InvestorDashboards

Reaching for the Bottom in the Markets

This looks a lot more like 1962 to 1983, flat for 20+ years. 1943 to 1962 was a nice bull run, just like 1983 to 1999. Flat means that a buy-n-hold position ends up with zero capital gains. But during those 20 years, there were many up 100% then down 50% swings. We seem to be experiencing periods of about 7-8 years now (period = time from a high to the next high) versus the 3-4 year periods of the '62-'83 timeframe.

Given those beliefs, we will be due for a nice bull run again starting in 2037.

How Low the S&P 500 Could Go

Did the same analysis this morning. For the next 30 years, DJIA oscillates between 7000 and 15000 in periods of about 7 to 8 years. Similar to period 1952 to 1983. Pre 1952 was nice bull run. 1983 - 1998 was nice bull run. Post 2038 should be a nice bull run.