OilyGasMiner

Friday Market Preview: Was Dow 8,000 the Bottom?

The "bottom" ? we will never truly know the bottom until we begin to rebound to higher levels, and create solid floors to land on.

This is glued together by the confidence of investors and consumers alike.

Perhaps once the president elect begins to instigate his policies we might see a more permanent turnaround.

Until then I believe we will continue to see pops and drops, we are too emotional at this point in time.

80 Years' History of Brutal Gold Stock Corrections: How Does Today Compare?

Boris,

Good history lesson. I think this is supplemental information used by many value investors during times similar to our current economy. The reason for the drastic recovery percentages..is due to the fact that fundamentals hold true, and the market always realizes the proper valuation over the course of time.

Have confidence, and invest patiently.

Is It Time to Bottom Fish?

Dr. Enzio,

It seems as if the good will continue to suffer for the bad. Ie shareholders for the fat cats.
But what can we do?

We've given them our tax money, with no guidelines for spending. Look at AIG and their squandering.

Warren Buffett has jumped in the market. Is this a good sign for us?

Or is Mr. Buffett so long term, that even if we drop 50% lower it dosen't concern hm?

If we don't go by P/E. What would be a better method to better value stocks to bottom fish?

Three Reasons the Stock Market Rally Won't Last

Andrew,
Are you familiar with the term "dead cat bounce": A quick, moderate rise in the price of a stock following a precipitous decline.

I believe this is exactly what we will see. If not stocks, real estate, and land, where will be see the shift in wealth? Many have indicated that corn, wheat and soy will become our commodities of choice for owning. Perhaps in partnerships with friends?

I personally see the future in precious metals. GOLD. Merill recently announced that they see gold going to $1500 within the next 2 years. That says alot.

Survival of the Longest

Thomas good observation on the circuity breaker "work around". The question is: is there a difference between dropping 20% in one day opposed to over a week? In the short term? long term?

I do think you are on the right track with the recessionary forecast. However what has me up at night, is trying to assess given market factors, HOW LONG it will last? will be see a "U" shape recovery? "V" shaped recovery?orrrrrrrrrr an "L" and simply flat line for a while.

Anyone?

The Big Spending Fade Rolls On

Lets face it, we've been in a recession for sometime, however the government has been trying to elude us from the truth/ The fact is the numbers are coming in slowly to justify the reaction of investors and the overall market. It is just evidence to support the nation's hypothesis.
Mr. g the Us inflation figures are extremely skewed to a particular direction by means of its sheer calculation. We WILL see prices rise. Don't igore the supply side of the equation. With an increase in money supply, and decrease in interest rates.. comes an increase in inflation.. and potentially HYPERinflation.

The U.S. Economy After the Bailout

Our economy is truly in a state of depression and the various factors that you've listed really hit home. The question is: Is it too late to make amends? We are so deep in a hole that we might be treading water in one place for some years to come. But it seems as if every time we take one step forward we take 5 steps backward from the endzone. With the new SEC guidance passed within hours of the failed bailout attempt, bankers can now modify their valuation on various assets in their books. But what will that do??? Ill tell you what, more magic tricks and cover ups of the actual numbers.

"Accounting rules and their application can change balance sheet and income statement ‘cosmetics’, but they do not change the ultimate valuation fundamental which is ‘how much cash does a company have in its coffers to operate its business day to day, and will its prospective cash flow sustain the business and result in appropriate after-tax free cash flow returns on invested capital’."
www.stockresearchporta.../

The Economy Won't Be Ignored

sorry here's the link to my SEC source www.stockresearchporta.../

The Economy Won't Be Ignored

John
The yields are a product of investors emotions, and level of confidence in their economy. Though I believe these figures are frequently tampered with by the FED. What I am now concerned with is since the failure of the bailout “attempt” there has been modifications made to Guidance. Yesterday the modified the ‘mark-to-market’ rules for the financial industry. With this new bill passing this will allow banks to “subjectively” modify various financial figure which will skew earnings while being inconsistent with true cashflows. And YES the economy is weak, and investors will continue to overreact on every major PR released. Why? With the SEC modifying our fundamental valuation methods, we are now in the dark and no one will truly no what the ACTUAL value is of the various financial statements. What are we to do? Source<br>