Scott Grannis was Chief Economist from 1989 to 2007 at Western Asset Management Company, a Pasadena-based manager of fixed-income funds for institutional investors around the globe. He was a member of Western's Investment Strategy Committee, was responsible for developing the firm's domestic and international outlook, and provided consultation and advice on investment and asset allocation strategies to CFOs, Treasurers, and pension fund managers. He specialized in analysis of Federal Reserve policy and interest rate forecasting, and spearheaded the firm's research into Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). Prior to joining Western Asset, he was Senior Economist at the Claremont Economics Institute, an economic forecasting and consulting service headed by John Rutledge, from 1980 to 1986. From 1986 to 1989, he was Principal at Leland O'Brien Rubinstein Associates, a financial services firm that specialized in sophisticated hedging strategies for institutional investors.
Visit his blog: Calafia Beach Pundit (http://scottgrannis.blogspot.com/)
Price Headley was inducted into the Traders' Hall of Fame in 2007 and is the founder of BigTrends.com, which provides investors with specific real-time stock and options strategies and investment education to profit from significant market trends. Price appears regularly on CNBC, Fox News, and in a variety of major financial news outlets. Timer Digest recognized the success of BigTrends.com's investment strategies by ranking Price among the Top 10 Market Timers for stock market timing.
Spent about 12 years as both a buy and sell side Quant analyst. Although I'm told the majority of algo trading is trend following, I'm a mean reversionist/contrarian by nature and you will see that in my opinions. Those opinions, of course, are entirely my own.
Spent much of my spare time in the last few years taking apart all things VIX related.
CTO, FLHP Trading Systems, LLC
Aerospace and Computational Engineer with 28 years experience in Engineering and Scientific Modeling and Programming including large scale vector and parallel processing. Work includes Finite Element Modeling in Structural Analysis, Magnetic Modeling, and Fluid Dynamics codes primarily for the Aerospace community. 30+ years of stock market and mutual fund investing, 8+ years of ETF and options trading.
I am a 15 year veteran of the buy-side, with over a decade of experience in Investment Management, at one time overseeing several billion dollars in hedge fund assets for institutional clients. Currently, I advise wealthy families on their investment portfolios as well as trade my own money.
Articles on Seeking Alpha are meant to be a snapshot of my views, but do not necessarily always reflect my portfolio. I also try to write on controversial and contrarian topics.
All money received from Seeking Alpha activities is currently being donated to various charities, including the World Food Program and UNICEF.
I had the pleasure of working with Goldman Sachs in the early 90s. I have seen markets skyrocket and bubbles bust. I was CFO for a large family owned conglomerate for 12 years in which I actively invested the companies account as one of my many duties. I then bought into a failing bank in middle Georgia and was able to clean it up and sale it to a Michigan based bank holding company. I then retired and became a private investor. My training came from Robert Mitchell and many others. However, because of seeing so much wealth destroyed during times of wild speculation, I became more focused on value investing with a focus on companies that used the debt capital wisely. I have been train in technical and fundamental analysis and use both. Fundamental analysis to find opportunities and technical analysis to find entry and exit points. I do not subscribe to hyperbole in either a positive or negative manner. When investment advise is given, one has a fiduciary obligation to those that hear or read it. Today investor seem to be much younger and have not had to deal with rising rates or bear markets. I have lived through and invested during both.
Solely focused on volatility trading (ETF, futures, options).
There's no greater edge in the market in my opinion than deep inside volatlity trading.
Purchased my first stock at 12 years old, later majored in Finance.
Worked at Microsoft as Program Manager, Tester and Developer where I learned a lot about tech and programming.
Extensive experience in developing automated trading systems to confirm/reject market edges.
I was born in Spain and lived in France, Chile, USA and Belgium. Currently I am trying to settle down in Brazil. I am "retired", even though now I dedicate more hours "working" for my investments than I ever worked in the real labor market where I used to work in IT and Banking. I am a family man, I have a lovely wife, Bieke and four male sons. I have humble tastes, I like to stay home and read about companies and investments and build my new house. I started investing at 25 before the internet bubble exploded. I did not know much about investing and liked technical analysis so my results were pretty bad. Fortunately I did not have much to lose. Some years later in 2006 bored of doing only real state investments and with quite a lot of money saved I opened an account in a cheap and excellent online broker and started again. This time I did not want to commit the same mistake, so I decided to follow a model. I heard that Warren Buffett was the best at making money via stocks so I started by reading a lot about him, all of his shareholders letters and several of the books that he recommended. I learned a lot, started applying his investing principles and reading a lot of 10K's from lots of different sources of information. I basically started buying very good and cheap companies and holding them for ever if possible and if nothing changed fundamentally. When the housing crisis started I was more than 75% cash. At that time I identified good companies at incredibly cheap prices so I invested 100% in stocks instead of only 25%. In less than I year I doubled. By the second semester of 2009 I turned my software company into an investment vehicle and dedicated myself full time to it. My wife and I decided to change our lifestyle and moved from Belgium to the beach in Brazil, north east coast (see pictures here www.kuchita.com). The goal was to keep fixed costs low in order to be able to live with a minimum 6-8% yearly return but specially to move away from the inhuman life of civilisation and to have finally some peace and sunny weather to concentrate better on investing. Now I can think and study about companies as long as I want and I am doing great. I can finally do what I want full time and can proudly say that I have never been so happy, with my great kids and my sweet wife who supports me fully. Currently I pass most of my time building my house while I monitor my investments and prepare for the moment to make the next swing. You can see my portfolio at http://www.kuchita.com/view/sumo.php or follow my investments and their rationale on my blog http://investing.kuchita.com
Best wishes !
Home-grown, self-taught, self-directed trader & investor. I run a boutique advertising & marketing firm as well as a live entertainment production co. from which proceeds are strategically gifted to laudable charities for the purpose of providing bridge funding wherever we deem appropriate & useful. A history buff - particularly the War of the Rebellion (Civil War) era - my trading approach is rooted in technical analysis with an emphasis on contrarian views. I have no formal training or education in the realm of finance or economics though I am an avid/ voracious reader. This, coupled with active experience in trading options (specifically), has helped me cultivate a calm, winning attitude and a cautious, somewhat conservative approach to trading.
I am intrigued by weird stuff like Stephen Aniston's "vixcontango.com" oscillator as well as other more compelling and interesting approaches to technical analysis. But mostly, I'm about as boring a trader as you'll find being quite content making consistent profits in the 20-27% range on a consistent, persistent, monthly basis. My favorite strategies to employ are vertical spreads & iron condors. I enjoy realizing premium(s) above all else but do, on occasion, appreciate the rush of a ridiculously reckless, emotion-based trade when VIX is "right" and things go my way! I am perpetually LONG SVXY & XIV. Meantime, I'm just trying to be the man our cats think I am. Happy trading...
Individual investor since 2000. I have a natural tendency to question what others take for granted. That's not always a good life skill but it's helped me from time to time in the market.
My degree is in Mechanical Engineering. I also have a background in biochemistry and (oddly enough) in classical Greek literature. My main professional interests are in software, math, and engineering analysis. I've worked in the automotive field, robotics, computer vision and machine learning, and have developed cheminformatics techniques for biotech.
Investment-wise, I tend to be opportunistic rather than systematic. I have a particular interest in volatility trading and in the intersection of technology with societal change.
I've been investing for nearly 30 years. I've lost a lot of money. I've made a lot of money. The school of hard knocks is rough sometimes, but you never forget the lessons. These days, I trade mostly volatility and momentum strategies.
Being an early pensioner at 46 and travelling in developing countries for possibly the rest of my life I'm looking for a source of income that keeps me going for as long as I favour. Since my starting capital is healthy but not enormous I can only keep doing so if my annual income is big enough right from the start, remains healthy and predictable for the unforeseen future through all kinds of economic climates, and beats the average inflation rate in developing countries; the biggest countries where I'm likely to spend most of my time being the most influential in my calculations.
In my previous life I've been quite successful with options trading but surprisingly much less so with stock picking or even ETF picking. But since market timing and trading are not the kind of thing I want to do for the rest of my life (if possible at all when travelling) I had to look for an alternative. After 2 years of possibly reading thousands of articles about asset allocation and portfolio building I fell in love with the utter simplicity, diversity and results of Harry Browne's 1989 version of the Permanent Portfolio (not the mutual fund, ETF or Craig Rowland versions though) and I learned a lot about bonds, commodities, rebalancing, the power of doing nothing and most important of all: the fact that we absolutely have no clue what will happen and make or break markets in the remote or even near future. However, I had to come to the conclusion that the impressive results (9% per year over a 43 year time span with only 4 down years, a maximum draw of an incredible 4% in 1981 and extremely low volatility) probably wouldn't beat developing world inflation rates in the long run, meaning that I would have to touch principle. Since I have no idea whether I will die tomorrow, at 50, 75 or 100 that doesn't seem to be a clever plan as I would very likely run out of money before I run out of vital breath.
I tried modifying the Permanent Portfolio in various ways to spice up results, the most interesting being changing allocation shares, no rebalancing, replacing a US market fund by individual dividend growth stocks so adding dividends to capital appreciation, replacing individual US long term treasury bonds by individual long term investment grade sovereign emerging market bonds denominated in local currencies, adding other commodities to gold for seasonal trading, and replacing cash by emerging market CDs, again denominated in local currencies to make use of changing exchange rates. But then after some unexpected moves on more than one of these fronts I started thinking how predictable this all would become in the future and whether I really needed these risks. The answer was a firm No. But the exercise had been great.
After discovering SeekingAlpha and getting more and more interested in dividend growth stocks and hedging risks I started thinking about the best way to increase income through dividends for an unusual big part of my portfolio and hedge the income risks very aggressively with just a tiny part of the portfolio. Right now I'm in the phase of identifying the best dividend growth stocks for a kind of Buy & Die portfolio (buying stocks without any intention to sell unless there's an extreme situation, and just harvesting dividends to support my life style). And besides that I'm trying to learn as much as possible about hedging risks, costs and rewards while rethinking the value of the Permanent Portfolio on my life style as buying only once, an annual rebalance action lasting less than an hour and never ever reading about individual companies, ETFs, sectors, markets or even the whole economy for the rest of my life is extremely enticing as well.
The second path I'm following is extremely different although again inspired by the Permanent Portfolio but also by momentum strategies, leverage, asset allocation and hedging outside the momentum portfolio. I want my momentum portfolio ideally to be ever lasting as not to end up rethinking my strategy after every single market dip. Now that I've designed such a portfolio including hedges, et cetera, I invest every month in the 3 best ETFs over a 3 month period that are on my list. So far, so good and if I ever find the time to write and share about the selection process of building a multi asset momentum portfolio layer by layer I would love to do so.
And with that I'm at the biggest mistake I made since deciding to start travelling: I thought time was all I had. Well, that may be true but somehow it's incredibly hard to find!
Academic background in accounting; MBA/CPA/JD. Headed a corporate pension fund; served as CFO for insurance company; established title/transactional firm; served as REIT CEO; former professor; served on profit and non-profit boards; currently share management responsibilities for hedge fund; compete in professional golf tournaments. Writing background includes various briefs in federal courts, including US Supreme Court. Currently trying to finish a science fiction novel. Trading experience focused on options and portfolio enhancement. Plans to retire from hedge fund as of December 31st. Future activities will include pro bono assistance to individuals and groups in need of retirement guidance. Looks forward to more time for writing and travel.
Cameron Graham is the Managing Editor at TechnologyAdvice, a B2B strategy and marketing firm.
He oversees original research on business technology, including business intelligence software, cloud computing, healthcare IT, and other emerging industries.
In addition, he is a contributor to Wired, and his work has been cited by publications such as the Politico, Forbes, and CIO.com.
He holds a BA in Political Science and English from Sewanee: The University of the South.