I'd much rather just sit on the sidelines and watch this situation play itself out for a while. Jumping in and committing a significant amount of capital, with all of the uncertainty howling through the markets, seems like a total gamble at this stage.
If I see one more person on TV breathlessly calling a bottom, I'm going to scream. How can anyone possibly predict a bottom with something new exploding on an almost daily basis?
A great deal of the consumer spending over the past number of years was derived from people extracting the equity from their rapidly-increasing real estate investments. Even if the housing market "stabilizes", where is that spending going to come from? The labor market may strengthen, but many people are still going to be upside-down in their homes for years to come and reluctant to spend.
In my opinion, this is a situation that is going to take many years to play itself out.
Six Situations to Monitor for the Remainder of 2008 [View article]
The winner of the presidential election will certainly have a raft of economic problems to deal with. The average American has no idea how bad things are underneath the surface, but you certainly aren't going to win this election by turning over those rocks..
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I'd much rather just sit on the sidelines and watch this situation play itself out for a while. Jumping in and committing a significant amount of capital, with all of the uncertainty howling through the markets, seems like a total gamble at this stage.
When Can We Start Breathing Again? [View article]
Expect the Real Rally by Mid-2009 [View article]
A great deal of the consumer spending over the past number of years was derived from people extracting the equity from their rapidly-increasing real estate investments. Even if the housing market "stabilizes", where is that spending going to come from? The labor market may strengthen, but many people are still going to be upside-down in their homes for years to come and reluctant to spend.
In my opinion, this is a situation that is going to take many years to play itself out.
Six Situations to Monitor for the Remainder of 2008 [View article]