot wrote:

> John, you are a most prolific writer but your articles are much appreciated!
>
>
> I was wondering about the lifespan of these batteries in cars - how
> long would they be expected to last in your above scenerios? The
> price of a battery that goes in as OE and is built into the price
> of the car is much different than the price of replacing the battery
> in the after-market.]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/116268-chart-of-the-week-trend-in-cash-holdings-beginning-to-shift?source=feed#comment-365798 365798

On Jan 25 10:42 AM the ilster wrote:

> To suggest they are going to equities is foolish. Most likely to
> pay down the Massive debt levels we have privately and publicly]]> Sun, 25 Jan 2009 15:06:08 -0500

On Jan 25 10:42 AM the ilster wrote:

> To suggest they are going to equities is foolish. Most likely to
> pay down the Massive debt levels we have privately and publicly]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/116256-four-oil-giants-to-keep-an-eye-on-barron-s?source=feed#comment-365791 365791
BP on the other hand has a smaller hand to play with about 3.70 trimmed EPS for 09 and only 4.5X forward. They are 3 and some change off 52 week low. Inexpensive stocks, the both, compared to higher priced sector giants. The positive here is the Debt of only 14% and the $.81 dividend which appears to be safe for 09.
Needless to say, I am long here also.

The bottom line is taking these two for a ride is not going to be the most pleasant ride available in this market but for the the price, you will stay belted in with the dividend used as an SRS. ]]> Sun, 25 Jan 2009 14:59:45 -0500
BP on the other hand has a smaller hand to play with about 3.70 trimmed EPS for 09 and only 4.5X forward. They are 3 and some change off 52 week low. Inexpensive stocks, the both, compared to higher priced sector giants. The positive here is the Debt of only 14% and the $.81 dividend which appears to be safe for 09.
Needless to say, I am long here also.

The bottom line is taking these two for a ride is not going to be the most pleasant ride available in this market but for the the price, you will stay belted in with the dividend used as an SRS. ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/115644-cramer-s-mad-money-obama-accountability-index-1-21-09?source=feed#comment-363375 363375 I will bet he will be watched and held completely accountable. My thought is the last thing he wants is to be compared to W.

As an example of how the public views his position and how he reacts to it, yesterday he was re-sworn in- done in a back room ceremony- as the Internet was reporting a possible "non-legal presidential swearing in" because of the screw up with the verbage due to a lack of complete clear memory on JP's part.

That is a clear sign to me he is aware of his constituents concerns and will continue to be. But, I could be wrong it will be one of those time will tell issues.

I am optimistic and look forward to what is in our country's future. ]]> Thu, 22 Jan 2009 16:02:35 -0500 I will bet he will be watched and held completely accountable. My thought is the last thing he wants is to be compared to W.

As an example of how the public views his position and how he reacts to it, yesterday he was re-sworn in- done in a back room ceremony- as the Internet was reporting a possible "non-legal presidential swearing in" because of the screw up with the verbage due to a lack of complete clear memory on JP's part.

That is a clear sign to me he is aware of his constituents concerns and will continue to be. But, I could be wrong it will be one of those time will tell issues.

I am optimistic and look forward to what is in our country's future. ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/115096-seven-ways-to-play-both-oil-scenarios?source=feed#comment-359290 359290 Sun, 18 Jan 2009 17:36:39 -0500 http://seekingalpha.com/article/114684-allied-irish-too-good-to-be-true?source=feed#comment-359281 359281 Sun, 18 Jan 2009 17:11:11 -0500 http://seekingalpha.com/article/114913-ten-top-value-traps-with-unreasonably-high-dividends?source=feed#comment-359271 359271
It was a little over $1.30 per share. The verdict came back that they were going to cut back to $.83. That is about a 36% drop in dividend. Where their percentage drop originated is some ritious computations but still $.83 (right now) is not too shabby. I have some under $10's that have that same or a bit more payout too. Doing my homework is paying me well.

I have a tight stop at $30.25 on NAT. With the price of oil so volatile that crude sitting offshore in NAT vessels has the potential to offset any future adjustments. I may not see that $30 stop for a week or so. Not worried with the stop in place unless it freefalls and the stop cannot keep up with the falling knife. Do not see that happening.

We all know that when any stock pays out the dividend, the price drops commiserate the yield that very day to offset the pay out. NAT will likely drop for that. It becomes- another trigger point to grab some more- a stock to capture or at least keep a close watch on.


]]> Sun, 18 Jan 2009 16:53:34 -0500
It was a little over $1.30 per share. The verdict came back that they were going to cut back to $.83. That is about a 36% drop in dividend. Where their percentage drop originated is some ritious computations but still $.83 (right now) is not too shabby. I have some under $10's that have that same or a bit more payout too. Doing my homework is paying me well.

I have a tight stop at $30.25 on NAT. With the price of oil so volatile that crude sitting offshore in NAT vessels has the potential to offset any future adjustments. I may not see that $30 stop for a week or so. Not worried with the stop in place unless it freefalls and the stop cannot keep up with the falling knife. Do not see that happening.

We all know that when any stock pays out the dividend, the price drops commiserate the yield that very day to offset the pay out. NAT will likely drop for that. It becomes- another trigger point to grab some more- a stock to capture or at least keep a close watch on.


]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/115169-cramer-s-mad-money-strategies-for-staying-in-the-game-1-16-09?source=feed#comment-358758 358758
VZ did me good and then started loosing ground. Pulled the trigger and will snag it lower with higher yield. hated it but that is life. ]]> Sun, 18 Jan 2009 02:01:06 -0500
VZ did me good and then started loosing ground. Pulled the trigger and will snag it lower with higher yield. hated it but that is life. ]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/77786-diving-into-the-water-etf?source=feed#comment-345079 345079 thanks Mac for the help]]> Sat, 03 Jan 2009 23:56:11 -0500 thanks Mac for the help]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/109814-is-it-time-to-buy-what-history-shows?source=feed#comment-325757 325757 the L is coming. We have been in the fasaud of a bull downturn bear upturn.. now then, I said it -hated to but it neccessated circumstances. For sure, we are in a recession how long is still uncertain.

Anybody here willing to challenge my thesis on it feel free but remember when you go in and things don't happen like you figured; in other words you lose more.. you have just you to blame.. you cannot even listen to pundents as they chart watch and listen to mgrs who guess...at best. I love the addage.. I can miss the first 20, ride the next 60 and be vigilant on the last 20.

Bottom line.. hold off things are so cheap yet you will be fine.. I am hoping I can practice what I preach as these stocks do tempt me.]]> Wed, 10 Dec 2008 14:34:28 -0500 the L is coming. We have been in the fasaud of a bull downturn bear upturn.. now then, I said it -hated to but it neccessated circumstances. For sure, we are in a recession how long is still uncertain.

Anybody here willing to challenge my thesis on it feel free but remember when you go in and things don't happen like you figured; in other words you lose more.. you have just you to blame.. you cannot even listen to pundents as they chart watch and listen to mgrs who guess...at best. I love the addage.. I can miss the first 20, ride the next 60 and be vigilant on the last 20.

Bottom line.. hold off things are so cheap yet you will be fine.. I am hoping I can practice what I preach as these stocks do tempt me.]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/109532-eight-stocks-that-benefit-from-low-oil-prices?source=feed#comment-324083 324083 Mon, 08 Dec 2008 15:41:21 -0500