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  • Time to Venture Out of the Cave? [View article]
    Tom, my own view, for what it's worth, is that I don't believe in doom and gloom, but the stock market simply has to return to long-term trends.

    Based on a dumb look at long-term charts, S&P500 would be at about 750 to return to trend. Based on a P/E of 14 with an E of 45, you get 630. Other metrics suggest similar results, i.e. that without doom & gloom, the market is way ahead of itself at this point.

    As to the smart money, those with a good memory will remember that some of "the smartest guys on the planet" advised us to buy Intel at $80, CMGI at $150, not to mention Boston Chicken!
    Jan 07 09:42 am |Rating: +3 -1
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