Freeport-McMoran: Dead Money Until Copper Prices Recover [View article]
I agree with most comments. Especially the ones stating that FCX is still a solid company making the changes that are called for, but I agree even more strongly with the idea that the common share still has a ways to fall. Several factors weigh in on my thought.
1. This stock is one of the most common stocks in large mutual funds and hedge funds (holding massive positions) -- and I am willing to bet some of these knee-jerk money managers will make a decision to sell, or their computers will force-sell due to leverage and hedging.
2. There are still a sizeable portion of shareholders that were in this stock for the dividend and I am willing to bet a large portion of them still have to sell.
I admit this stock is attractive at... lets say $15/share. Although I do think it is relatively likely that before the new year we will see this stock dip $10-12 range in intraday trading, and if we are lucky maybe even below that. If it does I am a buyer at both levels and then turning off my screen for 5 years to wake up with sizeable gains.
--recently shorted fcx, planning long position. no current position of any sort
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Freeport-McMoran: Dead Money Until Copper Prices Recover [View article]
1. This stock is one of the most common stocks in large mutual funds and hedge funds (holding massive positions) -- and I am willing to bet some of these knee-jerk money managers will make a decision to sell, or their computers will force-sell due to leverage and hedging.
2. There are still a sizeable portion of shareholders that were in this stock for the dividend and I am willing to bet a large portion of them still have to sell.
I admit this stock is attractive at... lets say $15/share. Although I do think it is relatively likely that before the new year we will see this stock dip $10-12 range in intraday trading, and if we are lucky maybe even below that. If it does I am a buyer at both levels and then turning off my screen for 5 years to wake up with sizeable gains.
--recently shorted fcx, planning long position. no current position of any sort
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