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Teutonic Knight

Teutonic Knight
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  • The Sector Dips Portfolio: Which Utilities To Buy? [View article]
    PaulC may have a point here as the 'Lone Voice in the Wilderness'.

    The over-crowding urge to secure yields in a lackluster and even 'peaked-alike' stock market is understandable. I looked at the NASDAG mutual fund comparison charts for the REIT index VGSLX and for the Utility Index VUIAX and found them very similar, almost identical, with REIT a bit more volatile. Google mutual fund comparison charts and enter the respective fund names yourself. These two represent a de facto benchmark of sorts due to their large market capitalization.

    Both REIT and Utility equities are very sensitive to interest rate fluctuation. The fact that the FED had no further room to move down with its ZIRP, rates are destined to move up, and it is a matter of time.

    And so there is no guarantee that the present dip with utility equities will be the last.

    I have recently moved a sizeable portion of my holdings to the Healthcare Sector, which according to one recent SA article on stock strategy, has the highest and best Relative Strength Index (RSI) amongst all sectors. My choice was the Vanguard VGHAX Admiral with a low expense ratio of only 0.29%.

    Why not go with the Winning Hand?
    Jun 1, 2015. 12:36 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple's Real Advantage From Owning The Hardware And Software [View article]
    I see nothing new and noteworthy in this article.
    May 31, 2015. 06:22 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Gilead Sciences Is Still Undervalued [View article]
    I second this target. ~$140-$150 is certainly possible and even likely by Christmas of 2015. Long GILD
    May 30, 2015. 09:15 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Sector Dips Portfolio: Which Utilities To Buy? [View article]
    Canadian,

    Thanks for the information. Helpful indeed!

    Vanguard 'usually' would have a fund that mirrors their ultra-low fee Admiral class, called the Investors class with a much lower minimum but with a slightly higher expense ratio. Unfortunately, for the Utility Index there isn't any. The reason is unknown though, but seems strange to me personally.
    May 30, 2015. 07:28 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • IBB Has A Formidable Challenger In BBP [View article]
    Roger. I copy that. Thanks.
    May 30, 2015. 04:25 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Sector Dips Portfolio: Which Utilities To Buy? [View article]
    Author,

    Good article and good timing.

    What is your opinion on the Vanguard Utilities Index Admiral (VUIAX) fund, with ~$20B asset and a low ~ 0.2 expense ratio? It is an index tracking fund and therefore likely would have encompassed most if not all decent equities. Minimum is for $100,000, a bit high though.

    Thank you.
    May 30, 2015. 03:20 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • IBB Has A Formidable Challenger In BBP [View article]
    Just bring up the first link, and change 'Daily' to 'Weekly' will do.
    May 30, 2015. 02:49 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • IBB Has A Formidable Challenger In BBP [View article]
    @cfetrader:

    However, as with interpreting most technical charts, the issue is the choice of time frame for the stock/ETF under analysis.

    Look at http://tinyurl.com/pf4... (Source stockcharts.com) on a Daily Basis. Certainly the pattern seems fitting very well with the 5-Wave and ABC 3-Wave Rule.

    Then look at http://tinyurl.com/7ygy2. on a Weekly horizon, longer time span. Here I could argue that it looks as if that the current wave up is only Wave 2 of the rising Elliott Wave Sequencing.

    Thus the choice of the requisite time frame under analysis has a profound impact on the conjecture.

    Any comments?
    May 30, 2015. 02:36 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • IBB Has A Formidable Challenger In BBP [View article]
    cfetrader:

    Thanks for a lesson of TA.

    I get it now (i.e., 90%).

    BIB (2xIBB) is my beast. BIS is my hunt when the time comes.

    TK
    May 30, 2015. 12:48 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • IBB Has A Formidable Challenger In BBP [View article]
    @cfetrader:

    I applaud your charts. So what is the final take with IBB now? Correction imminent or continuing up breaking the 'Triple Top' resistance? Could you give a probability estimate for an imminent correction in %?

    BIB had recently undergone the 3rd Spit which is usually a bearish sign.

    Look forward to your advice.
    May 30, 2015. 11:37 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stocks stumble but still positive for the month [View news story]
    GDP contracts 0.7% in Q1. I presume the chance of a rate hike at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting would be less than 10%.
    May 29, 2015. 11:43 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • IBB Has A Formidable Challenger In BBP [View article]
    Market capitalization of BBP is small at ~$200M at this time. Liquidity may be an issue for trading. Long-term speculative play is okay.
    May 29, 2015. 11:18 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stocks Are So Overrated [View article]
    Data released this morning showed that both the US and Canadian economies contracted during the first quarter. Traditionally a recession is defined if three consecutive quarters contract. The potential for an October major correction seems likely. I have become increasingly cautious and increased my cash holdings, using the added margins to trading for short-term profits taking.
    May 29, 2015. 11:13 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stocks Are So Overrated [View article]
    I once asked an economics professor at a top-notch Australian University who was a British Commonwealth Scholar with a PhD in economics from the University of Edinburgh whether he would have any recommendations for buying winning stocks, since I considered him an expert. I was hoping he would give me a few tidbits.

    To my surprise, however, he happened to be my relative. but so with his open candor, he replied: "No, it is all about sniffing and common sense...". (He meant he wouldn't know any better than a guy on the street would know).

    So I presume he meant that a dog would do better. What about my cat, a pedigree Chartreuse? They the Chartreuse are amongst the smartest of all cats!

    I will ask my cat tonight for any inspiration!
    May 28, 2015. 09:34 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Wall Street Breakfast: China's Stock Market Takes Plunge [View article]
    "..Granting asylum to illegal" had now been determined unlawful and most likely contravening the Constitution by the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals in New Orleans.


    It is now ripe and overdue time to issue an arrest warrant for the Harvard JD and the part-time Sessional Lecturer of Constituion Law at the U. of Chicago, who instigated this blatant over-reach and naked power grab NOW!
    May 28, 2015. 08:06 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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