International Energy Association: Forced to Eat Their Optimistic Data on Future Oil Supply? [View article]
That is only true for fields *past* their peak, and it is 5.1%, not 6%: www.worldenergyoutlook... ^ Page 2: "Based on data for 580 of the world's largest fields that have passed their production peak, the observed decline rate - averaged across all fields and weighted by their production over their whole lives - is 5.1%"
Not all fields are past their production peak.
On Nov 11 04:25 PM William Davison wrote:
> If current field depletion is 6% a year as the IEA has forecast and > current conventional crude production is about 72mbd, then your 18.3mbd > new supply is wiped out in 5 years and your 25mbd in 7 years. <br/> > > On Nov 11 01:37 PM OilFinder wrote:
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That is only true for fields *past* their peak, and it is 5.1%, not 6%:
Nov 11 17:12 pm
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All Comments by OilFinder »International Energy Association: Forced to Eat Their Optimistic Data on Future Oil Supply? [View article]
www.worldenergyoutlook...
^
Page 2:
"Based on data for 580 of the world's largest fields that have passed their production peak, the observed decline rate - averaged across all fields and weighted by their production over their whole lives - is 5.1%"
Not all fields are past their production peak.
On Nov 11 04:25 PM William Davison wrote:
> If current field depletion is 6% a year as the IEA has forecast and
> current conventional crude production is about 72mbd, then your 18.3mbd
> new supply is wiped out in 5 years and your 25mbd in 7 years. <br/>
>
> On Nov 11 01:37 PM OilFinder wrote: