The Teutonic Knight retired as senior principal engineer with a US Fortune 500 technology corporation. He earned a B.A.Sc.degree in electrical engineering science (honors intensive) from the University of British Columbia, and an M.Eng.degree (First Class) in satellite communications engineering, from the University of Ottawa, respectively. Having practiced space mission system engineering in the intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) with the Canadian and U.S. governments for decades, he was elected a Lifetime Senior Member of the IEEE (LSMIEEE).
Full-time Investor, and frequent speculator.
Focus on US Stocks and Real Estate.
Degree in Economics and Finance.
Over 35 years of economic analysis and active investing experience. Retired Financial Services CEO (company had $2 Billion in financial assets).
Macroeconomic conditions and cycle progression are the foundation of my investment strategy. I evaluate the macro trend, and then select investments that will benefit from that trend, shifting the mix as the cycle progresses. Earnings growth is the sustainable fuel for investment gains. So, I look to position my portfolio accordingly.
I stay fully invested during the rising tide of a growing economy. I use leverage until the expansion shows signs of constraints and exhaustion. Rising input costs (wages, materials, energy, interest rates) eventually squeeze corporate profits, making growth less feasible. When I see evidence of a coming recession combined with weakness in the market, I exit my equity positions, reduce my real estate holdings, and shift to the safety of cash and treasury bonds. After the market slides deeply, and after the panic reaches headline proportions, I begin to reinvest as I anticipate or see evidence of the market bottom. I successfully avoided the 2001-2002 and the 2008 bear markets, while being fully invested for the bull markets around those declines.
In prior cycles I purchased individual stocks. However, during this bull market I am making heavy use of ETFs (including Sector ETFs). This is much less work, but results in more average returns. I do purchase some individual company stocks when I think the company will perform better than the average in its industry sector. I do not sell short, and rarely use options.
My portfolio is about half market tracking. I also use sector rotation, selected specific companies, modest margin debt, and 3x leveraged ETFs, within the rising cycle trend to magnify and outperform the average trend. I also adjust the size of my market exposure based on market conditions, and historic patterns.
Over the past 35+ years of active investing in stocks and real estate, my investment returns have been significantly above the average return of the S&P 500 (largely due to market timing and leverage). Since October 2007, my Stock portfolio average total return has been about 15% per year, compounded. My Real Estate portfolio average total return has been about 8% per year for the same period. The S&P 500 average total return has been about 5% per year during the same period.
My gross investment asset allocation target is roughly 70% stock, and 30% real estate (rentals). Current Stock Portfolio Mix (July 2016): 47% Broad Market Tracking (VTI, SPY, RSP, QQQ, VB...),18% Homebuilders and related, 15% Consumer Discretionary (VCR), 07% Industrials (XLI), 05% Berkshire Hathaway, 08% all other. Margin Debt is about 4% of portfolio value. Total Market Leverage is 1.05x (down from 1.34x in 2014). No bonds, and cash is less than 2% of gross assets. Real Estate is Residential Rentals, mostly near the beach (average LTV is about 40%).
Dr. Kris has two degrees from MIT because one just wasn't enough. Her life goal was to figure out the universe and having done that (at least to her satisfaction), she decided to tackle something even more difficult—the stock market.
Applying the scientific method along with an insatiably curious mind, she began trading stocks, futures, and options in order to find the holy grail to market success. She's discovered to her immense satisfaction that not only is there one way to succeed but many. Combining her love of cooking with the stock market, she's devised recipes for investment success designed to please the palate of most investors. Dr. Kris currently manages a private equity long/short portfolio and writes of her current research projects that appear on her website, StockMarketCookBook.com.
Her most exciting project is applying market timing models to Modern Portfolio Theory to not only give greater returns but at substantially lower levels of risk. (See PortfolioPreserver.com for further information.)
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61 year old Emeritus Civil Engineer (B.Sc and Ph.D.) with 21 years of practical experience. For the last 20 years (the first 5 years in tandem with engineering) my income is mainly due to stock and future trading based on standard technical analysis, the only reliable tool for achieving at least 60-70% successful trades.
The "cfe" identity name contains the 3 fundamental technical analysis tools, i.e. Candlesticks, Fibonacci Retracements and Elliot Waves.
I am an independent equity research analyst and consultant. I focus on finding small-cap biotech stocks where I believe there is favorable risk / reward because of misinformation, lack of information, or a potential fundamental turnaround. I provide detail analysis for investors and investor relations companies. I also provide due diligence and advisory services to companies. Some names I write on I invest in personally and will disclose my position. Names that have hired me to provide due diligence or advisory services I will disclose a business relationship. I previously worked for Zacks Investment Research from 2003 to 2015 as a Senior Biotechnology Analyst. Prior to Zacks, I spent 1999 to 2002 managing money with Eastover Capital in Charlotte, NC where I focused on large-cap equities, specializing in healthcare, energy, and technology. Prior to joining Eastover, I worked as a research scientist for TechLab, Inc., a biotechnology company focused on developing diagnostic kits and vaccines for infectious diseases, between 1995 and 1998. I also spent a year working at the Fralin Biotechnology Center, and a year working for a cancer researcher while at Virginia Tech. I have a B.S. in Biochemistry from Virginia Tech, with a B.A in Chemistry and a minor in Math. I have a M.B.A. in Finance, with a concentration in Securities Analysis, from Wake Forest University. I hold the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation.
I retired as CEO of an Automotive Parts supplier, and manage an investment portfolio for myself and family. I have a BA in History from Royal Military College of Canada and an MBA from the University of Western Ontario. My first career was as a fighter pilot in the RCAF, and, following my MBA I joined McKinsey & Company, Inc. leaving them for Canadian GE. I left CGE as a Vice President in 1984 and founded The Enfield Corporation Limited ("Enfield") which grew from 243 employees in 1984 to over 10,000 in 1989 when Enfield was taken over and I was replaced as CEO. In 1989, I acquired control of Algonquin Mercantile Corporation, renamed Automodular Corporation in the late 1990's when I turned it to focus exclusively on automotive parts sub-assembly. Along the way, Algonquin turned a few ageing drug stores into Pharmx Rexall Drug Stores Ltd., sold to Katz group in 1997 and today a major Canadian drug store chain. I have been a private investor since 1971 both directly and through a private company controlled by myself and members of my family.
I was born and raised in southern Alberta and graduated from the department of Structural Engineering Technology at S.A.I.T. in Calgary. My background is mainly in construction management although I spent 10 years selling real estate where I gained some very valuable knowledge about how commercial real estate is valued, and how rising or falling rates affect real estate so severely.
But my passion, an interest that developed at a very early age, became the the study of stock markets and the methods of analyzing them using technical analysis. When I was 11 years of age, I came across a book at the public library on the topic that so intrigued me that I decided I absolutely had to have that book. So I stole it. Ever since that day, my lifelong passion has only grown and evolved to where it is today.
When it comes to commentary, I try to post well thought out, well written comments, some quite short, some quite lengthy. But I try to contribute very positively to the entire community at SA. Admittedly, I often have a tough time keeping the humor out of my posts but I seem to be forgiven for it most of the time. The situations where I could capitalize on an opportunity for a quick chuckle present themselves so often that I just have to jump on it once in a while.
I only discovered recently that I like to write and much to my surprise, it appears that I actually have a bit of a talent for it. I sometimes wonder how my life might be different had I realized decades ago that I can actually put together a paragraph that readers sometimes find entertaining and yet informative. It's even been suggested on more than one occasion that I might even have more writing skills than I give myself credit for and that perhaps I should write a book or two. I don't think I'm quite ready for a book yet, but I'm starting to believe that I could actually do it. A humorous novel wouldn't be a stretch I don't think! But for now, I'm just beginning to publish articles at the urging of a few friends and at the behest of 4 different websites that in the past 6 months have actually approached me, urging me to write. Considering that I've gained a few decades worth of knowledge about technical analysis of markets, and have gained a real good understanding of where debt and money comes from, it's possible that I might have all the pieces required to present some reasonably logical and helpful insights.
I'm madly in love with my two big beautiful and healthy grown children, western Canada and myself. My ex-wife (divorced in '96) is a great gal and she and I have never been better friends than we are now. I know what you're gonna ask next. The answer is "not a chance"!
If you copy the link below and paste it into your browser, you can see the general area of Canada where I live and play. I just wish I had more time and resources to do a lot more visiting and playing in the the incredibly beautiful province next door, British Columbia. Western Alberta is truly beautiful, but British Columbia... that province gives an entirely new meaning to the word. In face God lives there. Not only does He live there, but I met Him one day at a swank little ocean-side pub at Sydney Harbour on Vancouver Island. At least he 'told me' he was God and for some reason I believed him. Let me tell you that story...
Man, did God and I tie one on. You know how in the bible it talks about "40 days and 40 nights"? Well I can tell ya, when you're out on a night on the town with that guy, it's all about 40 chicken wings and 40 drinks. And I was more than happy to pay the entire bar tab because... well I was out on a night on the town with God. At the end of the evening I was more than a just a bit concerned though about driving back to the hotel because my legs... well let's just say they were a little bit wobbly. But "God" told me that I had nothing to worry about. He told me to "go ahead, drive home" and gave me his phone number just to put my groggy mind at ease. He said I could call Him at any time if I had any trouble.
Wouldn't you know it, I got about two blocks away from the pub when I saw the old UFO lights in my rear view mirror. And as luck would have it I soon found myself in the back seat of a police cruiser heading west when my hotel was to the east. But no worries... I had God's phone number in my pocket. When we got to the 'detention center', I was allowed one phone call, thank God. I dialed His number and guess what... it rang the phone on the desk only 10 feet from where I was standing. A cop answered it. The same cop who'd given me the free ride in his spiffy cruiser. Jesus Christ, I'd been duped by God of all people!!!
Anyway here's where God lives and where I plan on retiring. Next time I run into Him though, it's gonna be His turn to pick up the freakin' bar tab:
I hope you enjoy my writing enough to hit the "recommend" button a time or two... and I truly wish you well, bid you great health and hope you prosper wildly.
With advanced degrees in both economics and finance, I place great deal of importance upon macreconomic developments and fundamental analyses of industries and individual companies
In typical markets, I seek out investment themes which offer compelling reasons to invest in a group of like companies. Within a theme group, I look for earnings consistency, growth, market leadership, competitive advantage and reasonable valuations as measured by PEG ratios and other metrics.
I like companies that dominate their economic space and which enjoy what Buffet refers to as a durable competitive advantage and Morningstar refers to as an economic moat. I try to remained disciplined investor but will frequently yield to the lure of a pure momentum plays.
To assist in identifying current themes, I spend an inordinate amount of time reading and subscribe to IBD and use Zack's and StockCharts.com to filter, screen and rank investment candidates. Four or more technical measures may be used to time entry and exit points by understanding underlying momentum, strength and directionality.
Michael J. Clark was born and raised in Sinclair, Wyoming. He is a poet, novelist, artist, historian, and market analyst.
He began investing in 1985. He read ˜The Technical Analysis of Stock Trends" by Edwards and Magee and was hooked. From 1985-1987 he made astonishing gains in the stock market; and then stocks collapsed in 1987. Since then he has been attempting to 'solve the stock market', with many failures and some successes. The system he developed, called CGTS, Clark's Gate Timining System, is algorithm-based. What this fancy word means is that he proposes a series of necessary steps based on technical analysis propositions, which, when met, trigger trading signals. His four main trading systems are up a combined 31% for 2015.
From his website:
Now that QE is supposedly ending, markets are already becoming more tradable, with opportunities to make money on both long and short trades at the same time. QE tended to make all boats rise, except precious metals. This made it more difficult to play the short side of the markets. Now, both sides seem to be more accessible to successful trades. This will also be more of a challenge for investors. The FED will have to eventually abandon the markets to their own destinies, and stop spending trillions to protect investors AND corporations from their mistakes. As this begins to happen (I am not sure it has happened yet), informed advice will become even more necessary for investors.
Rules of Investment
Rule #1: Never go against the trend. The majority is often wrong; but the minority is often wrong also. The sticky issue with this advice is at transition points, at which a Bull Market turns into a Bear Market or vice-versa. Big Money often anticipates and/or causes this transition. So pay attention to what Big Money is really doing, not what they say they are doing.
Rule #2: You don’t need a broker who makes his living off of your money. Most brokerage firms buy a position in a stock quietly and slowly. When the stock has appreciated significantly they add the stock to their buy recommendations. Then they begin selling their position while they are encouraging their clients to buy the stock. Most firms never issue sell recommendations. If they do, beware: they are probably trying to buy your stock after a huge sell-off.
Rule #3: Watch your own emotions because they are often signaling something. When fear turns to greed and visions of unlimited wealth, we are probably near a top in a trade and we should get ready to sell. When hope and denial turn to fear and visions of an unlimited loss, we are probably approaching a bottom in a trade. (See Rule #1 however.)
Rule #4: Trade with a system to complement your gut reactions. Follow the system no matter what, even if it means taking a loss. Don’t get lazy with your money and sink into denial. Use a system to help you refrain from 'playing a hunch'.
Rule #5: HEDGE YOUR PORTFOLIO AGAINST LOSSES. How does one do this? By having a balanced portfolio of long and short positions. But have a system that signals both long and short positions, and keep your portfolio balanced around 50% long and 50% short. This may seem to contradict Rule #1. It does not. When something is in a long trend, something else is in a short trend. Find what is long and what is short. If stocks are long, gold or oil may be short. Use ETFs and options to help establish this portfolio balance. Our system gives trading signals every day for both long and short positions.
More information on CGTS is available at:
His fine arts portfolio can be found at the following address:
His writing portfolio can be found at:
Those interested in his book "Turn Out the Lights", a description of the metaphysical causes of the 2008 financial meltdown, can access the draft at:
Michael Clark has retired after working 30 years in academia, relocated to Hanoi, Vietnam for six years, and has returned to America in 2014.
I am retired from Fresno County. I like to blog and comment on financial matters. I knew of the housing bubble in late 2005, way before Cramer. I believe that the central banking establishment set up excessive and damaging credit vehicles both for investors and for borrowers. Investors were swindled but no one goes to jail. Borrowers were given so much easy money that the loans themselves pushed the value of houses up to unsustainable heights. It is worthwhile to "fight" the lending abuses peacefully, with education and through legal means where possible.
I am not an investment counselor nor am I an attorney so my views are not to be considered investment advice. It seems from my understanding of the economy, that folks who fight the Fed are fighting a force that is powerful, capable of keeping interest rates low, etc.
Mark's mutual fund is launching December 15, 2011.
He is a self taught private investor who operates the website Fund My Mutual Fund (http://fundmymutualfund.com); a daily mix of market, economic, and stock specific commentary. Fascinated by the market since an early age, he discovered mutual funds as a teenager in the 80s and moved to equities by the mid 90s. The origin of the website is/was to leverage the power of the internet in developing a transparent track record to attract investors for his potential "long/short" mutual fund.
His equity focus is identifying secular growth trends and the companies most likely to benefit from these macro trends. Stocks are identified through fundamental analysis, although basic technical analysis is used in determining entry and exit points. You can receive Trader Mark's latest posts daily by subscribing free via RSS reader (http://feeds.feedburner.com/FundMyMutualFund) or subscribing free via email (http://www.feedburner.com/fb/a/emailverifySubmit?feedId=1109639).
With a degree in economics from the University of Michigan, a broader understanding of the economy as a whole, along with interpreting investor psychology, is also a major interest for Mark. To follow on Twitter, username: fundmyfund
In the early 1990s, during the middle of a secular bull market, I began work on "A Modern Approach To Graham and Dodd Investing," that was not particularly suited for the decade of the 1990s, but was ideally suited for the following "Lost Decade" of the 2000s.
Market Sniper is a full time market trader. He predominately trades broad market ETFs, stocks, futures and options. He is a former Series 3 and Series 7 licensed broker with Dean Witter and then EF Hutton. He does a mixture of day trading and swing trading with few long term positions with the exception of venture capital positions. He is also a California Real Estate broker and California Certified Residential Appraiser. Market Sniper has a life long interest and fascination with all markets, including real estate. He is an avid student of trading psychology, markets, history, economics and economic history. Market Sniper firmly believes that those who understand history control their own future.