Contributors: Scott Tzu, Parke Shall, Thom Lachenmann
(contributors write under pen names for anonymity purposes)
Please read Seeking Alpha's Policy on Anonymous Contributors to familiarize yourself with the site's terms and conditions relating to anonymous authors.
Tony Sagami has worked in almost every part of the financial services industry, including a stint as a life insurance salesman for Prudential; a stockbroker at
Merrill Lynch, where he built a successful business catering to the needs of conservative, protection-minded clients in his home state of Washington; a portfolio manager at The Donoghue Group; and later in independent market research, analysis, and publishing, eventually becoming one of the most widely read market writers of the last generation.
Tony has written about market topics as varied as investing in Asia, ETF trading, and finding hidden value stocks, as well as how to use short strategies such as put options to protect downside during market slides. Tony leads the new Mauldin Economics’ bear-market oriented research advisory, Rational Bear.
Today, he brings his market analysis and trend trading skills to Mauldin Economics.
Mr. Del Vecchio serves as Co-Portfolio Manager for The Active Bear ETF (HDGE). Mr. Del Vecchio managed short only portfolios for Ranger from October, 2007 through March, 2010. He also serves as principal and founder of Parabolix Research, LLC, a short-only research firm. From 2003-2007, Mr. Del Vecchio served as an Analyst with David W. Tice & Associates / Behind the Numbers, LLC selecting short sale opportunities utilizing forensic accounting research on behalf of institutional clients and the Prudent Bear Fund. In 2002, Mr. Del Vecchio served as a portfolio manager for RedHawk Advisors, LLC with responsibility for managing the short sale allocation of the fund. In 2001, Mr. Del Vecchio served as an Analyst for the Center for Financial Research and Analysis (CFRA) performing forensic accounting analysis for short sale opportunities. Mr. Del Vecchio earned a B.S. in Finance, Summa Cum Laude, from Bryant College, and was awarded Beta Gamma Sigma honors. Mr. Del Vecchio earned the right to use the Chartered Financial Analyst designation in September, 2001.
Former broker, now an independent analyst/writer on Seeking Alpha and founder and editor of the Growth Stock Forum. Focusing on small-cap, mid-cap and biotech stocks. Looking for substantial sales and earnings growth potential and seeking the best risk-adjusted returns from my stock selection. Taking advantage of medium to long-term momentum.
My articles represent my personal opinion and analysis and should not be regarded as investment advice in any way. Readers and subscribers should do their own due diligence and/or consult their financial advisor before making decisions to buy or sell securities. Trading and investing include risks, including loss of principal.
Exclusive research: http://seekingalpha.com/author/oneil-trader/research
Efsinvestment.com website offers simple do-it-yourself type of investment ideas. You can download excel files that can easily calculate the Fair Value of a stock, along with O-Metrix score and Margin of Safety.
Investment philosophy is to first determine the maximum loss, and invest accordingly. Like many value investors, we prefer to invest in stocks with the highest dividend yields, and highest EPS growth potentials. Telecommunication and energy stocks in emerging markets are among the favorites.
Seeking Alpha offers a great opportunity to become a part of a strong finance network. Based on extensive quantitative analysis, in any market, going short is risky. Statistical analysis shows that technical indicators work only if they are strong enough to convince the majority of the investors. Do not buy a stock at the top, do not sell a stock at the dip.
At Valuentum, we think the best opportunities arise from a complete understanding of all investing disciplines in order to identify the most attractive stocks at any given time. Valuentum therefore analyzes each stock across a wide spectrum of philosophies, from deep value through momentum investing. We think companies that are attractive from a number of investment perspectives--whether it be growth, value, momentum, etc.--have the greatest probability of capital appreciation and relative outperformance. The more investors that are interested in the stock for reasons based on their respective investment mandates, the more likely it will move higher.
Brian Nelson is the President of Equity Research at Valuentum Securities, an investment research firm serving individual and institutional investors, as well as financial advisors. Before founding Valuentum, Mr. Nelson worked as a director at Morningstar, where he was responsible for training and methodology development within the firm's equity and credit research department. Prior to that position, he served as a senior industrials securities analyst, covering aerospace, airlines, construction and environmental services companies. Before joining Morningstar in February 2006, Mr. Nelson worked for a small capitalization fund covering a variety of sectors for an aggressive growth investment management firm in Chicago. He holds a Bachelor's degree in finance and a minor in mathematics, magna cum laude, from Benedictine University. Mr. Nelson has an MBA from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation.
Get to Know Brian:
Brian led the charge in developing Morningstar's issuer credit ratings, developing and rolling-out one of the firm's proprietary credit metrics, the Cash Flow Cushion. http://select.morningstar.com/welcome/credit/pdfs/Morningstar_CashFlowCushion.pdf
Brian is frequently quoted in the media and has been a frequent guest on Nightly Business Report, Bloomberg TV, and the Money Show.
Mr. Nelson is very experienced in valuing equities, developing Morningstar's discounted cash-flow model used to derive the fair value estimates for the company's entire equity coverage universe.
Brian worked on a small cap fund and a micro cap fund that were ranked within the top 10th percentile and top 1st percentile within the Small Cap Lipper Growth Universe, respectively, in 2005.
Mr. Nelson is also a contributor to Seeking Alpha and an opinion leader in the Industrial Goods space.
You can reach Brian at email@example.com.
Please read our Disclaimer that applies to all articles published on Seeking Alpha: http://www.valuentum.com/categories/20110613
Follow us on Twitter: @Valuentum
John Thomas graduated with a bachelor’s degree in biochemistry with honors and a minor in mathematics from the University of California at Los Angeles (U.C.L.A.) in 1974. He moved to Tokyo, Japan where he was employed by a medium-sized Japanese securities house. Thomas became fluent in Japanese and was trained as a domestic Japanese research analyst and money manager. In 1977 Thomas became the Tokyo correspondent for The Economist magazine and the Financial Times of London. Thomas traveled extensively throughout Asia, interviewing premiers, presidents and prime ministers, writing on macroeconomic trends, and producing countless features about individual companies. Thomas witnessed China’s cultural revolution and was one of the first American correspondents to enter China prior to the U.S. normalization of relations. Thomas authored several books about the Japanese financial system still in use by business schools today. In 1983 Thomas joined a top US investment bank in New York with the mandate to develop an international equity business for the firm. In 1985 he moved to London, England to establish a presence in Japanese equity derivatives for the firm. In 1989 Thomas was appointed a director of one of the big three Swiss Banks with a mandate to design sophisticated hedging strategies for the bank’s considerable holdings of Japanese equity warrants and convertible bonds. With the invasion of Kuwait by Iraq, Thomas was drafted by the US Marine Corp to serve as a pilot. In 1990 Thomas became a pioneer in the nascent hedge fund industry by founding the first dedicated Japanese hedge fund. The firm managed segregated accounts for a variety of government agencies, banks, and high net worth individuals in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. After a decade of spectacular absolute and relative performance he sold his firm in 1999 and retired to manage his personal investments in the oil and gas industry. Seeing incredible opportunities in the marketplace and yearning for the adrenaline and satisfaction offered by active management, Thomas launched a new hedge fund in 2007. In his free time Thomas is a commercial aircraft pilot, long distance hiker and mountain climber, wine collector and avid photographer.
Our small-cap hedge fund strategy beat the market by 44 percentage points since its inception 18 months ago. Visit our website to learn how you can do the same. Insider Monkey is a finance website that provides free hedge fund and insider trading data. We believe ordinary investors can beat the market by imitating insiders and best hedge fund managers. They have access to better information and experts than ordinary investors do. Take advantage of the SEC filings where hedge funds and insiders disclose their stock transactions.
Here is our team:
Ms. Krishnamsetty is the Editor of Insider Monkey. Prior to creating Insider Monkey with Dr. Dogan, Ms. Krishnamsetty was Associate Producer at Bloomberg Television. Prior to that, Ms. Krishnamsetty was on the afternoon news team at CNBC. Additionally, Ms. Krishnamsetty reported for NPR and worked as a risk management consultant at Marsh & McLennan. Ms. Krishnamsetty has a M.S. in Journalism from Columbia University’s Graduate School of Journalism.
Insider Monkey’s hybrid evaluation system ...More was created in 2003 by Dr. Ian Dogan. Dr. Dogan has a Ph.D. in financial economics with a specialization in insider trading. Dr. Dogan has provided consulting services to institutional investors and hedge funds, and managed a $200+ million fund using a strategy he developed utilizing insider transactions. Dr. Dogan recently authored the insider trading chapter of soon to be published “The Handbook of Investment Anomalies” by Zacks Investment Research. Insider Monkey will serve the outcome of the methodologies developed by Dr. Dogan to ordinary investors who don’t have access to academic quality research and tools to shape their investments.
For your inquiries please contact us at firstname.lastname@example.org
Timothy Lutts is the Cabot Heritage Corporation Publisher (http://www.cabot.net/) and Chief Investment Strategist, heading one of America’s most respected independent investment advisory services, publishing 10 newsletters to more than 150,000 subscribers around the world. He leads a dedicated team of professionals who serve individual investors with high-quality investment advice based on time-tested Cabot systems. Timothy is also the analyst and editor of Cabot Stock of the Month Report. Under his leadership, Cabot advisories have been honored numerous times by Timer Digest, Hulbert Financial Digest and Dow Jones MarketWatch as the top investment newsletters in the industry. In 2007, Cabot was the only publisher with two investment advisories, Cabot Market Letter and Cabot China & Emerging Markets Report, ranked among the top 10 investment newsletters by Hulbert. The Specialized Information Publishers Foundation named Cabot China & Emerging Markets Report the Best Financial Advisory Newsletter in 2008 and Cabot Market Letter in 2009. Timothy has appeared on numerous podiums as an investing expert, including Bloomberg TV and the World Money Show, led Investor's Business Daily discussion groups and been interviewed by Dow Jones MarketWatch, Forbes, VoiceAmerica.com and numerous other business news organizations. Visit The Iconoclast Investor (http://www.iconoclast-investor.com/)
Kate Stalter is the founder of Better Money Decisions, an asset-management firm with offices in Albuquerque and Santa Fe, New Mexico and Scottsdale, Arizona. She is an expert investment columnist for numerous media outlets including Forbes, US News & World Report, Benzinga, TheStreet.com and Morningstar, and is a frequent on podcasts and radio shows, discussing investment topics. Better Money Decisions implements stock-and-bond portfolios using an asset-allocation strategy with funds from Dimensional Fund Advisors. Kate is a Series 65-licensed investment advisor representative, and has a Master's in Business Administration from Northwestern University's Kellogg School of Management.
You can follow Kate on Twitter @katestalter and receive her free monthly newsletter at www.katestalter.com
VineSecurityJournal provides original research and content covering physical security, wireless and wired networking, and alternative energy (Greenvestor). Our research is based on financial fundamentals, plus a solid understanding of the underlying business, market, technology, competition and product development process. The journal was founded by Mitch Vine, Professional Engineer, product developer and long time investor.
Mitch Vine has been actively investing for 30 years. He has held executive positions in product development and marketing for companies like IBM Corporation, Telus Mobility and Motorola plus he's helped several startups to analyse technology investments, markets, regulation and competition.
Mitch is a graduate of the University of Western Ontario Engineering and MBA programs. He can be reached at mitchvine@securitynr.
Dr. Chris Kacher & Gil Morales
2009 - 2014 (5 years) Up +473% using only market timing service ETF TECL with NO margin:
After minor adjustments to account for full blown quantitative easing as opposed to smaller doses, our latest signals have outperformed: http://www.virtueofselfishinvesting.com/results
QE looks to continue at its current pace despite what Fed governors may say. On January 13, 2014, Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart said that he would support more tapering if the economic recovery continues. Of course, the economic recovery is still far off if one factors in the distorted figures that are painted to make the economy look healthier than it is in reality. This tug-o-war between what the Fed governors say with respect to tapering and full bore quantitative easing is expected to continue this year as it did all year in 2013. The reality is that QE in some form is expected to stay for an extended period since Bernanke has said that he expects interest rates to remain at historical lows for a prolonged period. Thus the Fed has no choice but to continue to print money in some form, whether it be via the monthly $75 billion in bonds or some other manipulative trick. They will print or default, and default is out of the question. Another lowered credit rating of US Treasurys will hike rates. Such a situation must be avoided or the debt load potentially becomes unserviceable.
March 12, 2009 (the day we started tracking 3-times ETFs TYH and TNA) to February 27, 2012, the Market Direction Model has performed as follows:
NASDAQ Composite: +97.47%
TNA (3-times Russell 1000 Technology): +528%
TYH (3-times Russell 2000): +565%
2011 market timing results: +35.0%
2010 market timing results: +83.8%
2009 market timing results: +118.3%
2008 market timing results: +38.8% using no leverage
Note, the returns shown above do not represent the performance of an actual portfolio. Any results that are not verified/audited are are hypothetical based on taking a 100% position in the respective instrument whenever the model switches to a buy or a sell signal, and 100% cash when the model switches to neutral.
Dr. Chris Kacher
MoKa Investors, LLC
Virtue of Selfish Investing, LLC
In 1995, Dr. Kacher operated one of the first Internet-based stock advisory services. He then went on to generate triple digit percentage returns for six years in a row during the 1995-2000 period before moving to cash for most of the 2000-2002 bear market, one of the worst in history. From 1996-2001, Dr. Kacher served as chief research analyst for William O'Neil + Company, the New York Stock Exchange member firm, institutional research provider, and publisher of Investor's Business Daily newspaper. During this period, William O'Neil hand-picked Dr. Kacher to manage a portion of the firm's proprietary capital, whereupon Dr. Kacher became a top internal portfolio manager at the company.
Dr. Kacher received his B.S. in Chemistry and Ph.D. in Nuclear Physics from University of California at Berkeley, where he co-discovered Element 110 on the Periodic Table of Elements and confirmed the existence of Element 106 for which his team named Seaborgium after Dr. Glenn Seaborg, the inventor of plutonium, who supervised Dr. Kacher's work as a doctoral student at UC Berkeley.
Musically gifted, Dr. Kacher was classically trained on the piano beginning at age 3, composing his first song at age 5 which he called "Night Fog," and performing as a concert pianist from ages 5 to 12 in high-profile cities in the US and Japan. He released his debut CD comprised of 21 original piano compositions in 2009.
He, together with Gil Morales, recently co-authored the book, "Trade Like An O'Neil Disciple: How We Made 18,000% in the Stock Market", published by John Wiley & Sons in 2010. He also contributed to the book, "Wiley Trading Guide, Volume II", published in 2011.
In the 1996 to 2002 period, Dr. Kacher achieved in his personal account a total return in excess of 18,000%, as verified by KPMG, the Big Four auditor here: http://www.virtueofselfishinvesting.com/pdf/Chris-Kacher-KPMG-verification-letter.pdf
Dr. Kacher is also currently a principal and Managing Director of MoKa Investors, LLC and Virtue of Selfish Investing, LLC, www.virtueofselfishinvesting.com. He currently manages money for qualified investors through each of those firms, and is a frequent guest and commentator on MarketWatch.com, TownHall.com, CBS host Andy Giersher's Portfolio Doctor, and CNN News Radio's Wall Street Shuffle, among other venues. In 2010, Dr. Kacher published "Trade Like an O'Neil Disciple - How We Made 18,000% in the Stock Market" (John Wiley & Sons) with his colleague and former O'Neil internal portfolio manager Mr. Gil Morales. He and Mr. Morales are currently writing a second book to be published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc. in summer of 2012.
MoKa Investors, LLC
Virtue of Selfish Investing, LLC
Mr. Morales began his investment career in 1991 as a stockbroker in the Beverly Hills branch of Merrill Lynch. In 1994 he joined PaineWebber, Inc. where he quickly achieved Chairman's Club status as a top producer. In 1997, William O'Neil personally recruited Mr. Morales to join William O'Neil + Company, Inc. where he spent the next eight years as a Vice-President, internal Portfolio Manager responsible for managing a portion of the firm's proprietary assets, and Manager of the O'Neil Institutional Services group responsible for advising over 500 of the largest and most successful institutional investors in the world, including mutual fund, pension fund, and hedge fund clients. Mr. Morales also co-authored with William J. O'Neil a book on short-selling, "How to Make Money Selling Stocks Short," published by John Wiley & Sons in 2004. In 2004, Mr. Morales was appointed Chief Market Strategist for William O'Neil + Company, Inc.
He, together with Chris Kacher, recently co-authored the book, "Trade Like An O'Neil Disciple: How We Made 18,000% in the Stock Market", published by John Wiley & Sons in 2010. He also contributed to the book, "Wiley Trading Guide, Volume II", published in 2011.
In the period from January 1, 1998 to December 31, 2005, Mr. Morales achieved in his personal account a total return of 10,904.25% as audited by Rothstein Kass & Company, a hedge fund auditing firm . Applying a standard hedge fund 2%/20% fee structure to this return would yield a pro forma return of 5,572.04%, net of fees. Mr. Morales received his B.A. in economics from Stanford University.
Mr. Morales is also currently a principal and Managing Director of MoKa Investors, LLC and Virtue of Selfish Investing, LLC, www.virtueofselfishinvesting.com. He currently manages money for qualified investors through each of those firms, and is a frequent guest and commentator on Fox Business News, MarketWatch.com, and CNN News Radio's Wall Street Shuffle and Opening Bell shows, among other venues. In 2010, Mr. Morales published "Trade Like an O'Neil Disciple - How We Made 18,000% in the Stock Market" (John Wiley & Sons) with his colleague and former O'Neil internal portfolio manager Dr. Chris Kacher. He and Dr. Kacher are currently writing a second book to be published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc. in summer of 2012.
Neil George is an investor, an investment advisor, educator, philanthropist and editor of By George, a long-standing financial and news advisory published by Liberty Investor (www.neilgeorge.com) as well as Lifetime Income Report and Total Income Alert and contributes to Eagle Publishing's Eagle Daily Investor. He is the former editor of Personal Finance for many years as well as editor of Inner Circle, The Yield Letter and The Partnership - published by Kephart Communications in Virginia and VNR Publishing in Germany.
In addition, Mr. George has worked in six continents with a select group of financial institutions founding and/or building successful enterprises in investment banking, bond trading, brokerage and asset management; starting with Merrill Lynch International Bank in Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and Latin America. Mr. George also co-founded and built the International Markets Division of Mark Twain Bank now part of US Bank, He has served as chief economist to institutions including Mark Twain Bank, Mercantile Bank, and British and Chinese-based Guinness Flight as well as establishing a collection of independent public and private brokerage and fund management companies in Los Angeles and New York.
Garland Pollard writes about media, branding and technology from Sarasota, Florida. His website BrandlandUSA.com is America’s authority on legacy brands. A native of Virginia and the former editor of Virginia Living magazine, by day he is Director of Communications for the Florida diocese of the Episcopal Church.
Market Folly is your go-to source for all the latest activity from prominent hedge funds. We're pleased to announce our brand new quarterly newsletter, Hedge Fund Wisdom. In it, you'll see what the hedge funds have been buying and selling. We track 25 of the most prominent managers in the game as well as provide in-depth equity analysis of the stocks they've been buying. Click the link below to see a free sample issue.
The author of Market Folly has experience at a long/short equity hedge fund, has been investing for a decade, and has degrees in Economics and Communications.
Joshua "MauiTrader" Hayes is CEO, President and founder of Big Wave Trading Inc., a Maui, Hawaii-based stock market advisory service. Hayes is a well-respected stock trader who combines fundamentals, technicals, psychology and money management to trade professionally for his personal, family, and friends accounts for 16 years. Hayes also runs BigWaveTrading.com, an online stock market commentary and stock selection service for intermediate-term investment strategies using CANSLIM and other strategies. Hayes is a contributor to SeekingAlpha.com has been a contributor to Telechart as Sir Aloha, Realmoney.com, InvestorsParadise.com, BestWayToInvest.com, iStockAnalyst.com, and StraightStocks.com.
Dr. John Hussman is the president and principal shareholder of Hussman Econometrics Advisors, the investment advisory firm that manages the Hussman Funds ( http://www.hussmanfunds.com). He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Stanford University, and a Masters degree in education and social policy and a bachelors degree in economics from Northwestern University. Prior to managing the Hussman Funds, Dr. Hussman was a professor of economics and international finance at the University of Michigan. In the mid-1980's, Dr Hussman worked as an options mathematician for Peters & Company at the Chicago Board of Trade, and in 1988 began publishing the Hussman Econometrics newsletter. Virtually all of Dr. Hussman's liquid assets are invested in the Hussman Funds.
Note: Dr. Hussman is not an active contributor to Seeking Alpha; rather, SA editors excerpt regularly from Dr. Hussman's public commentary.
Rona Fried, Ph.D., is editor of Progressive Investor and CEO of SustainableBusiness.com. Known for her wide-ranging, deep knowledge of sustainable business, she speaks and writes on topics related to green business, green jobs and green investing.
She writes the "Investing in Clean Energy" column for Solar Today, and serves on numerous Advisory Boards: the WilderHill Clean Energy Index (ECO), which manages the bellweather clean energy ETF (PBW), the WilderHill New Energy Global Innovation Index (NEX), which tracks the clean energy sector worldwide (NEX), and PowerShares Global Progressive Transportation Portfolio (PTRP).
Bart King is News Editor for SustainableBusiness.com, producing daily news on green business and on green investing, as well as producing our Green Week in Review podcast.
John is a lawyer and accountant with over three decades of corporate finance, due diligence, M&A advisory and related legal services for manufacturers, innovators and investors in the energy storage and renewable energy sectors.
Over the last eight years John has earned a global following for his articles on the energy storage and alternative energy sectors. He has contributed to AltEnergyStocks, Seeking Alpha, The Street, NASDAQ.com and Batteries International Magazine and InvestorIntel.
John is a 1979 graduate of the Notre Dame Law School and a 1976 graduate of the W.P. Carey School of Business at Arizona State University. He was admitted to the bar in 1980 and licensed to practice as a CPA in 1981. John’s diverse experience in corporate finance, natural resource development and energy storage give him a unique and sometimes unsettling perspective on the technical, economic and supply chain challenges of the battery industry.
Andrew Snyder began his career in the world of finance and investing as a financial advisor. He specialized in handling the vast portfolios of some very wealthy clients and excelled at making them even wealthier. Former editor of BreakAway Investor and Volume Spike Alert, he is now a contributor for Today's Financial News (http://www.TodaysFinancialNews.com/). Andrew is acclaimed for his no-nonsense writing style and sharp, deep-thinking analysis.