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  • Hyperion's Drug Ravicti Likely To Receive FDA Approval [View article]
    Insider buying is pretty extreme, but seriously, like the others, I don't really get it...
    Jan 16, 2013. 10:45 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 11 Reasons Why Apple Could Fall in 2011 [View article]
    Good analysis. I really think apple is near a critical long term top as a company and as a stock. It is way over valued and investors are extremely bullish based on the past. Bloomberg radio guys were talking about Apple this week, about record earnings and dominance, they were also extremely bullish. Apple definitely has been dominant, others have had to play catch up, but the tide is about to turn. Android is going to eat Apple for lunch, it is the pc/mac war all over again, and Apple is using an identical strategy now that they did then – they started strong and asked for premium prices for their premium closed proprietary product, then they got trounced by Microsoft/Intel, this time they will get trounced by Google. The reason is that they have made development annoyingly difficult and proprietary (can only compile code on a mac, which shuts out 97% of developers). Android is open source and developer friendly, cross platform. I’ve been researching this lately because I’ve been asked to develop iphone apps, I have to borrow a mac to do this. I’ve found developers like android much better. I know someone that just bought an ipad for Christmas and they told me they are disappointed, they could have bought a netbook for half the price that does 10 times as much and has a real keyboard. I bought an apple ipod touch, which I like a lot, but if I could get the equivalent on android for less money, I would. Any company can use the android platform, and everyone is jumping on it (for example that Barnes and Noble Nook is running on android, it has also been hacked to open it up so that it can do a lot more including getting to the google app store or accessing tens of thousands of free books using various android apps). Lot of great android based products will hit the market next year that will cost less than apple products and do much more. It really is a repeat of the PC wars and it is very obvious what is going to happen. Apple will report record 4th quarter earnings amid massive hype, and probably a stock surge, and that will probably be the last hurrah.
    Jan 4, 2011. 09:57 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • 11 Reasons Why Apple Could Fall in 2011 [View article]
    Well written article. I really think apple is near a critical long term top as a company and as a stock. It is way over valued and investors are extremely bullish based on the past. Bloomberg radio guys were talking about Apple this week, about record earnings and dominance, they were also extremely bullish. Apple definitely has been dominant, others have had to play catch up, but the tide is about to turn. Android is going to eat Apple for lunch, it is the pc/mac war all over again, and Apple is using an identical strategy now that they did then – they started strong and asked for premium prices for their premium closed proprietary product, then they got trounced by Microsoft/Intel, this time they will get trounced by Google. The reason is that they have made development annoyingly difficult and proprietary (can only compile code on a mac, which shuts out 97% of developers). Android is open source and developer friendly, cross platform. I’ve been researching this lately because I’ve been asked to develop iphone apps, I have to borrow a mac to do this. I’ve found developers like android much better. I know someone that just bought an ipad for Christmas and they told me they are disappointed, they could have bought a netbook for half the price that does 10 times as much and has a real keyboard. I bought an apple ipod touch, which I like a lot, but if I could get the equivalent on android for less money, I would. Any company can use the android platform, and everyone is jumping on it (for example that Barnes and Noble Nook is running on android, it has also been hacked to open it up so that it can do a lot more including getting to the google app store or accessing tens of thousands of free books using various android apps). Lot of great android based products will hit the market next year that will cost less than apple products and do much more. It really is a repeat of the PC wars and it is very obvious what is going to happen. Apple will report record 4th quarter earnings amid massive hype, and probably a stock surge, and that will probably be the last hurrah.
    Jan 4, 2011. 09:55 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Warning to BP: Stop the Relief Wells Or Expect a Much Bigger Catastrophe! [View instapost]
    Anyone know what pressure the new cap is capable of measuring and/or holding? One burning question I have is related to this article. If there is risk to the bottom kill attempt, AND the new cap is capable of containing 100% of the flow, why not just capture the entire flow even if it takes years, instead of attempting the bottom kill? Assuming they could capture everything, it would be a big win for everyone, BP could use the proceeds of the captured oil to pay for cleanup and claims.
    Jul 13, 2010. 12:07 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Frontier Communications Down on Heavy Volume Post Spin-Off [View article]
    It is certainly understandable why VZ shareholders are selling their FTR shares, most investors don't want to own a shrinking or dying industry. But the cashflow is quite good for FTR and the 10% dividend should remain safe for at least a few years, so that's going to tempt value investors. However when you consider the large debt, and union labor, and future costs (pensions, etc.) the long term outlook is very uncertain at best.
    Jul 8, 2010. 08:55 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Will Gold Perform During Deflation? [View article]
    A historic moment in the price of gold happened today when the price of gold hit that magical 1000 dollars an ounce.
    For gold bugs this was champagne time (paid for with gold of course) and a celebration of that which they have known for years.
    This does not say much for the dollar but it says an awful lot for the price of gold.
    This is a highest ever.
    Various factors have influenced the dramatic rise of gold, most notably the ever weakening paper dollar.
    Those that say buy gold and own gold are now running around saying, "I told you so!", "I told you so!" and they are right.
    Predictions from gold experts are now that gold is likely to reach an incredible 2000 dollars an ounce this year.
    --GoldPrice.org, March 13, 2008.
    [Postscript: gold rallied further to $1033 per ounce on March 17, 2008, and then plummeted to $679 per ounce on October 24, 2008.]
    Jun 18, 2010. 04:51 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • How Will Gold Perform During Deflation? [View article]
    Don't be lazy. Look it up yourself. Gold over the last 100 years returned about 4.18% annualized, the DOW has returned 9.87% annualized (5% appreciation and 4.87% dividends). When you compound that over 100 years, the difference is ENORMOUS.
    Jun 17, 2010. 11:24 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Will Gold Perform During Deflation? [View article]
    "Why not look at the stats for gold over the past 100 years? Afraid the news will get out?"

    The DOW has beaten the snot out of gold over the past 100 years, it isn't even close.
    Jun 17, 2010. 04:44 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Will Gold Perform During Deflation? [View article]
    "Gold and silver have been and always will be a safe store house of wealth."

    Except when they go into multi-decade bear markets and lose nearly all their value?
    Jun 17, 2010. 02:26 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Will Gold Perform During Deflation? [View article]
    Gold doesn't always do well in inflationary periods either by the way! It does well in ANTICIPATION of a future inflationary period. Its possible that massive run-up from the 200's to the 1200's has factored in this future inflation already. From 1982 to 2000 gold lost most of its value, an 18 year bear market despite the fact that we had inflation every single year during that period, and pretty massive cumulative inflation over that full time frame.

    Fundamentally gold is not much different than dollars – you print dollars, you mine gold, both are eternally depreciating as supply increases, and both are only worth what the general consensus thinks they should be worth, which can be totally arbitrary and fickle, but at least you can do something with dollars to earn interest which is more than can be said for gold.
    Jun 17, 2010. 12:27 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Governor Christie Declares 'New Jersey on Edge of Bankruptcy' [View article]
    You don't get it, what was once good (unions) has become a huge scam. Its classic corruption or abuse of the system. Government employees including teachers and all the other millions of government employees, should have the same lousy retirement promises that the rest of us have, its called social security, and its enough to give you basic food and shelter, which is what was intended. Anything above and beyond the basics, you need to work and save for yourself! You talk about violent revolution, what do you think is going to happen when the tax payers revolt?
    Feb 15, 2010. 03:41 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Property Values Set to Fall 43% from Current Depressed Levels [View article]
    Interesting to see so many that don't think real estate prices will go much lower. I'd say the major thing keeping prices stable at all is the low interest rates. As soon as interest rates go up, housing becomes less and less affordable, this will force prices down. I don't know why so many people think that a house that sold for $200,000 in 1999 should be worth $400,000 today just because it sold for $430,000 at the peak. Its still a $200,000 house plus inflation, give or take a few thousand. If you want to know what your house will likely sell for in a few years, look at what prices were in 1999. You can add to that for inflation if you want, but the truth is, nearly all bubbles correct BELOW trend on the downside, so prices will likely be lower than 1999 in real terms.

    I think everyone should read:
    A Cautionary Housing Tale from Japan
    www.bullnotbull.com/ar...
    Nov 5, 2009. 12:44 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Class Action Lawsuit Against ProShares SRS Seems Without Merit [View article]
    While I understand the perspective of this article, and I don't know about the merit of the lawsuit, I certainly understand why it was filed and I think everyone should agree that the risks should be much more clearly stated in the prospectus. Actually I think the products never should have made it to market.

    But ignoring the lawsuit for a minute - I think there is a much more important thing people are overlooking. The fact of the matter is that INVESTORS WANT ETFs identical to those that proshares offer but with a stated goal of LONG TERM TRACKING. Why doesn't some company concentrate on giving investors what they actually want here, instead of focusing on products that virtually NO ONE should ever be trading! Why are they focusing on day traders? Its ridiculous. Who the heck needs to hedge anything FOR ONE DAY? I can't think of anyone, the entire concept is just stupid, the product shouldn't exist. They should be creating products that investors actually want instead of products they can trick investors into buying because they are sort of similar to what they actually want!
    Aug 19, 2009. 10:38 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • How I Hedged My Gas Prices [View article]
    I like your idea of hedging gas prices this way. Although I also think prices are going to come down again before going back up. I'd like to hedge when prices are lower but you never know...
    Jul 2, 2009. 08:49 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How I Hedged My Gas Prices [View article]
    kohalakid - You could just short call options instead and save on commissions. The risk/reward is identical or often slightly better because call options sometimes have slightly higher premiums than the corresponding put.

    On Jun 29 03:08 PM kohalakid wrote:

    > Selling puts against short positions is just about the sexiest thing
    > on earth.
    >
    > I love to watch 'em expire worthless, but sure don't mind when they
    > put 'em to me and cover my short at my number.
    >
    > Guess that means I need to get a life.
    Jul 2, 2009. 08:45 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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