ECRI: Economy Falling at Fastest Pace in 60 Years [View article]
The data reflects conditions in late October and very early November prior to the elections. The shock of the stock market collapse and the unknown election results caused temporary a panic in the public's mind. In my view this decline is not sustainable for a long period of time. The election is decided, the stock market has shown some evidence of a bottoming process, the Federal reserve has backstopped the credit markets and the political powers are no longer in denial about the seriousness of the problem. It will take a little time but people will calm down and resume a more normal behavior pattern quite soon. This is not to say the recession will end soon but the rate of descent has likely already slowed markedly.
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The data reflects conditions in late October and very early November prior to the elections. The shock of the stock market collapse and the unknown election results caused temporary a panic in the public's mind. In my view this decline is not sustainable for a long period of time. The election is decided, the stock market has shown some evidence of a bottoming process, the Federal reserve has backstopped the credit markets and the political powers are no longer in denial about the seriousness of the problem. It will take a little time but people will calm down and resume a more normal behavior pattern quite soon. This is not to say the recession will end soon but the rate of descent has likely already slowed markedly.
Nov 16 09:40 am
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