The SPX PE is now 63 based on the latest Standard and Poors GAAP earnings, and earning are not improving looking forward. Major bear market lows have always been made at a PE under 10.
Global Stock Markets: Highs, Lows and What to Expect in 2009
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It's pretty clear the pros aren't buying. They are selling to the usual victims with the help of the Wall Street media.
The November low was a panic low and not a capitulation low. Capitualtion is when no one wants stocks, period. With the latest EPS forecast for SP500 earnings now at $42, and a Bear market bottom of a PE=8 (based on the last 4 big recession bottoms), the SP500 could/should see 42 x 8 = $332 in 2009. Perhaps we will see capitulation then.
Irate Icahn - Fast Money Recap (9/19/08) [View article]
Using more debt to cover other debt is a fool's game. Congress is debt addicted and in need of rehab. Let the lenders fail as other businesses have failed when risks don't pan out. Newer, better banks will emerge if the corrupt ones are allowed to fail.
This Market's Rising Tide Isn't Lifting All Boats [View article]
i39.tinypic.com/2gxeha...
The SPX PE is now 63 based on the latest Standard and Poors GAAP earnings, and earning are not improving looking forward.
Major bear market lows have always been made at a PE under 10.
Here's another clue, long term INDU:
i43.tinypic.com/34px9j...
It's all rather obvious.
Say goodnight Gracie, show's over.
Pullback Time? There's No Better Predictor than Credit Spreads [View article]
Global Stock Markets: Highs, Lows and What to Expect in 2009 [View article]
The November low was a panic low and not a capitulation low. Capitualtion is when no one wants stocks, period. With the latest EPS forecast for SP500 earnings now at $42, and a Bear market bottom of a PE=8 (based on the last 4 big recession bottoms), the SP500 could/should see 42 x 8 = $332 in 2009. Perhaps we will see capitulation then.
Irate Icahn - Fast Money Recap (9/19/08) [View article]