I have been trading max pain type data since 2007 after noting odd trading patterns centered around options expiry. I am a more conservative trader/investor and only take high probability trades. I prefer to know where stocks won’t be rather than guess where they will be. Trading with this mind set gives you 80% plus probability of being correct.
I have always been a stock market enthusiast. My formal training is that of informal. I am self taught, soaking up as much knowledge as can be absorbed. I love the financial industry and would work for free. I am a fundamental investor at heart and like crunching the numbers. I picked up on Max Pain theory and use option data as a main thesis in taking my positions.
In the beginning; when studying Max Pain I was truly amazed at the power it had in pulling or pushing AAPL around. I have seen the stock drop 5% out of nowhere with no news. The only news would be it was the 3rd Friday of the month. I then picked up on hitting the Max Pain strike was about 50/50 odds. Max Pain would give you a tell on what direction AAPL would start heading for expiry. I started to build a strategy from my studies. Using the Max Pain strike is not really tradable, good to know, but not tradable. So I started to study open interest (OI) and its affect on AAPL. Long story short, I have altered the original Max Pain theory and morphed it into what my own studies have concluded. I call this OI/Max Pain, it uses open interest and a range. This way it is tradable as I now have a high probability range. It doesn’t stop there, using OI will tell you so much more. How a stock reacts at each strike depending on the amount of OI is a major tell.
Conclusion: When using open interest you can accomplish multiple things. We can use it for OI/Max Pain when AAPL is stuck in a range and we can use it for catching breakouts, breakdowns, buy and sell points. Enjoy.
I want to give a special thanks to some of my early influences: Turley Muller, Andy Zaky and Jason Schwarz. I thank Philip Elmer-Dewitt for his coverage on AAPL and letting us have a voice, Horace Dediu for his tireless studies and anyone attached to the AAPL community.
Jason Schwarz authors the popular Economic Timing investment newsletter. His fundamental and technical research has become a primary resource for hedge funds and individual investors.
Nigam Arora is an engineer and nuclear physicist by background, has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies, has been involved in over 50 ventures, is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management, is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method to profit from change in trading and investing.
Theory ZYX of Successful Change
Nigam Arora is the original developer of Theory ZYX. He is also the author of the book Theory ZYX – A Definitive Guide to Reach the Next Level.
The United States Patent and Trademark Office has awarded Nigam Arora 26 patent claims on Theory ZYX.
Necessity is the mother of invention. Upon concluding that no rigorous analytical methodology existed to help him successfully create and manage change in one of his ventures, he rolled up his sleeves and plunged into action. Thus, Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management was born.
Most change management experts primarily come from the background of academia and psychology. Nigam has added a new dimension to the state-of-the-art change management based on his extensive change experience in business, operations, and technology.
Theory ZYX has been applied to strategy development,merger integration, vision development, accelerating innovation, cost reduction, increasing revenues and culture change.
The ZYX Change Method of Investing and Trading
Upon requests to adapt Theory ZYX of Change to help manage investments, Nigam developed the ZYX Method for Profiting from Change in Investing and Trading taking advantage of his over two decades of experience in developing technical, quantitative, and fundamental models as well as implementing gray boxes* to execute the models in a variety of market conditions.
Since 2007, Nigam has been illustrating the power of the ZYX Change Method by providing concise actionable calls on this site. The Arora Report blog focuses on providing clear signals and being concise about the trigger event which is one of the six screens of the ZYX Change Method.
Conceiving and executing change for the better has been a way of life for Nigam Arora.His passion for innovations in business and technology led to his founding of two of the fastest growing (Inc. 500) companies and over 50 other ventures. Action Systems, Inc., a company he founded, was ranked the 29th fastest growing Inc. 500 company. This company grew by capturing over 60% of the market share in the startup of Radiation Monitoring Systems to nuclear power plants and diversifying into a variety of energy projects.
He also founded Action Systems Technologies, Inc. that was ranked the 103rd fastest growing Inc. 500 company. The company grew by providing innovative technology services to Department of Defense, Department of Energy, Aerospace, Automotive, Defense, Distribution, Electronics, Energy, Food, Healthcare Information Technology, Logistics, Manufacturing and Mining industries.
He was the CEO of KnowledgeAZ, Inc., which developed software for eCommerce, logistics, supply chain and asset management.
He was the CEO of Utility Frontier, Inc., which was a Business-to-Business Exchange for 369 municipalities.
Other companies he founded included a provider of printed circuit boards to the computer and electronics industries, a manufacturer of computer networking hardware, a manufacturer of instruments for the energy industry, a solar power producer, a software developer for warehousing and material tracking, a software developer for plant maintenance, a change management consulting firm, and a provider of semiconductor testing services to automotive and defense industries.
Early Years in USA
Nigam graduated with a M.S. in Electrical Engineering from the University of Kansas in less than one year .with a GPA of 3.94/4.00 Then he studied Marketing and Finance in an MBA program at Indiana University.
He developed an imaging system on a NASA funded project for the Center for Research, Inc.
Nigam led the development of one of the first automated computerized plant wide Radiation Monitoring and Control Systems for commercial nuclear power plants. He was also the first to discover and develop methods of accurately measuring certain nuclear isotopes in power plants. He was in charge of Engineering at NMC.
Early Years in India
Nigam Arora received a B.S. in Electronics Engineering from Punjab Engineering College with High Honors when he had just turned 20. He developed the first digital Phase Meter in India. He was selected in a program of the Indian Air Force under which he learned about electronics aboard fighter aircraft. He also worked on research at Central Scientific Instruments Organization.
I am an independent trader and investor seeking opportunities in energy, deep value, distressed and turnaround plays. I also invest in growth when I see a sustainable long term trend in certain stocks or sectors.
I may occasionally send stock ideas out on Twitter, if exceptional opportunities arise: @rougetrades
Hello! My name is Logan Smyth. I'm 26 and currently living in Columbus, Ohio. I have been investing and following the markets for about five years now. I received a B.S. in Business with a concentration in Finance from Carnegie Mellon in 2007. I am currently working towards an MBA with a major in Investment Management at The Ohio State University's Fisher College of Business.
I have interned with UBS Wealth Management in Pittsburgh and in New York City. After graduating I moved to Columbus to work for Abercrombie & Fitch. After my contract expired, I chose to leave Abercrombie and trade the markets full-time. I realized the market conditions were something I could only experience once in a century and I wanted to focus on learning as much as possible from them.
I write these articles for a variety of reasons. I like to share my thoughts on the market but I also like having a record of investments that I have recommended. I will be applying for internships at financial firms in Columbus next summer and I think a stable of articles will serve me well with my minimal professional experience. I also enjoy the discussion that follows most articles. Please feel free to comment on my articles and add your own insight. However, I ask that readers keep comments constructive as this is not professional analysis.
If you would like to read more of my thoughts on the market, I have additional articles and posts on my website, Smyth Financial (http://www.smythfinancial.com). I also use my website as a means of networking and sharing more information about myself online. Please feel free to stop by if you would like to learn more about me.
Asif Suria is an entrepreneur and investor with a focus on event driven strategies including merger arbitrage and insider trading. He publishes a weekly post that includes the latest mergers and highlights the largest spreads. He also publishes a weekly post that highlights the top 5 insider purchases and sales of the week. Asif is also one of the earliest contributors at Seeking Alpha and has been regularly contributing content since 2005.
I am the founder and editor of Investment Directions. My career has been managing and consulting to multi-billion dollar funds. Using the widely accepted “multi-manager” approach, I have worked with top investment managers throughout the country, gaining a high level of expertise.
My career has spanned many market environments, and I have hands-on experience searching out opportunities and avoiding risks in all of them. I now devote my time to Investment Directions, with the goal of helping investors further their understanding and improve their investing skills.
I am currently serving on: The AAUW Investment Advisers Committee and The City of Vista Investment Advisory Committee.
Sean Hannon, CFA, CFP, is the publisher of EPIC Insights, a weekly newsletter providing Sean’s timely stock ideas and market commentary. Sean’s goal in EPIC Insights is to educate readers, giving them accessible advice they can use to manage their own financial future. The transparent portfolio that Sean has created in EPIC Insights has outperformed the S&P 500 during many investment cycles. Through this portfolio Sean offers readers a thorough understanding of his investing techniques, making them better equipped to manage their own affairs during a period of heightened uncertainty.
Sean has over ten years of financial services experience, having worked for both Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan Chase. Having seen how complexity and lack of clarity can destroy the best ideas, Sean felt a large void existed that would allow individual investors to seize control of their own destiny while receiving professional assistance in an opaque market.
Philstockworld.com is the fastest growing stock and option newsletter on the Web. "High Finance for Real People - Fun and Profits" is our motto and our Basic and Premium Chat Sessions offer readers a chance to speak to Phil live during the trading day as well as authors like Optrader, Sabrient, Income Trader and Trend Trader - who send out Alerts during the market sessions and discuss trade ideas live with Members.
We even have a new low-cost "Trend Watcher" Membership that lets readers view our chat sessions without directly participating a great solution for people who want to test-drive the site and profit from our experience! Trend Watchers get to view all of our Chat Archives, weekly Webinars - as well as the amazing PSW Wiki, which gives you Phil's recent opinions and trade ideas as well as technical and fundamental analysis of hundreds of stocks that we follow.
Philip R. Davis is a founder of Phil's Stock World (www.philstockworld.com), a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders. Mr. Davis is a serial entrepreneur, having founded software company Accu-Title, a real estate title insurance software solution, and is also the President of the Delphi Consulting Corp., an M&A consulting firm that helps large and small companies obtain funding and close deals. He was also the founder of Accu-Search, a property data corporation that was sold to DataTrace in 2004 and Personality Plus, a precursor to eHarmony.com. Phil was a former editor of a UMass/Amherst humor magazine and it shows in his writing -- which is filled with colorful commentary along with very specific ideas on stock option purchases (Phil rarely holds actual stocks).
Visit: Phil's Stock World (www.philstockworld.com)
James Bibbings is the President and CEO of North America’s Best Regulatory Advisory Turnkey Trading Partners (TTP) as named by Hedgeweek in 2013. TTP supports CFTC and NFA regulated firms with all of their commodity, forex, and swap specific regulatory and business needs. Prior to founding TTP, Bibbings worked with the National Futures Association (NFA) as a supervising auditor. During his time with NFA he was involved in approximately 100 investigative audits and was able to gain a deep working knowledge of FDM, FCM, IB, CTA, and CPO operations. Since departing from NFA, Bibbings has owned and operated an independent introducing brokerage and participated in international forums on proposed CFTC regulatory requirements. He has also provided financial markets content for MSN, Yahoo, Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal’s Market Watch, FinAlternatives, NIBA, Forex Journal, FX Street, Forex Factory, and many other highly acclaimed investment publications. Two highly sought after informational pamphlets regarding futures, forex, and swap registration authored by Bibbings are currently available for free upon request through his company website. If you have any questions or comments for Bibbings he can be reached directly by email at firstname.lastname@example.org and would love to hear from you.
Bespoke Investment Group provides some of the most original content and intuitive thinking on the Street. Founded by Paul Hickey and Justin Walters, formerly of Birinyi Associates and creators of the acclaimed TickerSense blog, Bespoke offers multiple products that allow anyone, from institutions to the most modest investor, to gain the data and knowledge necessary to make intelligent and profitable investment decisions. Along with running their Think B.I.G. finance blog, Bespoke provides timely investment ideas through its Bespoke Premium (http://bespokepremium.com/) subscription service and also manages money (http://bespokepremium.com/mm) for high net worth individuals.
Visit: Bespoke Investment Group (http://bespokeinvest.com/)
Mr. Denninger is the former CEO of MCSNet, a regional Chicago area networking and Internet company that operated from 1987 to 1998. MCSNet was proud to offer several "firsts" in the Internet Service space, including integral customer-specified spam filtering for all customers and the first virtual web server available to the general public. Mr. Denninger's other accomplishments include the design and construction of regional and national IP-based networks and development of electronic conferencing software reaching back to the 1980s.
He has been a full-time trader since 1998, author of The Market Ticker (http://market-ticker.org), a daily market commentary, and operator of TickerForum, an online trading community, both since 2007.
Mr. Denninger received the 2008 Reed Irvine Accuracy In Media Award for Grassroots Journalism for his coverage of the 2008 market meltdown.
In 2011 Wiley published his book "Leverage", detailing the causes of the 2008 financial collapse along with analysis and policy prescriptions for the future.
Price Headley was inducted into the Traders' Hall of Fame in 2007 and is the founder of BigTrends.com, which provides investors with specific real-time stock and options strategies and investment education to profit from significant market trends. Price appears regularly on CNBC, Fox News, and in a variety of major financial news outlets. Timer Digest recognized the success of BigTrends.com's investment strategies by ranking Price among the Top 10 Market Timers for stock market timing.
Cliff Wachtel, CPA, is currently the Director of Market Research, New Media and Training for Caesartrade.com, a fast growing forex and CFD broker. He covers a variety of topics including global market drivers, forex, currency hedged and diversified income investing, and is currently working on a unique project related to that asset class - MLPs.
He is also the author of The Sensible Guide To Forex, and publisher of thesensibleguidetoforex.com. Both the book and website are uniquely dedicated to providing safer, simpler ways for active traders and passive long term income investors to use forex markets to diversify out of currencies like the USD, EUR, JPY, and others that are being debased by central bank policies, and so hedge currency risk and boost returns.
Since the Great Financial Crisis began in 2007, Cliff was among the first financial writers to focus on stocks that provide steady, high yields currency diversification for insurance against currencies being steadily devalued. Articles focus on both top income stocks for exposure to multiple quality currencies, and safer, simpler less demanding types of longer term forex trades than commonly covered on other forex sites.
He also posts a variety of articles on topics ranging from weekly strategic global market analysis, conservative forex trading, assorted special reports, currency diversified income investing, binary options, and trader training articles via multiple websites. His home sites include: globalmarkets.anyoption.com, thesensibleguidetoforex.com, caesartrade.com, globalmarkets.com, and others. Most can also be found at leading financial websites like seekingalpha.com, businessinsider.com, and forex sites like forexfactory.com and fxstreet.com. His work is regularly translated into numerous languages, including Spanish, French, Italian, Turkish and Russian, Arabic, German, and Chinese, often with his express knowledge and permission!
He has appeared in a variety of offline publications including Forex Journal, and John Nyaradi’s book, Super Sectors, in which he was interviewed along with other market experts like Jim Rodgers, Dr.Marc Faber, John Mauldin, Robert Prechter, and Tom Lydon.
Prior to his current positions, he was Chief Analyst at avafx.com, and a 30+ year financial market veteran as investor, trader, writer, analyst and advisor to private clients and institutions. He attended Vassar College and Cornell University, and is a certified public accountant.
He’s married with 5 children and lives in Jerusalem, Israel, where he can follow Asian markets in the early morning, Europe through the workday, and the Americas at night.
Chris Vermeulen the founder of TheTechnicalTraders.com where they design, develop, and trade multiple trading strategies. He is also the author of a couple leading stock reversals and ETF trading newsletters which are designed for active traders. He provides quality ETF Trade Alerts, daily videos, market forecasts, trading education, and commentary. Follow My LIVE CHARTS: http://stockcharts.com/public/1992897
I write about dividend growth stocks on my website www.dividendgrowthinvestor.com.
I am mostly a buyer of high quality dividend stocks, with solid competitive advantages. My holding period is forever, as long as the dividend is at least maintained. I tend to concentrate my efforts on stocks which grow earnings and dividends, which provides outstanding total returns over time. I only focus my attention to stocks with sustainable dividend payments. I am also a firm believer in diversification accross sectors and geographic locations.
I have been focusing my attention particularly to companies that regularly increase dividends to their shareholders on my website. On my blog I share my thoughts on investing in dividend paying stocks that have consistently increased their payments over time and tips on growing my dividend income. I hope that my blog will serve as an inspiration for my readers and that it would change their financial lives for the better.
Visit my website, Dividend Growth Investor (http://www.dividendgrowthinvestor.com/)
Tyler is a 28 year-old avid investor from Saskatchewan, Canada who believes in the virtues of long term dividend growth investing.
He is currently working in the financial services industry with the largest Credit Union in Saskatchewan.
Visit: Dividend Money (http://dividendmoney.com/)