The Teutonic Knight retired as senior principal engineer with a US Fortune 500 technology corporation. He earned a B.A.Sc.degree in electrical engineering science (honors intensive) from the University of British Columbia, and an M.Eng.degree (First Class) in satellite communications engineering, from the University of Ottawa, respectively. Having practiced space mission system engineering in the intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) with the Canadian and U.S. governments for decades, he was elected a Lifetime Senior Member of the IEEE (LSMIEEE).
When will long-term investors have any cash to deploy? If you believe in their mantra, most of them think people should be nearly fully invested nearly all of the time - it is rare to have a long term Buy and Hold investor to keep 30% in cash for buying opportunities. How much of a loss are you willing to suffer waiting for a recovery? 10%, 20%, 30%? Do the numbers and see what kind of gain you will need to recoup to the break even point on several loss levels to get an idea of how long you may need to wait. For example a 30% loss requires a 43% gain to get back to the break even. A 20% loss takes a 25 % GAIN to get back to even.$100,000 - 20% = $80,000 . 80k X 25% = 20,000 +80k =100K There are few assets like PM's that are liquid and have NO counterparty risk. If you know of any that perform that function please post it for all to see. The fact of the matter is that some people ONLY save any money because of Precious Metals. If it were not for their gold and silver many would not have any money saved or invested. They would have Beanie babies or some other fad item. The people that buy Silver Eagles are much happier ten years later when they bought those coins made of PM's for their grandchildren (or whomever) when they find out the $8 - $12 bucks they spent is worth more than they paid.And the recipient learns a valuable lesson from it. There are good gifts and not so good gifts. Silver Eagles rank near the top of the list. Don't underestimate the power for people to develop good savings habits using PM's . It's fundamental. Our welfare system is a huge drain on the economy .Those of us working for a living instead of voting for a living see huge holes in our paychecks every week. As unfortunate as it is to know that cuts to foodstamps and welfare will likely cause a bit of suffering, it’s not the job of the government to forcibly remove money from the pockets of hard working Americans in order to take care of those who won’t work. Granted, there are some people who genuinely need the help, and those folks get dragged into the mud with the abusers, which isn’t fair to them. Now, just because the government shouldn’t be “helping” those in need, doesn’t mean we as Americans should forego kindness and charity. Quite the opposite. Americans are some of the most generous people on the planet, but unfortunately, that generosity gets quelled when the government is involved.Without the government in the way, regular every day individuals like you and me need to step up and start helping those who are in dire straits. That’s how this country used to be long before all of the social welfare programs, and it’s what made our nation so wonderful. If the government insists on being “helpful,” they can start by reducing taxes and ridiculous regulations that overburden small business owners, which will free them up to expand their companies and hire new workers.
....................................................................................................................................................... Let's say 50 years ago, 1964, your grandfather bequeathed you an inheritance worth $1,000, which he put in a pretty box with your name on it. At this moment, you are about to open that box… Would you be happy to find his personal check dated 1964 made payable to you; would you rather find ten $100 Federal Reserve Notes; or would you prefer to find that thousand bucks in the form of 4,000 silver quarters, the steady constant value of 715 ounces of silver, with a current dollar number north of $12,500? Would your choice be the same if you were putting your wealth away today for an heir to receive in ten, twenty, or fifty years?
..................................................................................................... Financial contagion happens at both the international level and the domestic level. At the domestic level, usually the failure of a domestic bank or financial intermediary triggers transmission when it defaults on interbank liabilities and sells assets in a fire sale, thereby undermining confidence in similar banks. An example of this phenomenon is the subsequent turmoil in the United Statesfinancial markets. International financial contagion, which happens in both advanced economies and developing economies, is the transmission of financial crisis across financial markets for direct or indirect economies. However, under today's financial system, with large volume of cash flow, such as hedge fund and cross-regional operation of large banks, financial contagion usually happens simultaneously both among domestic institutions and across countries. The cause of financial contagion usually is beyond the explanation of real economy, such as the bilateral trade volume.
Software engineer by profession (B.Sc Comp. Sci, Applied Maths, M.Sc Information Technology), journeyman trader/investor with quant leanings. Interested in quantitative, algorithmic & statistical approaches to the markets as well as analysis and application of global macro themes and more traditional approaches (value and growth investing.) Particularly like options as a versatile vehicle for expressing a view and positioning oneself in the market, and particularly short premium/volatility strategies under periods of elevated IV as this tends to put probability on your side.
Individual investor. Generally using index Mutual Funds or ETFs. Trying to diversify more (foreign in particular). Pick up tips & concepts, & learn more.
I'm at alpha to keep a finger on the current moods & predictions... and so I notice up coming big financial news events before they impact.
See you around! Feel free to write me!
I am an independent senior pension and investment analyst with years of experience working on the buy and sell-side. I have researched and invested in traditional and alternative asset classes at two of the largest public pension funds in Canada, the Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec (Caisse) and the Public Sector Pension Investment Board (PSP Investments). I've also consulted the Treasury Board Secretariat of Canada on the governance of the Federal Public Service Pension Plan (2007) and been invited to speak at the Standing Committee on Finance (2009) and the Senate Standing Committee on Banking, Commerce and Trade (2010) to discuss Canada's pension system. You can follow my blog posts on your Bloomberg terminal and track me on Twitter (@PensionPulse) where I post many links to pension and investment articles as well as my market thoughts and other articles of interest. Please remember to support my efforts by clicking on the ads on the blog but more importantly by contributing via PayPal clicking on the buttons below. Anyone can contribute any amount at any time (all tips are greatly appreciated) but institutional investors are kindly requested to support this blog via an annual subscription of $500, $1000 or $5000 CAD (third option includes specialized consulting mandates). For all inquiries and comments, email me at LKolivakis@gmail.com.
I decided to take control of my investments when I learned about the sub prime markets and other bond market anomalies in 2006. I am an amateur but I became convinced we were headed for a huge crash, decided to exit the equities market, and the Dow promptly went up to 14000 from 12000 when I got out. But I had conviction and I was proved right. My financial advisors and all the professionals I knew were completely useless. They are trapped by their business model, which basically requires them to get your money and leave it in a "diversified portfolio" and then move on to the next sale. When the market goes down they basically say "yea but everyone did poorly". I realized they were not helpful, had no particular insight, and certainly were not worth the money. I had an interest in stocks and was highly motivated. I realized I knew as much or more than them, so I decided I had to get a hold of as much information as I could and take matters into my own hands. I figured I would have no one to blame but myself if I screw it up. I can live with that.
Former Wall Street Veteran who has learned more about macroeconomics and how the world really works since switching to renewable energy last year. Learned from very experienced people, but when I look at screens I feel more like Morpheus from the Matrix. I will not have any positions in anything I write about and remember that everyone has their own time horizon. I have been right too often the past eight years not to be involved in helping people out. You are welcome.