Emerging Markets Now Trading At Premium To Developed [View article]
How good is EEM as a proxy for emerging markets? How is the average representative of all the countries?
Two extreme points to consider: One Brazil proxy (EWZ) trades at about PE=13 One China proxy (FXI) tardes above PE=21
So the disparities seem very large. China with its large average market-cap pulls the averages way up. It seems like some emerging countries are reasonably values while others are in bubble territory.
By the way, some countries classified as Emerging, like Korea and Taiwan are very close to being considered "developed" at this point.
Emerging Market ETF Has Seen Better Times [View article]
These kind of predictions rarely pan out. Globalization did not exist in 1988. Brazil and other emerging economies were big debtor nations, now many are running surpluses. China's growth and growing middle-income class is driving significant growth in raw material exporting countries.
The big drop was an overreaction to Chavez Venezuela's nationalization plans.
My prediction: EEM will break new highs this year, several times.
Risk Management in Trending Markets [View article]
One correction though: DBA is agricultural commodities, MOO is Agricultural stocks, not the other way round.
Emerging Markets Now Trading At Premium To Developed [View article]
How is the average representative of all the countries?
Two extreme points to consider:
One Brazil proxy (EWZ) trades at about PE=13
One China proxy (FXI) tardes above PE=21
So the disparities seem very large. China with its large average market-cap pulls the averages way up.
It seems like some emerging countries are reasonably values while others are in bubble territory.
By the way, some countries classified as Emerging, like Korea and Taiwan are very close to being considered "developed" at this point.
Portfolio Building With Forward Looking Asset Allocation [View article]
Bernstein (both books, not just the first) is a must read.
Emerging Market ETF Has Seen Better Times [View article]
The big drop was an overreaction to Chavez Venezuela's nationalization plans.
My prediction: EEM will break new highs this year, several times.