1st - US gov't has never liked domestic energy companies as THE policy is to be the last country on the planet with the stuff, 2nd - the hedging strategy is working but if the market went the other way I'm not sure Anadarko would allocate E&P capital to support hedging.. 3rd - mean reversion doesn't consider new pricing regimes, doesn't like leverage and can outlast any patience you allocate to a trade....
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It all comes down to opening up the borders.. immigrants are the "yeast" to the US picture - they will buy the foreclosed homes, increase the birth rate, create a new tax base and feed the social security..
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No doubt you touched the relevant points and now the question is timing. My thoughts are the inflationary pressures on the USD are being hedged by capitalistic-expectati... tendencies.. the more gov't is involved in US business, the less capitalistic it feels and the less hedge there is against inflationary pressures.
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