A Depression and Recovery in Internet Time
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Emm ... because communism failed in the early '90's, and Asia and the former Soviet bloc are now market economies, the world somehow has no choice but to support the US and the US dollar? I've got news for you - free market capitalism was not an American invention, and can survive without the US as the centre of the global economy.
The genuine recovery that we will see will be based on a rebalancing of global demand away from the over-indebted US consumer and the emergence of China and India as the new super-powers
Yes, a good article, and containing much I can agree with - but, fundamentally wrong, I think, for the next few months. I believe that we will see sustained US dollar strength for a while, at least against the euro and sterling, because, while the Fed cannot raise rates, the ECB and MPC will shortly be forced to lower them. I agree that the US economy is a basket-case, but, as such, it is further along the road than other economies, which will now feel the impact of declining export orders (as domestic recession causes the US trade deficit to shrink). Oh, and if you want to see an economy that is a REAL basket-case, take a look at the U.K., which has no industry left other than selling houses to one another (I should know, I live there).
A Depression and Recovery in Internet Time [View article]
The genuine recovery that we will see will be based on a rebalancing of global demand away from the over-indebted US consumer and the emergence of China and India as the new super-powers
Return of Weimar Monetary Policies? [View article]
At the risk of being highly unoriginal, the answer has to be ... GOLD
Sell the U.S. Dollar into Strength [View article]